33831 Camino Capistrano #19 · San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675

$429,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured · 242 Days on market

Built 1969 Good condition $299/sqft · 9% above area Est $396k · 9% over $404/mo HOA · 9% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +18.1/30.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.7/10.0
• Schools +5.7/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• ARV discount +3.7/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

WATCH THIS LISTING COME TO LIFE!!! CHECK OUT OUR STORYBOOK VIDEO IN THE VIRTUAL TOUR LINK BELOW. .. Discover your new haven in Villa San Juan. This charming mobile home offers a spacious 1,440sf layout featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms, perfect for comfort and privacy. Step inside to find a bright and inviting living room that seamlessly flows into the dining room and kitchen which is equipped with modern appliances and ample storage. The home is adorned with stunning wood floors that add warmth and elegance. Enjoy the benefits of fresh exterior renovations that elevate curb appeal and outdoor functionality. From updated exterior paint and fresh landscaping, the home’s exterior has been thoughtfully improved for both beauty and long-term value. Outdoor living is expanded with a large, comfortable deck — perfect for relaxing evenings or hosting gatherings. For added convenience, this home includes two storage sheds to keep your space organized and clutter-free. Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood, residents enjoy low space rent and the tranquility of a 55+ community. The location is simply unbeatable, with Dana Point Harbor and Doheny State Beach just a short drive away, providing wonderful options for leisure and scenic walks. Daily errands are a breeze with Costco Wholesale and Smart & Final located nearby. Enhance your lifestyle with a property that offers both the beauty of coastal living and the convenience of city amenities. Don’t miss the chance to make this delightful San Juan Capistrano mobile home your own!

Key facts

• Wood floors
• Modern appliances
• Two storage sheds

Tags

• SPACIOUS LAYOUT
• MODERN APPLIANCES
• WOOD FLOORS
• FRESH EXTERIOR RENOVATIONS
• LARGE COMFORTABLE DECK
• TWO STORAGE SHEDS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $430k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $430k).
• Recommended offer: $378k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.3% in San Juan Capistrano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#114 in CA, #4,023 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
• Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 106 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $120k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $378,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.34%
• Cash-on-cash: 3.73%
• DSCR: 1.17
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $396,143
• List price: $429,900
• Delta: 8.52%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 6 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
33831 Camino Capistrano #20	0.00mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,550 (+8%)	9mo	$480,000	$310	75
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #164	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	4mo	$360,000	$250	72
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #38	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,368 (-5%)	6mo	$439,000	$321	62
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #56	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,472 (+2%)	12mo	$325,000	$221	62
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #148	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,368 (-5%)	7mo	$255,000	$186	61
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #214	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	17mo	$325,000	$226	61
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #224	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,440 (0%)	20mo	$365,000	$253	59
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #99	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,416 (-2%)	20mo	$450,000	$318	56
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #188	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,580 (+10%)	4mo	$325,000	$206	56
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #20	0.52mi	2/2.0	1,512 (+5%)	17mo	$435,000	$288	53
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #55	0.52mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,650 (+15%)	7mo	$500,000	$303	40
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #187	0.67mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,566 (+9%)	19mo	$535,000	$342	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -5.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.77×
• Total profit: $-28,113
• Equity at exit: $64,099

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.6%
• Equity multiple: 1.93×
• Total profit: $111,981
• Equity at exit: $37,170

Cash invested: $120,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State California: 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 92675

• Rents YoY: 8.2%
• Active inventory: 106
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,746 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,254
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$537 /mo · $6,448/yr
• Insurance: −$179
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
• HOA: −$404
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$997
• Net cashflow: $252

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,427

Max offer price $429,900

Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $549	-5% $401	+0% $252	+5% $104	+10% $-45
Rent	-10% $-123	-5% $65	+0% $252	+5% $440	+10% $627
Rate	-1.0pp $469	-0.5pp $362	base $252	+0.5pp $141	+1.0pp $28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $107,475
• Closing costs: $12,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
33655 Breakwater Dr Dana Point, CA	3.0	3.0	1711	$4,850	$2.83	45d	1	0.31mi
33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	781	$3,495	$4.47	16d	1	0.35mi
26451 Camino De Vis San Juan Capistrano, CA	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	843	$3,830	$4.54	0d	6	0.52mi
985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.5	1506	$5,100	$3.39	45d	1	0.60mi
985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.5	1506	$5,395	$3.58	9d	1	0.60mi
876 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	1.0	1.0	934	$4,400	$4.71	14d	1	0.61mi
765 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.0	1497	$4,995	$3.34	45d	1	0.61mi
25872 Vista Dr W Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.5	1699	$7,200	$4.24	45d	1	0.63mi
769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.5	1506	$8,000	$5.31	9d	1	0.64mi
769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.5	1506	$5,200	$3.45	45d	1	0.64mi
34101 Via California #39 San Juan Capistrano, CA	3.0	2.5	1642	$4,500	$2.74	3d	1	0.67mi
26305 Via California Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.0	1500	$4,475	$2.98	9d	1	0.69mi
34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.5	1825	$5,800	$3.18	18d	1	0.75mi
34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.5	1825	$5,950	$3.26	45d	1	0.75mi
34421 Via Espinoza Unit A Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.0	1100	$3,800	$3.45	16d	1	0.76mi
34031 Mazo Dr Dana Point, CA	3.0	3.0	1811	$15,000	$8.28	0d	1	0.77mi
34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.5	1500	$5,500	$3.67	45d	1	0.79mi
34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.5	1500	$5,500	$3.67	22d	1	0.79mi
34375 Via San Juan Unit A Dana Point, CA	3.0	2.5	1750	$3,300	$1.89	18d	1	0.79mi
34465 Via Espinoza Unit A Capistrano Beach, CA	2.0	2.0	1400	$3,700	$2.64	45d	1	0.80mi
26142 Via California Unit A Dana Point, CA	2.0	1.5	1300	$3,600	$2.77	4d	1	0.82mi
33032 Driftwood Ct San Juan Capistrano, CA	3.0	2.0	1494	$5,199	$3.48	15d	1	0.82mi
34411 Via San Juan Unit B Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.5	1250	$4,000	$3.20	25d	1	0.84mi
34576 Via Verde Unit A Dana Point, CA	1.0	1.0	950	$2,880	$3.03	25d	1	0.87mi
32951 Avenida del Rosal San Juan Capistrano, CA	3.0	1.5	1210	$5,200	$4.30	45d	1	0.88mi
25091 La Cresta Dr Dana Point, CA	2.0	1.0	1000	$3,295	$3.29	45d	1	0.89mi
33852 Copper Lantern St Unit E Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.0	1100	$3,400	$3.09	22d	1	0.95mi
25251 Barque Way Dana Point, CA	3.0	2.0	1715	$6,000	$3.50	45d	1	0.97mi
33871 Copper Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.0	1100	$5,500	$5.00	16d	1	0.99mi
33871 Copper Lantern St Unit B Dana Point, CA	1.0	1.0	903	$4,000	$4.43	16d	1	0.99mi
33901 Copper Lantern St Dana Point, CA	2.0	1.5	1100	$4,700	$4.27	45d	1	0.99mi
33936 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA	2.0	1.5	1100	$3,450	$3.14	9d	1	1.01mi
26882 Calle Monterey Capistrano Beach, CA	3.0	2.0	1591	$6,400	$4.02	45d	1	1.01mi
34288 Camino El Molino Unit B Dana Point, CA	2.0	2.0	1264	$3,700	$2.93	45d	1	1.03mi
34288 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA	2.0	2.0	1264	$4,200	$3.32	45d	1	1.03mi
4023 Calle Mayo Unit A San Clemente, CA	2.0	2.0	1577	$6,990	$4.43	45d	1	1.03mi
34051 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA	3.0	2.0	1200	$8,500	$7.08	45d	1	1.06mi
34300 Lantern Bay Dr Dana Point, CA	2.0–3.0	2.0–3.5	2423	$6,500	$2.68	0d	4	1.09mi
33965 Malaga Dr Dana Point, CA	3.0	2.0	1000	$5,000	$5.00	25d	1	1.10mi
33742 Silver Lantern St Dana Point, CA	2.0	1.0	960	$2,795	$2.91	45d	1	1.10mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $404 · $4,848/yr
• Likely covers: landscaping

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $429,900 Active 242 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $429,900 Active 239 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $429,900 Active 238 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $429,900 Active 237 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $429,900 Active 236 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $429,900 Active 234 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $429,900 Active 233 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $429,900 Active 230 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $429,900 Active 229 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $429,900 Active 228 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $429,900 Active 225 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $429,900 Active 224 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $429,900 Active 223 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $429,900 Active 222 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $429,900 Active 221 DOM
16. 2026-04-16
    price $429,900 1575-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    WATCH THIS LISTING COME TO LIFE!!! CHECK OUT OUR STORYBOOK VIDEO IN THE VIRTUAL TOUR LINK BELOW. .. Discover your new haven in Villa San Juan. This charming mobile home offers a spacious 1,440sf layout featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms, perfect for comfort and privacy. Step inside to find a bright and inviting living room that seamlessly flows into the dining room and kitchen which is equipped with modern appliances and ample storage. The home is adorned with stunning wood floors that add warmth and elegance. Enjoy the benefits of fresh exterior renovations that elevate curb appeal and outdoor functionality. From updated exterior paint and fresh landscaping, the home’s exterior has been thoughtfully improved for both beauty and long-term value. Outdoor living is expanded with a large, comfortable deck — perfect for relaxing evenings or hosting gatherings. For added convenience, this home includes two storage sheds to keep your space organized and clutter-free. Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood, residents enjoy low space rent and the tranquility of a 55+ community. The location is simply unbeatable, with Dana Point Harbor and Doheny State Beach just a short drive away, providing wonderful options for leisure and scenic walks. Daily errands are a breeze with Costco Wholesale and Smart & Final located nearby. Enhance your lifestyle with a property that offers both the beauty of coastal living and the convenience of city amenities. Don’t miss the chance to make this delightful San Juan Capistrano mobile home your own!

17. 2025-10-22
    listed $440,000 Active 1575-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1575 chars)

    WATCH THIS LISTING COME TO LIFE!!! CHECK OUT OUR STORYBOOK VIDEO IN THE VIRTUAL TOUR LINK BELOW. .. Discover your new haven in Villa San Juan. This charming mobile home offers a spacious 1,440sf layout featuring two bedrooms and two bathrooms, perfect for comfort and privacy. Step inside to find a bright and inviting living room that seamlessly flows into the dining room and kitchen which is equipped with modern appliances and ample storage. The home is adorned with stunning wood floors that add warmth and elegance. Enjoy the benefits of fresh exterior renovations that elevate curb appeal and outdoor functionality. From updated exterior paint and fresh landscaping, the home’s exterior has been thoughtfully improved for both beauty and long-term value. Outdoor living is expanded with a large, comfortable deck — perfect for relaxing evenings or hosting gatherings. For added convenience, this home includes two storage sheds to keep your space organized and clutter-free. Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood, residents enjoy low space rent and the tranquility of a 55+ community. The location is simply unbeatable, with Dana Point Harbor and Doheny State Beach just a short drive away, providing wonderful options for leisure and scenic walks. Daily errands are a breeze with Costco Wholesale and Smart & Final located nearby. Enhance your lifestyle with a property that offers both the beauty of coastal living and the convenience of city amenities. Don’t miss the chance to make this delightful San Juan Capistrano mobile home your own!

18. 2025-06-27
    soldstatus $392,000 1446-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1446 chars)

    Discover your New Haven at 33831 Camino Capistrano Space 19 in the serene 55+ community, Villa San Juan. This charming mobile home, freshly listed and awaiting its new owners, offers a spacious 1,440 sf layout featuring two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a family room (currently being used as a formal dining room) with a cute inset mirrored bar. Step inside to find a bright and inviting living room that seamlessly flows into a beautifully updated kitchen equipped with modern appliances and ample storage. The home is adorned with stunning wood floors that add warmth and elegance. Outdoor living is redefined here, with a large, comfortable deck complete with a fire table — ideal for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. For added convenience, this home includes two storage sheds to keep your space organized. Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood, residents enjoy a very low HOA of only $404 per month. The location is simply unbeatable, with Dana Point Harbor, Dana Point Yacht Club, and Doheny State Beach just a short drive away, providing wonderful options for leisure and scenic walks. Daily necessities are easily taken care of with Costco Wholesale and Smart & Final Extra! nearby. Enhance your lifestyle with a property that offers both the beauty of coastal living and the convenience of city amenities all in one. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this delightful San Juan Capistrano mobile home your own!

19. 2025-06-27
    listed $392,000 1446-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1446 chars)

    Discover your New Haven at 33831 Camino Capistrano Space 19 in the serene 55+ community, Villa San Juan. This charming mobile home, freshly listed and awaiting its new owners, offers a spacious 1,440 sf layout featuring two bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a family room (currently being used as a formal dining room) with a cute inset mirrored bar. Step inside to find a bright and inviting living room that seamlessly flows into a beautifully updated kitchen equipped with modern appliances and ample storage. The home is adorned with stunning wood floors that add warmth and elegance. Outdoor living is redefined here, with a large, comfortable deck complete with a fire table — ideal for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. For added convenience, this home includes two storage sheds to keep your space organized. Nestled in a sought-after neighborhood, residents enjoy a very low HOA of only $404 per month. The location is simply unbeatable, with Dana Point Harbor, Dana Point Yacht Club, and Doheny State Beach just a short drive away, providing wonderful options for leisure and scenic walks. Daily necessities are easily taken care of with Costco Wholesale and Smart & Final Extra! nearby. Enhance your lifestyle with a property that offers both the beauty of coastal living and the convenience of city amenities all in one. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this delightful San Juan Capistrano mobile home your own!

20. 2025-05-28
    historical
21. 2025-05-02
    historical Active Under Contract
22. 2025-02-20
    listed $449,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AO · 24% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $56,955
• − Mortgage interest: −$24,081
• − Property taxes: −$6,448
• − Insurance: −$3,617
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,556
• − Management: −$4,556
• − HOA: −$4,848
• − Depreciation: −$12,506
• Taxable loss: −$3,658
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$878
• After-tax cash flow: $3,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This mobile home is in good condition with fresh exterior paint and updated landscaping, making it a great investment opportunity.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value
• Both Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
• Both Update flooring — New flooring can significantly increase both resale and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both Replace window treatments — Fresh window treatments improve aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
• Both Update flooring — New flooring can significantly increase both resale and rental value ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Capistrano Unified
• NCES district ID: 0607440
• Math proficiency: 50% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 72% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $99,673
• Composite: 56.56/100
• National rank: #1147
• State rank: #64 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Juan Capistrano

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #114
• US rank: #4023

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: San Juan Capistrano, CA
• County: Orange County · 3,096,323 people
• City population: 35,095
• Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
• Population (ZIP): 35,095
• Household income: $129,457
• Rent vs Own: 19.0% rent · 81.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 648.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 3,477,456 people
• By 2030: 3,613,117 · +3.9%
• By 2040: 3,835,945 · +10.3%
• By 2050: 3,968,736 · +14.1%
• By 2075: 4,097,053 · +17.8%
• By 2100: 3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
• Race & ethnicity: White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 32%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 67% English-only · Spanish 29% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -1003.11%
• Current HPI: 410.383
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.20%
• Metro: Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.21%
• F500 in state: 116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	27	$1,492B
▸Financial Services	3	$174B
▸Retail	3	$44B
▸Insurance	3	$26B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$115B
▸Pharmaceuticals / Biotech	2	$62B

Price history

-4.4% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-16 Price Changed $429,900 CRMLS
• 2025-10-22 Listed $440,000 CRMLS
• 2025-06-27 Listed $392,000 CRMLS
• 2025-06-27 Sold (MLS) $392,000 CRMLS
• 2025-05-28 Listing Removed — CRMLS
• 2025-05-02 Contingent — CRMLS
• 2025-02-20 Listed $449,900 CRMLS