136 Maplewood Ave · Ambridge, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Two bedroom home with generous room sizes, an updated kitchen, newer furnace, and roof. Home has a covered front porch, level rear yard, and shed.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Level rear yard
- Shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $457 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 6.6% in Ambridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#293 in PA, #2,594 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime F.
- Ambridge Area SD (suburban): math 23% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #408 of 539 in PA (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 272 units permitted in Beaver County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Beaver County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $18k; list at $60k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.69%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,328
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 448 Melrose Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,216 (0%) | 5mo | $42,000 | $35 | 76 |
| 277 Glenwood Dr | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,111 (-9%) | 2mo | $62,000 | $56 | 72 |
| 133 Maplewood Ave | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-13%) | 8mo | $121,300 | $115 | 65 |
| 108 Main St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,335 (+10%) | 1mo | $152,500 | $114 | 62 |
| 86 Main St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+10%) | 7mo | $141,000 | $105 | 61 |
| 895 Valley Rd | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,134 (-7%) | 6mo | $49,990 | $44 | 53 |
| 557 Glenwood Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 | 1,312 (+8%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $126 | 52 |
| 17 Ambridge Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (-6%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $83 | 49 |
| 591 Virginia Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-8%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $143 | 43 |
| 645 Melrose Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,114 (-8%) | 11mo | $120,000 | $108 | 43 |
| 600 Howard St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,092 (-10%) | 11mo | $185,000 | $169 | 41 |
| 836 Duss Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,384 (+14%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $40 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.16×
- Total profit
- $19,441
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $54,585
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15003
- Home prices YoY
- -15.7%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$119 /mo · $1,434/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $457
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 Locust St Ambridge, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 1d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 230 Locust St Ambridge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1205 | $1,103 | $0.92 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 355 Maplewood Ave Ambridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $935 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 230 Ambridge Ave Unit 1 Ambridge, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $825 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1700 Beaver Rd Ambridge, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,495 | $1.36 | 16d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-03-06status Pending
-
2026-02-23status Active
-
2026-01-22status Pending
-
2026-01-15price $59,900
-
2025-11-13price $69,900
-
2025-09-25$79,900 Active
-
1987-03-06soldstatus $17,500
-
1981-10-01soldstatus $19,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,434 · $119/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,434 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,906
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$1,434
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,112
- − Management
- −$1,112
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,850
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,164
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ambridge Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202440
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,514
- Composite
- 30.62/100
- National rank
- #6190
- State rank
- #408 of 539 in PA
Livability — Ambridge
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #293
- US rank
- #2594
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ambridge, PA
- County
- Beaver County · 116,001 people
- City population
- 11,387
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,387
- Household income
- $59,550
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 397.0
Population outlook (Beaver County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,976 people
- By 2030
- 161,449 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 151,752 · -8.0%
- By 2050
- 141,155 · -14.4%
- By 2075
- 118,142 · -28.4%
- By 2100
- 91,740 · -44.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Beaver
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.42%
- Current HPI
- 249.8525
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+204.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-02-23 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-22 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $69,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-09-25 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 1987-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $17,500 Public Records
- 1981-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,434 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…