5689 Westcreek Dr · Trotwood, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully maintained residence, offering a blend of comfort and elegance. This home presents an exceptional opportunity for those seeking a vibrant lifestyle in a desirable community. The thoughtful design and spacious layout create an inviting atmosphere, perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Enjoy the convenience of a prime location, providing easy access to local amenities and fostering a true sense of belonging. This property stands as a testament to sophisticated living, ready to welcome its new occupants into a world of comfort and charm. This remarkable home features four generously sized bedrooms, providing ample personal space for everyone. With two full bat
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1970
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage; Additional parking for four or more vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Water available
- Home design: Two-story residence; Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Patio; Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the second floor
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom (one main-level bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Butcher block counters; Pantry; High-speed internet; Vinyl window frames; Decorative gas fireplace with glass doors
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-500/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (2.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (8.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $237k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
- Trotwood-Madison City (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #645 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Trotwood-Madison Early Learning Center (416 students, 0% FRL); Trotwood-Madison Middle School (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #640 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 608 students, 0% FRL); Trotwood-Madison High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #717 of 781 statewide, top 92%, 770 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 78% district-wide (78 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,373/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 852% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $260k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.69%
- DSCR
- 0.97
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $260,352
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5570 Olive Tree Dr | 0.17mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,207 (-4%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $116 | 72 |
| 6200 Weybridge Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 | 2,080 (-10%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 6338 Weybridge Dr | 0.20mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,562 (+11%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $94 | 53 |
| 6128 Weybridge Dr | 0.44mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,207 (-4%) | 22mo | $220,000 | $100 | 49 |
| 2027 Ivy Rd | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 | 2,581 (+12%) | 3mo | $337,990 | $131 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-44,660
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- -9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-41,863
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45426
- Home prices YoY
- -12.0%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,373 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$445 /mo · $5,338/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$498
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $32 | +0% $-42 | +5% $-115 | +10% $-189 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-229 | -5% $-135 | +0% $-42 | +5% $52 | +10% $146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $89 | -0.5pp $24 | base $-42 | +0.5pp $-109 | +1.0pp $-178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4220 Willow Creek Dr Dayton, OH | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2598 | $3,000 | $1.15 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 6844 Union Rd Englewood, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,100 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6701 Whitaker St Dayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2487 | $2,800 | $1.13 | 46d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5754 Courtney Ln Clayton, OH | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2343 | $2,150 | $0.92 | 4d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5774 Courtney Ln Clayton, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2202 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-05-08$259,900 Active
-
2026-02-06soldstatus $100,000
-
2004-02-18soldstatus $139,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,338 · $445/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,338 · $445/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,471
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$5,338
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,278
- − Management
- −$2,278
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable loss
- −$4,841
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,162
- After-tax cash flow
- $661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trotwood-Madison City
- NCES district ID
- 3904869
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,529
- Composite
- 12.15/100
- National rank
- #9651
- State rank
- #645 of 656 in OH
Livability — Trotwood
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #20073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trotwood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 19,754
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,114
- Household income
- $51,908
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 852.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 22% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.94%
- Current HPI
- 329.0106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+85.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-08 Listed $259,900 Dayton MLS
- 2026-02-06 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2004-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $139,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $5,338 · +63.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…