560 N F St · Tulare, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 36 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 39 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.7/30.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.9/10.0
- DSCR +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,995
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Turn Key And Move Right In!!!3Bedrooms and 2Bathrooms With a Mother In Law Suite, Completely Remolded Nice Size Front And Back Yard. Run Don't Walk To See This Home It Will Sell Fast!!!
Key facts
- 6,800 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1946
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-263 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (20.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $156k (30.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $156k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.3% in Tulare — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#701 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: commute C-, employment D+, schools D-.
- Tulare Joint Union High (suburban): math 18% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #280 of 517 in CA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 352 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.69% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.02%
- DSCR
- 0.78
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 257 N F St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,156 (+1%) | 2mo | $320,000 | $277 | 74 |
| 624 N N Pl | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,192 (+5%) | 1mo | $302,000 | $253 | 54 |
| 129 S C St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,283 (+12%) | 2mo | $264,000 | $206 | 51 |
| 539 N M St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-7%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $251 | 51 |
| 892 W Madalyn Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (-12%) | 7mo | $320,000 | $317 | 50 |
| 501 N California Ct | 0.44mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 1,032 (-10%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $291 | 48 |
| 522 N Dickran Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,044 (-8%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $239 | 47 |
| 533 Huntington Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+4%) | 14mo | $310,000 | $261 | 47 |
| 923 N H St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,259 (+10%) | 12mo | $290,000 | $230 | 44 |
| 563 N O Street St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (-14%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $254 | 42 |
| 1248 W Pleasant Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+10%) | 14mo | $317,000 | $254 | 30 |
| 890 Belmont St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,270 (+11%) | 13mo | $320,000 | $252 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.67% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.15×
- Total profit
- $-53,767
- Equity at exit
- $33,547
- IRR
- -22.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-70,582
- Equity at exit
- $19,453
Cash invested: $62,999 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93274
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,559 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,660/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$327
- Net cashflow
- $-263
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,249
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 W Oakland Ave Unit d Tulare, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $875 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1136 W Damron Ave Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1255 N H St Tulare, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 606 Auburn St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1166 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 648 Auburn St Tulare, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 955 S K St Tulare, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 21d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 656 E Prosperity Ave Tulare, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,500 | $1.72 | 14d | 2 | 1.25mi |
| 1919 N Oaks St Tulare, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1380 | $2,325 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2022-04-26historical
-
2022-03-23$224,995
-
2021-03-31soldstatus $225,000 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Turn Key And Move Right In!!!3Bedrooms and 2Bathrooms With a Mother In Law Suite, Completely Remolded Nice Size Front And Back Yard. Run Don't Walk To See This Home It Will Sell Fast!!!
-
2021-03-12soldstatus $225,000
-
2021-02-01$224,995 186-char remark
Show marketing remark (186 chars)
Turn Key And Move Right In!!!3Bedrooms and 2Bathrooms With a Mother In Law Suite, Completely Remolded Nice Size Front And Back Yard. Run Don't Walk To See This Home It Will Sell Fast!!!
-
2020-09-01soldstatus $145,000
-
2020-08-31soldstatus $145,000 69-char remark
Show marketing remark (69 chars)
2 bed 1 bath on a corner lot. Good for a 1st time buyer or investor.
-
2007-04-13soldstatus $179,000
-
2002-01-29soldstatus $74,000
-
1997-08-19soldstatus $68,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,660 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,660 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 36 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,660
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,497
- − Management
- −$1,497
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$7,216
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,732
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,430/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tulare Joint Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0639930
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,858
- Composite
- 29.91/100
- National rank
- #6384
- State rank
- #280 of 517 in CA
Livability — Tulare
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #21185
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tulare, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 80,026
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,026
- Household income
- $72,650
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2393.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 64% White 29% Two or more races 24% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 60%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 7% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -402.03%
- Current HPI
- 316.0806
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.67%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+228.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2022-04-26 Delisted — TCMLS
- 2022-03-23 Listed $224,995 TCMLS
- 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $225,000 GEMLS
- 2021-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $225,000 Public Records
- 2021-02-01 Listed $224,995 GEMLS
- 2020-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) $145,000 TCMLS
- 2007-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $179,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
- 1997-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,660 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…