426 Gallaher Bnd · Uhland, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Appreciation +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
5% lender incentive offered with the use of the seller’s in-house lender. Incentive may be used towards buyer closing costs and/or rate buy-down, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification. The Franklin floorplan – This thoughtfully designed two-story home offers approximately 2,036 square feet of living space with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a versatile layout that balances open-concept living with private retreats. The main level features a spacious family room that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, creating an inviting atmosphere for everyday living and entertaining. The well-appointed kitchen includes a large center island, quality cabinetry, ampl
Key facts
- Large center island
- Private retreat
- Spacious family room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Bollinger HOA with a monthly fee of $77 (covers common area maintenance); Community features include common grounds and community mailbox
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 covered parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected (Municipal Utility District); Sewer connected (Municipal Utility District)
- Home design: Two-story home; New construction; Faces northeast; Slab foundation
- Construction: New construction by DR HORTON; Board and batten siding; Cement siding; Composition roof; Built per builder records
- Exterior features: Private yard; Covered patio; Wood fencing; Back yard; Located on a cul-de-sac; Level lot; Automatic sprinklers; Small trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Plumbed for ice maker; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Kitchen island; Granite counters
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom; Multiple second-level bedrooms (Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3, Bedroom 4)
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Smart thermostat
- Interior features: Double pane windows; Smart technology; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Main level primary; Smart thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (12.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,385 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 325 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 529 units permitted in Caldwell County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Caldwell County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.71%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $299,990
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- -3.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317 Hodges St | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 | 2,034 (-0%) | 2mo | $339,990 | $167 | 86 |
| 427 Hodges St | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 2,034 (-0%) | 4mo | $314,990 | $155 | 78 |
| 229 Langston Dr | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 2,036 (0%) | 6mo | $299,990 | $147 | 76 |
| 521 Hodges St | 0.36mi | 4/3.0 | 2,154 (+6%) | 4mo | $354,990 | $165 | 69 |
| 430 Gallaher Bnd | 0.40mi | 4/2.5 | 1,951 (-4%) | 12mo | $299,990 | $154 | 64 |
| 341 Hodges St | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (-12%) | 6mo | $330,990 | $184 | 64 |
| 215 Langston Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,850 (-9%) | 6mo | $279,990 | $151 | 58 |
| 431 Hodges St | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (-12%) | 9mo | $299,990 | $167 | 54 |
| 418 Hodges St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (-12%) | 1mo | $299,990 | $167 | 54 |
| 506 Hodges St | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 | 1,796 (-12%) | 12mo | $332,385 | $185 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.02% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-44,074
- Equity at exit
- $68,458
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-61,184
- Equity at exit
- $71,598
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78656
- Home prices YoY
- -0.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.4%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,279 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$77
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $-247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-50 | -5% $-148 | +0% $-247 | +5% $-345 | +10% $-443 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-427 | -5% $-337 | +0% $-247 | +5% $-157 | +10% $-67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-103 | -0.5pp $-174 | base $-247 | +0.5pp $-320 | +1.0pp $-396 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Kendall Ln Kyle, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1543 | $1,895 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 271 Cottonwood Trl Maxwell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $2,000 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $77 · $924/yr
Listing history 40 events
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2026-06-21days on market $285,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-10pricedays on market $285,000 Active 1 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $289,990 Active 233 DOM
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2026-05-14$289,990 New 1954-char remark
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2026-05-07price $289,990 1994-char remark
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2026-05-07price $289,990
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2026-04-03status Active 1994-char remark
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2026-03-06price $299,990
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2026-02-13price $303,760
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2026-02-11status Active
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2026-02-11price $302,760
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2026-02-07price $303,760
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2026-02-07status Active
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2025-10-14status Pending 1994-char remark
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2025-10-14status Pending
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2025-10-10historical
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2025-09-18price $299,990
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2025-09-13price $299,990 1994-char remark
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2025-09-13price $299,990
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2025-07-30price $304,990 1994-char remark
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2025-07-30price $304,990
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2025-07-30price $329,850 1994-char remark
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2025-07-29price $329,850
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2025-07-29price $304,990
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2025-07-25price $304,990 1994-char remark
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2025-07-25price $304,990
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2025-07-02price $329,850 1994-char remark
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2025-07-01price $329,850
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2025-07-01price $329,850
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2025-05-29price $319,990 1994-char remark
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2025-05-27price $319,990
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2025-05-22price $319,990
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2025-04-22$329,990 Active 1994-char remark
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2025-04-12$329,990 Active
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2025-03-07$329,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,187
- − Management
- −$2,187
- − HOA
- −$924
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$7,912
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,899
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,059/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hays CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4800010
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,570
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5118
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Uhland
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1385
- US rank
- #23774
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Caldwell County · 25,195 people
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,847
- Household income
- $81,346
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 89.0
Population outlook (Caldwell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,557 people
- By 2030
- 49,673 · +6.7%
- By 2040
- 55,827 · +19.9%
- By 2050
- 61,832 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 77,212 · +65.8%
- By 2100
- 89,225 · +91.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 21% White 20% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 72%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 55%
Political lean MEDSL · Caldwell
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.4) · D 42.2% · R 56.6% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -14.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.4 2020: R+9.1 2016: R+15.8 2012: R+11.1 2008: R+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.02%
- Current HPI
- 228.3622
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.36%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.6% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $285,000 Unlock MLS
- 2026-05-31 Listing Removed — CTXMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2026-05-14 Listed $289,990 LERA
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $289,990 CTXMLS
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — CTXMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-11 Relisted — Unlock MLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-10-14 Pending — CTXMLS
- 2025-10-14 Pending — Unlock MLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $299,990 CTXMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $304,990 CTXMLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $329,850 CTXMLS
- 2025-07-29 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed $304,990 CTXMLS
- 2025-07-25 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-07-02 Price Changed $329,850 CTXMLS
- 2025-07-01 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $319,990 CTXMLS
- 2025-05-22 Price Changed — Unlock MLS
- 2025-04-22 Listed $329,990 CTXMLS
- 2025-04-12 Listed — Unlock MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…