3450 Toledo Ter #512 · Chillum, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Tennis courts
- Seville community
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-23 ($-274/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $101k (3.8% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.3% in Chillum — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#105 in MD, #4,157 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, cost of living D-.
- Prince George'S County Public Schools (suburban): math 8% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #21 of 24 in MD (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: University Park Elementary (math 23% / reading 32%, grade F, #222 of 860 statewide, top 26%, 437 students, 53% FRL); Nicholas Orem Middle (math 4% / reading 20%, grade F, #202 of 225 statewide, top 91%, 1,138 students, 92% FRL); Northwestern High (math 15% / reading 32%, grade F, #169 of 222 statewide, top 76%, 2,346 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 156 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,481 units permitted in Prince George's County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Prince George's County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 40% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.93%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $134,954
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -22.20%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.22×
- Total profit
- $-23,030
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -56.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-39,471
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20782
- Rents YoY
- -0.9%
- Active inventory
- 156
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,699 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$93 /mo · $1,115/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$678
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $-23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $37 | -5% $7 | +0% $-23 | +5% $-53 | +10% $-82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-157 | -5% $-90 | +0% $-23 | +5% $44 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $30 | -0.5pp $4 | base $-23 | +0.5pp $-50 | +1.0pp $-78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3450 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 17d | 3 | 0.02mi |
| 3420 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $2,062 | $2.26 | 1d | 21 | 0.11mi |
| 3507 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 668 | $1,391 | $2.08 | 3d | 17 | 0.15mi |
| 3400 Dean Dr Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 3350 Toledo Ter Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $2,009 | $2.18 | 0d | 24 | 0.26mi |
| 6700 Belcrest Rd Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,701 | $1.83 | 1d | 32 | 0.27mi |
| 3300 Toledo Rd Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $1,730 | $1.98 | 1d | 63 | 0.28mi |
| 6506 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,950 | $2.32 | 4d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 6506 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,950 | $2.68 | 45d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 3401 East-West Hwy Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $2,200 | $2.45 | 0d | 10 | 0.39mi |
| 6400 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 841 | $1,761 | $2.09 | 21d | 81 | 0.43mi |
| 6445 America Blvd Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,970 | $2.15 | 0d | 30 | 0.43mi |
| 3300 East-West Hwy Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 898 | $1,902 | $2.12 | 0d | 46 | 0.43mi |
| 6210 Belcrest Rd Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 984 | $1,906 | $1.94 | 0d | 18 | 0.54mi |
| 6108 42nd Ave Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,300 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5735 29th Ave Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,200 | $1.57 | 1d | 50 | 0.97mi |
| 2731 Nicholson St Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 515 | $1,280 | $2.49 | 1d | 21 | 0.98mi |
| 3711 Campus Dr College Park, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,747 | $1.84 | 0d | 89 | 0.99mi |
| 3342 Lancer Dr Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 763 | $1,270 | $1.66 | 1d | 11 | 1.02mi |
| 4203 Oglethorpe St Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $1,650 | $2.82 | 26d | 4 | 1.10mi |
| 4313 Knox Rd #311 College Park, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $2,500 | $3.53 | 26d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4400 Calvert Rd College Park, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1112 | $2,153 | $1.94 | 20d | 27 | 1.14mi |
| 5685 Little Branch Run Hyattsville, MD | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 939 | $2,571 | $2.74 | 0d | 20 | 1.15mi |
| 2213 University Blvd E Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $1,304 | $2.25 | 6d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 2200 Phelps Rd Adelphi, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 586 | $1,380 | $2.35 | 0d | 47 | 1.21mi |
| 4410 Oglethorpe St Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 828 | $1,850 | $2.23 | 45d | 3 | 1.24mi |
| 7302 Riggs Rd #204 Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $1,350 | $2.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3900 Hamilton St Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 694 | $1,474 | $2.12 | 1d | 9 | 1.30mi |
| 5207 38th Ave Unit A Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 350 | $1,350 | $3.86 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7405 18th Ave Unit 108 Hyattsville, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,699 | $2.57 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1507 Ray Rd Chillum, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,515 | $1.85 | 26d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4703 Ravenswood Rd Unit 25 Riverdale, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,490 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4701 Ravenswood Rd Unit 14 Riverdale, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,490 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1801 Jasmine Ter Hyattsville, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 610 | $1,530 | $2.51 | 5d | 29 | 1.43mi |
| 4502 Kennedy St Unit 1 Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,150 | $2.56 | 26d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4502 Kennedy St Unit 1 Hyattsville, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 450 | $1,150 | $2.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $678 · $8,136/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspoolsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-17status $105,000 Pending 76 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $105,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-02$129,900 Active 895-char remark
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.
-
2026-04-02historical
Show marketing remark (895 chars)
This charming mid-rise condo in the desirable Seville community offers a blend of comfort and convenience. Spanning 718 sq. ft. , the unit features a cozy combination dining/living with balcony. The kitchen is equipped with essential appliances, including a gas oven/range, refrigerator, dishwasher, and disposal, catering to all your culinary needs. Residents enjoy access to a range of amenities, including an indoor pool, tennis courts, and a community center, fostering an active lifestyle. The building provides security with a lobby desk and includes essential utilities in the association fee, ensuring hassle-free living. Step outside to your private balcony for fresh air. Located near local shops and dining options, this property is ideal for those seeking a vibrant community atmosphere. Well maintained and moving in condition. Conveniently located, and priced low for a quick sale.
-
2026-03-16$130,000 Active
-
2007-11-07soldstatus $151,000
-
2007-10-26soldstatus $151,000 Sold
-
2007-10-25historical
-
2007-08-14$160,000
-
1991-06-24soldstatus $56,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,115 · $93/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,130 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 1.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,115
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,631
- − Management
- −$1,631
- − HOA
- −$8,136
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$1,583
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$380
- After-tax cash flow
- $106/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Prince George'S County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400510
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,967
- Composite
- 16.82/100
- National rank
- #9151
- State rank
- #21 of 24 in MD
Livability — Chillum
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #4157
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Chillum, MD
- County
- Prince Georges County · 919,866 people
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,293
- Household income
- $90,205
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1219.0
Population outlook (Prince George's County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,005,426 people
- By 2030
- 1,048,416 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 1,123,425 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 1,183,220 · +17.7%
- By 2075
- 1,306,202 · +29.9%
- By 2100
- 1,408,179 · +40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 41% Black 37% White 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 42% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 37% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Prince George's
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+75.2) · D 86.3% · R 11.2% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: 78.5pp · 2024: 75.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+75.2 2020: D+80.5 2016: D+81.0 2012: D+80.9 2008: D+78.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -303.99%
- Current HPI
- 306.7503
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.92%
- Metro
- Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+129.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-02 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2007-11-07 Sold (Public Records) $151,000 Public Records
- 2007-10-26 Sold (MLS) $151,000 MRIS
- 2007-10-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 2007-08-14 Listed $160,000 MRIS
- 1991-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $56,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,115 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…