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3666 Orrstown Rd
C+ Composite 60.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

3666 Orrstown Rd · Orrstown, PA 17244
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Other · 21 Days on market
Built 1900 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

Key facts

  • Built 1900
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water
  • Home design: Semi-detached home; Fee simple ownership; Estimated year built
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Permanent foundation
  • Exterior features: Partially finished walkout basement with connecting stairway and front entrance; Shed on the property; No tidal water

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heat; Oil-fired heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Dining area; Tub with shower

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (2.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (2.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,493 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Shippensburg Area SD (town): math 31% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #335 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 633 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (4.3% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $88k; list at $145k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $142,124 (2.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.01%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.31% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.06×
Total profit
$42,839
Equity at exit
$76,162
10-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
3.94×
Total profit
$119,259
Equity at exit
$126,728

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17244

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,421 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $776/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$237

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-16
    historical $145,000 722-char remark
  17. 2026-03-17
    soldstatus $88,000
  18. 2013-06-04
    soldstatus $86,750
  19. 2013-05-31
    soldstatus $86,750 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  20. 2013-05-31
    soldstatus $86,750
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  21. 2013-04-23
    historical 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  22. 2013-04-23
    historical
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  23. 2012-10-29
    listed $92,500 182-char remark
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  24. 2012-10-29
    listed $92,500
    Show marketing remark (182 chars)

    Great investment property, side by side Duplex each side offers 3 bedrooms, dining room, full bath, kitchen and many updates, why rent, live in one side, rent the other, great price,

  25. 2012-02-16
    historical
  26. 2012-02-16
    historical
  27. 2011-08-17
    listed $97,900
  28. 2011-08-17
    listed
  29. 2011-08-02
    historical
  30. 2011-08-02
    historical
  31. 2010-08-03
    listed
  32. 2010-08-03
    listed $99,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$776 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,533 · $128/mo
Expected delta
+$758/yr (+$63/mo · 97.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,055
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$776
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,364
− Management
−$1,364
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$485
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$116
After-tax cash flow
$2,732/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shippensburg Area SD
NCES district ID
4221570
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$47,585
Composite
35.42/100
National rank
#4938
State rank
#335 of 539 in PA

Livability — Orrstown

Score
60/100
State rank
#1493
US rank
#19353

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orrstown, PA
Population (ZIP)
2,305

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
157,827 people
By 2030
158,933 · +0.7%
By 2040
159,060 · +0.8%
By 2050
155,132 · -1.7%
By 2075
138,545 · -12.2%
By 2100
112,321 · -28.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Estonian 1%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · German/W. Germanic 18% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.0) · D 28.1% · R 71.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -32.6pp · 2024: -43.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.0 2020: R+43.1 2016: R+46.5 2012: R+38.5 2008: R+32.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.31%
Current HPI
322.3009
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-16 Coming Soon $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
  • 2013-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $86,750 Public Records
  • 2013-05-31 Sold (MLS) $86,750 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-05-31 Sold (MLS) $86,750 MRIS
  • 2013-04-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2013-04-23 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-10-29 Listed $92,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-10-29 Listed $92,500 MRIS
  • 2012-02-16 Delisted MRIS
  • 2012-02-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-08-17 Listed MRIS
  • 2011-08-17 Listed $97,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-08-02 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-08-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-08-03 Listed MRIS
  • 2010-08-03 Listed $99,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+15.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $776 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…