20 Peartree Ln #25 · Rolling Hills Estates, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 9 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Cash flow +5.6/30.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$998,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Improvement! Experience resort style living in this townhouse featuring ocean views, located in the prestigious gated community of Rolling Hills Park Villas. This two-story, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence offers 2,028 sq ft of well-designed living space and lives like a single-family home. Ocean views can be enjoyed from the living room, dining area, and all bedrooms. Step out to a large private patio perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing while soaking in the serene surroundings. Inside, the home offers a versatile and well-proportioned layout with exciting potential for upgrades and personalization. Whether you're looking to move in as-is or transform it into your dream coastal retreat, the opportunity is yours. The primary suite offers a bathtub and separate shower for added comfort. The home also features generous storage, a two-car direct access garage, and an efficient floor plan designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Residents of Rolling Hills Park Villas enjoy an array of community amenities, including a sparkling pool, spa, tennis courts, children's playground, and access to nearby equestrian and hiking trails. Located within the award-winning Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified School District and just minutes from golf courses, shopping, and scenic parks, this home is a rare find that blends location, space, and lifestyle. Don’t miss this opportunity to enjoy the very best of coastal living in one of the South Bay’s most desirable communities. * * * This property is located on very close to landslide area which happened on July 2023 * * *
Key facts
- Community amenities
- Tennis courts
- Large private patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $998k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $630k (36.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $589k (41.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $589k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.8% vs local median 1.8% in Rolling Hills Estates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in CA, #4,273 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified (suburban): math 72% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #51 of 1,400 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Cornerstone At Pedregal Elementary (433 students, 6% FRL); Ridgecrest Intermediate (890 students, 10% FRL); Palos Verdes Peninsula High (2,290 students, 9% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($216k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $511 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($908k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.95%
- DSCR
- 0.60
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,221,591
- List price
- $998,000
- Delta
- -18.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
0.05% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-166,616
- Equity at exit
- $292,346
- IRR
- -7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-210,920
- Equity at exit
- $353,461
Cash invested: $279,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 90274
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,892 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,234
- Tax from tax record
- −$361 /mo · $4,333/yr
- Insurance
- −$416
- HOA
- −$727
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,237
- Net cashflow
- $-2,083
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,518 | -5% $-1,801 | +0% $-2,083 | +5% $-2,366 | +10% $-2,648 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-2,548 | -5% $-2,316 | +0% $-2,083 | +5% $-1,850 | +10% $-1,618 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,580 | -0.5pp $-1,829 | base $-2,083 | +0.5pp $-2,342 | +1.0pp $-2,605 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,500
- Closing costs
- $29,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29600 Island View Dr #106 Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1553 | $4,250 | $2.74 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 106 Cresta Verde Dr Rolling Hills Estates, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1992 | $5,950 | $2.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 30000 Cachan Pl Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2704 | $6,850 | $2.53 | 26d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 6231 Lochvale Dr Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2217 | $7,500 | $3.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 27914 Ridgebluff Ct Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1478 | $4,600 | $3.11 | 8d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 28003 Ridgebrook Ct Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1566 | $4,300 | $2.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 99 Hilltop Cir Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $6,000 | $3.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7002 Willowtree Dr Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2035 | $5,195 | $2.55 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5762 Ravenspur Dr Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,988 | $2.30 | 14d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 27665 Longhill Dr Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1442 | $6,100 | $4.23 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 825 Tyburn Rd Palos Verdes Estates, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2003 | $8,500 | $4.24 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 32653 Seagate Dr Unit B Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $3,950 | $2.76 | 26d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7012 Beechfield Dr Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $5,900 | $3.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 32679 Seagate Dr #201 Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1736 | $4,700 | $2.71 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2548 Via Carrillo Palos Verdes Estates, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1777 | $6,890 | $3.88 | 9d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 32709 Seagate Dr Unit 307 G Rancho Palos Verdes, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $4,900 | $3.25 | 26d | 1 | 1.50mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $727 · $8,724/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $998,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $998,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $998,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $998,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $998,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $998,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $998,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $998,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $998,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $998,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $998,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $998,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $998,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $998,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $998,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-03-19price $998,000 1616-char remark
Show marketing remark (1616 chars)
Price Improvement! Experience resort style living in this townhouse featuring ocean views, located in the prestigious gated community of Rolling Hills Park Villas. This two-story, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence offers 2,028 sq ft of well-designed living space and lives like a single-family home. Ocean views can be enjoyed from the living room, dining area, and all bedrooms. Step out to a large private patio perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing while soaking in the serene surroundings. Inside, the home offers a versatile and well-proportioned layout with exciting potential for upgrades and personalization. Whether you're looking to move in as-is or transform it into your dream coastal retreat, the opportunity is yours. The primary suite offers a bathtub and separate shower for added comfort. The home also features generous storage, a two-car direct access garage, and an efficient floor plan designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Residents of Rolling Hills Park Villas enjoy an array of community amenities, including a sparkling pool, spa, tennis courts, children's playground, and access to nearby equestrian and hiking trails. Located within the award-winning Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified School District and just minutes from golf courses, shopping, and scenic parks, this home is a rare find that blends location, space, and lifestyle. Don’t miss this opportunity to enjoy the very best of coastal living in one of the South Bay’s most desirable communities. * * * This property is located on very close to landslide area which happened on July 2023 * * *
-
2026-03-12$1,230,000 Active 1616-char remark
Show marketing remark (1616 chars)
Price Improvement! Experience resort style living in this townhouse featuring ocean views, located in the prestigious gated community of Rolling Hills Park Villas. This two-story, 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath residence offers 2,028 sq ft of well-designed living space and lives like a single-family home. Ocean views can be enjoyed from the living room, dining area, and all bedrooms. Step out to a large private patio perfect for outdoor dining or relaxing while soaking in the serene surroundings. Inside, the home offers a versatile and well-proportioned layout with exciting potential for upgrades and personalization. Whether you're looking to move in as-is or transform it into your dream coastal retreat, the opportunity is yours. The primary suite offers a bathtub and separate shower for added comfort. The home also features generous storage, a two-car direct access garage, and an efficient floor plan designed for both everyday living and effortless entertaining. Residents of Rolling Hills Park Villas enjoy an array of community amenities, including a sparkling pool, spa, tennis courts, children's playground, and access to nearby equestrian and hiking trails. Located within the award-winning Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified School District and just minutes from golf courses, shopping, and scenic parks, this home is a rare find that blends location, space, and lifestyle. Don’t miss this opportunity to enjoy the very best of coastal living in one of the South Bay’s most desirable communities. * * * This property is located on very close to landslide area which happened on July 2023 * * *
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,333 · $361/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,585 · $632/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,252/yr (+$271/mo · 75.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $70,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,904
- − Property taxes
- −$4,333
- − Insurance
- −$4,990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,656
- − Management
- −$5,656
- − HOA
- −$8,724
- − Depreciation
- −$29,033
- Taxable loss
- −$43,594
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10,463
- After-tax cash flow
- $-14,534/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palos Verdes Peninsula Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0629700
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $130,734
- Composite
- 71.42/100
- National rank
- #460
- State rank
- #51 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Rolling Hills Estates
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #4273
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rolling Hills Estates, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 25,059
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,059
- Household income
- $215,925
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 300.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Asian 24% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · China, South Korea, Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Chinese 8% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.05%
- Current HPI
- 331.1402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-18.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $998,000 CRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $1,230,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $4,333 · +12.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…