13144 Coxswain Ct · Hudson, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is a definite must-see! In desirable Signal Cove with deep and unobstructed Gulf access, this two bedroom two bath is an absolute doll-house. Immaculate inside and out, tastefully updated and decorated. From the etched glass double entry doors to the lighted built-in bookshelves to the bold use of color, there are many extras here that make this home something special. Newer laminate floors and carpet, updated kitchen and baths, a spectacular Florida room facing the water that`s perfect for entertaining. In mint condition ready to move in and enjoy - bring your pickiest buyers! SELLER HIGHLY MOTIVATED--BRING ALL OFFERS!!! SELLER OFFERING HOME WARRANTY. SELLER WILL PAY $2000 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS OR $2000 TOWARDS BUYERS HOME OWNERS INSURANCE
Key facts
- Direct gulf access
- Canal home
- Large florida room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed in a community with clubhouse; Property condition noted as fixer; Waterfront property on a saltwater canal with 51 ft frontage; canal and Gulf/Ocean access, features include no fixed bridges, minimum wake zone, concrete seawall, and skiing allowed
- HOA & community: Association: Aggie Purinton; Community clubhouse
Exterior
- Parking: Paved road access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected; Cable available; Satellite dish
- Home design: Mobile home (double wide); One level; Faces north; Located on a cul-de-sac; Irregular lot; In-county location; Flood zone
- Construction: Metal frame construction; Metal roof; Built as double wide; Shed(s)/storage structures on site
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Porch and side porch; Balcony; Outdoor grill; Sliding doors; Storage; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Linoleum; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Living room/dining room combo; Walk-in closets; Blinds; Shutters
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry inside; Inside utility/Florida room/Family room additional living spaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $126 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $175k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 3.4% in Hudson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#289 in FL, #4,856 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gulf Highlands Elementary School (math 29% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,862 of 2,144 statewide, top 88%, 714 students, 89% FRL); Fivay High School (math 20% / reading 28%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,610 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 48% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pasco average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 790 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,309/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($51k/yr) (locally 946% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.16%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,480
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13017 Port Ct | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,404 (-2%) | 13mo | $305,000 | $217 | 74 |
| 6337 Tower Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-10%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $255 | 69 |
| 6513 Tower Dr | 0.25mi | 3/3.0 | 1,248 (-13%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $192 | 60 |
| 13127 Keel Ct | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (-6%) | 17mo | $102,000 | $76 | 59 |
| 13104 Keel Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-10%) | 11mo | $399,900 | $309 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.45×
- Total profit
- $-27,589
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-38,574
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34667
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 790
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,309 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$253 /mo · $3,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$485
- Net cashflow
- $126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $177 | +0% $126 | +5% $75 | +10% $24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-57 | -5% $35 | +0% $126 | +5% $217 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $216 | -0.5pp $172 | base $126 | +0.5pp $79 | +1.0pp $32 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13240 Starfish Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1155 | $2,000 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 13128 Beacon Ct Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 13315 Neptune Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,000 | $2.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 13428 Neptune Dr Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,195 | $1.74 | 0d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 6623 Boatyard Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,500 | $2.07 | 18d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 13617 Frances Ave Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,850 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12535 3rd Isle Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,600 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 13729 Cox Ave Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $2,450 | $1.60 | 25d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6105 Sea Ranch Dr Unit 1545766P Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $2,322 | $2.45 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 6035 Sea Ranch Dr #508 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,500 | $2.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6035 Sea Ranch Dr #215 Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,995 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6035 Sea Ranch Dr #211 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,400 | $1.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6035 Sea Ranch Dr #901 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $3,500 | $2.83 | 5d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6009 Sea Ranch Dr #707 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,300 | $2.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6009 Sea Ranch Dr #108 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,500 | $2.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6009 Sea Ranch Dr #208 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,150 | $2.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5915 Sea Ranch Dr Unit 509W Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 13806 San Juan Ave Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,500 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 13913 Berkowitz Ave Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,295 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 7216 Gulf Breeze Cir Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $1,731 | $1.14 | 0d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 13847 Maria Dr Hudson beach34674, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7300 Country Club Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,400 | $1.51 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6891 Clark St Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1728 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 12702 Social Dr Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,500 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 12809 College Hill Dr Hudson, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,780 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7433 Greystone Dr #7433 Hudson, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,300 | $1.26 | 18d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-04-06$179,900 Active
-
2006-08-23soldstatus $180,000
-
2006-08-18soldstatus $180,000 770-char remark
Show marketing remark (770 chars)
This home is a definite must-see! In desirable Signal Cove with deep and unobstructed Gulf access, this two bedroom two bath is an absolute doll-house. Immaculate inside and out, tastefully updated and decorated. From the etched glass double entry doors to the lighted built-in bookshelves to the bold use of color, there are many extras here that make this home something special. Newer laminate floors and carpet, updated kitchen and baths, a spectacular Florida room facing the water that`s perfect for entertaining. In mint condition ready to move in and enjoy - bring your pickiest buyers! SELLER HIGHLY MOTIVATED--BRING ALL OFFERS!!! SELLER OFFERING HOME WARRANTY. SELLER WILL PAY $2000 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS OR $2000 TOWARDS BUYERS HOME OWNERS INSURANCE
-
2005-05-15$224,750
Show marketing remark (770 chars)
This home is a definite must-see! In desirable Signal Cove with deep and unobstructed Gulf access, this two bedroom two bath is an absolute doll-house. Immaculate inside and out, tastefully updated and decorated. From the etched glass double entry doors to the lighted built-in bookshelves to the bold use of color, there are many extras here that make this home something special. Newer laminate floors and carpet, updated kitchen and baths, a spectacular Florida room facing the water that`s perfect for entertaining. In mint condition ready to move in and enjoy - bring your pickiest buyers! SELLER HIGHLY MOTIVATED--BRING ALL OFFERS!!! SELLER OFFERING HOME WARRANTY. SELLER WILL PAY $2000 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS OR $2000 TOWARDS BUYERS HOME OWNERS INSURANCE
-
2005-05-15$195,000 770-char remark
Show marketing remark (770 chars)
This home is a definite must-see! In desirable Signal Cove with deep and unobstructed Gulf access, this two bedroom two bath is an absolute doll-house. Immaculate inside and out, tastefully updated and decorated. From the etched glass double entry doors to the lighted built-in bookshelves to the bold use of color, there are many extras here that make this home something special. Newer laminate floors and carpet, updated kitchen and baths, a spectacular Florida room facing the water that`s perfect for entertaining. In mint condition ready to move in and enjoy - bring your pickiest buyers! SELLER HIGHLY MOTIVATED--BRING ALL OFFERS!!! SELLER OFFERING HOME WARRANTY. SELLER WILL PAY $2000 TOWARDS BUYER'S CLOSING COSTS OR $2000 TOWARDS BUYERS HOME OWNERS INSURANCE
-
2004-09-10soldstatus $178,500
-
2004-09-03soldstatus $178,500
-
2004-08-06historical
-
2004-07-08$185,000
-
2003-09-10soldstatus $89,900
-
2000-12-20soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,036 · $253/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,036 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,702
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$3,036
- − Insurance
- −$6,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,216
- − Management
- −$2,216
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,095
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$263
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,773/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hudson
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #289
- US rank
- #4856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hudson, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 45,307
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,689
- Household income
- $51,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.96%
- Current HPI
- 307.5552
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.26%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+318.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2006-08-18 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-15 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-15 Listed $224,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $178,500 Public Records
- 2004-09-03 Sold (MLS) $178,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-06 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-07-08 Listed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2000-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,036 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…