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3450 Toledo Ter #512
C- Composite 50.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

3450 Toledo Ter #512 · Chillum, MD 20782
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 718 sqft · Condo public records · 76 Days on market
Built 1962 $146/sqft · 22% below area Est $135k · 22% under $678/mo HOA · 40% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.

Key facts

  • Private balcony
  • Tennis courts
  • Seville community

Tags

MID-RISE CONDOSEVILLE COMMUNITYCOMBINATION DINING LIVINGPRIVATE BALCONYINDOOR POOLTENNIS COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-274/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (3.8% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Chillum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#105 in MD, #4,157 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, cost of living D-.
  • Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: University Park Elementary (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #222 of 860 statewide, top 26%, 437 students, 53% FRL); Nicholas Orem Middle (math 4% / reading 20%, grade F, #202 of 225 statewide, top 91%, 1,138 students, 92% FRL); Northwestern High (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #169 of 222 statewide, top 76%, 2,346 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
6.03%
Cash-on-cash
-0.93%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,954
List price
$105,000
Delta
-22.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-23,030
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
-56.0%
Equity multiple
-0.34×
Total profit
$-39,471
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20782

Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,699 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,115/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$678
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$-23

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,728
Max offer price $100,968
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $37 -5% $7 +0% $-23 +5% $-53 +10% $-82
Rent -10% $-157 -5% $-90 +0% $-23 +5% $44 +10% $111
Rate -1.0pp $30 -0.5pp $4 base $-23 +0.5pp $-50 +1.0pp $-78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3450 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 803 $1,650 $2.05 17d 3 0.02mi
3420 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 912 $2,062 $2.26 1d 21 0.11mi
3507 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0 668 $1,391 $2.08 3d 17 0.15mi
3400 Dean Dr Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 700 $1,650 $2.36 5d 1 0.20mi
3350 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 921 $2,009 $2.18 0d 24 0.26mi
6700 Belcrest Rd Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 931 $1,701 $1.83 1d 32 0.27mi
3300 Toledo Rd Hyattsville, MD 1.0–3.0 2.0 875 $1,730 $1.98 1d 63 0.28mi
6506 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 841 $1,950 $2.32 4d 2 0.37mi
6506 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 728 $1,950 $2.68 45d 2 0.37mi
3401 East-West Hwy Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 898 $2,200 $2.45 0d 10 0.39mi
6400 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 841 $1,761 $2.09 21d 81 0.43mi
6445 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 915 $1,970 $2.15 0d 30 0.43mi
3300 East-West Hwy Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 898 $1,902 $2.12 0d 46 0.43mi
6210 Belcrest Rd Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 984 $1,906 $1.94 0d 18 0.54mi
6108 42nd Ave Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 725 $1,300 $1.79 45d 1 0.92mi
5735 29th Ave Hyattsville, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0 763 $1,200 $1.57 1d 50 0.97mi
2731 Nicholson St Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0 515 $1,280 $2.49 1d 21 0.98mi
3711 Campus Dr College Park, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,747 $1.84 0d 89 0.99mi
3342 Lancer Dr Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 763 $1,270 $1.66 1d 11 1.02mi
4203 Oglethorpe St Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 585 $1,650 $2.82 26d 4 1.10mi
4313 Knox Rd #311 College Park, MD 2.0 1.0 708 $2,500 $3.53 26d 1 1.12mi
4400 Calvert Rd College Park, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1112 $2,153 $1.94 20d 27 1.14mi
5685 Little Branch Run Hyattsville, MD 3.0 1.0–2.0 939 $2,571 $2.74 0d 20 1.15mi
2213 University Blvd E Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 580 $1,304 $2.25 6d 3 1.20mi
2200 Phelps Rd Adelphi, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 586 $1,380 $2.35 0d 47 1.21mi
4410 Oglethorpe St Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 828 $1,850 $2.23 45d 3 1.24mi
7302 Riggs Rd #204 Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0 530 $1,350 $2.55 45d 1 1.28mi
3900 Hamilton St Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 694 $1,474 $2.12 1d 9 1.30mi
5207 38th Ave Unit A Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 350 $1,350 $3.86 26d 1 1.35mi
7405 18th Ave Unit 108 Hyattsville, MD 2.0 1.0 660 $1,699 $2.57 45d 1 1.36mi
1507 Ray Rd Chillum, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 820 $1,515 $1.85 26d 1 1.37mi
4703 Ravenswood Rd Unit 25 Riverdale, MD 1.0 1.0 650 $1,490 $2.29 45d 1 1.40mi
4701 Ravenswood Rd Unit 14 Riverdale, MD 1.0 1.0 650 $1,490 $2.29 45d 1 1.41mi
1801 Jasmine Ter Hyattsville, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0 610 $1,530 $2.51 5d 29 1.43mi
4502 Kennedy St Unit 1 Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 450 $1,150 $2.56 26d 1 1.49mi
4502 Kennedy St Unit 1 Hyattsville, MD 1.0 1.0 450 $1,150 $2.56 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$678 · $8,136/yr
Likely covers
gaspoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $105,000 Pending 76 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 59 DOM
  14. 2026-04-02
    listed $129,900 Active 895-char remark
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.

  15. 2026-04-02
    historical
    Show marketing remark (895 chars)

    This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.

  16. 2026-03-16
    listed $130,000 Active
  17. 2007-11-07
    soldstatus $151,000
  18. 2007-10-26
    soldstatus $151,000 Sold
  19. 2007-10-25
    historical
  20. 2007-08-14
    listed $160,000
  21. 1991-06-24
    soldstatus $56,700

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,115 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,130 · $94/mo
Expected delta
+$15/yr (+$1/mo · 1.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,393
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,115
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,631
− Management
−$1,631
− HOA
−$8,136
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$1,583
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$380
After-tax cash flow
$106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Prince George'S County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400510
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$73,967
Composite
16.82/100
National rank
#9151
State rank
#21 of 24 in MD

Livability — Chillum

Score
75/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#4157

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living D- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chillum, MD
County
Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
34,293
Household income
$90,205
Rent vs Own
56.2% rent · 43.8% own
Severe rent burden
1219.0

Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,005,426 people
By 2030
1,048,416 · +4.3%
By 2040
1,123,425 · +11.7%
By 2050
1,183,220 · +17.7%
By 2075
1,306,202 · +29.9%
By 2100
1,408,179 · +40.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 41% Black 37% White 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's

2024 margin
Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -303.99%
Current HPI
306.7503
Rent YoY
▼ -0.92%
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-02 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
  • 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) $151,000 MRIS
  • 2007-10-25 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-08-14 Listed $160,000 MRIS
  • 1991-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $56,700 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,115 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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