195 New York Ave · New Brunswick, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$4,300
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
True gem! Multi-level, Lots of Renovations and upgrade! Main has 4 bedrooms, a study, and 2 and bath. The rooms are large, with high ceilings, oak floors, dramatic architectural cutouts, built-in-bookcases; elaborate tile work in the bathrooms, many closets and a working marble fireplace in the elegant, oversized living room ready for the winter. Enjoy a beautiful kitchen with large bay window, new flooring and custom designed eat- in-kitchen space. Spacious laundry and storage room. Large formal dining room with built-in wood china closets. Beautiful sunroom with built-in grill (not in use) and spacious . It also has a 2 car garage with a brand new garage door, full clean, dry basement, and large spacious attic. It also has a fully renovated studio apartment with a brand new Kitchen and Bath, Washer and Dryer, new plumbing, electrical, receding lights; can be converted to a one bedroom apartment instantly. Home Warranty included! Check out our virtual open house video!
Key facts
- Spacious dining room
- Spacious living room
- 0.32 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2-car width; Garage door opener; Driveway; Open parking available; Two covered parking spaces
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Detached property; Two stories
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Full daylight basement with storage space; Basement utility room; Building with two levels
- Exterior features: Patio; Lot near shopping; Lot near train
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Separate dining area; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Gas range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom with full bath
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Central heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Fire alarm; Library / office; Living room; Formal dining room; Attic; Full bath; Main bath; Three bedrooms; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $4k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $4k).
- Cap rate 839.4% vs local median 3.8% in New Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#154 in NJ, #3,986 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
- New Brunswick School District (urban): math 4% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #463 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,971 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (1,193 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,816/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $30 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $129 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Middlesex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 88.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 839.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2975.23%
- DSCR
- 133.38
- GRM
- 0.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 161.18×
- Total profit
- $192,856
- Equity at exit
- $641
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 355.70×
- Total profit
- $427,060
- Equity at exit
- $372
Cash invested: $1,204 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08901
- Home prices YoY
- -33.2%
- Rents YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 0.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,816 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$23
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$5 /mo · $64/yr
- Insurance
- −$2
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$801
- Net cashflow
- $2,985
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,075
- Closing costs
- $129
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 New York Ave New Brunswick, NJ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2892 | $4,300 | $1.49 | 1d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 115 Remsen Ave New Brunswick, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2736 | $2,800 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-02remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-02$4,300 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,795
- − Mortgage interest
- −$241
- − Property taxes
- −$64
- − Insurance
- −$22
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,664
- − Management
- −$3,664
- − Depreciation
- −$125
- Taxable income
- $38,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,698/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Brunswick School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411220
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,376
- Composite
- 11.53/100
- National rank
- #9700
- State rank
- #463 of 472 in NJ
Livability — New Brunswick
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #154
- US rank
- #3986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Brunswick, NJ
- County
- Middlesex County · 714,427 people
- City population
- 57,263
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,263
- Household income
- $65,810
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4329.0
Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 901,713 people
- By 2030
- 930,661 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 986,276 · +9.4%
- By 2050
- 1,038,920 · +15.2%
- By 2075
- 1,159,418 · +28.6%
- By 2100
- 1,221,973 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 26% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 9% Native American 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 44% English-only · Spanish 46% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.0) · D 52.5% · R 44.5% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.0 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+19.8 2012: D+27.0 2008: D+21.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.76%
- Current HPI
- 297.8885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.87%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
||
Price history
-96.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $4,300 CJMLS
- 2023-07-11 Rental Removed — CJMLS
- 2021-03-18 Sold (MLS) $645,000 CJMLS
- 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $645,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-11 Sold (MLS) $645,000 CJMLS
- 2021-01-23 Delisted — CJMLS
- 2021-01-23 Delisted — CJMLS
- 2020-12-21 Listed $650,000 CJMLS
- 2020-12-21 Listed $650,000 CJMLS
- 1979-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $15,781 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…