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195 New York Ave
D Composite 43.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$4,300

195 New York Ave · New Brunswick, NJ 08901
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,308 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1947 0.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

True gem! Multi-level, Lots of Renovations and upgrade! Main has 4 bedrooms, a study, and 2 and bath. The rooms are large, with high ceilings, oak floors, dramatic architectural cutouts, built-in-bookcases; elaborate tile work in the bathrooms, many closets and a working marble fireplace in the elegant, oversized living room ready for the winter. Enjoy a beautiful kitchen with large bay window, new flooring and custom designed eat- in-kitchen space. Spacious laundry and storage room. Large formal dining room with built-in wood china closets. Beautiful sunroom with built-in grill (not in use) and spacious . It also has a 2 car garage with a brand new garage door, full clean, dry basement, and large spacious attic. It also has a fully renovated studio apartment with a brand new Kitchen and Bath, Washer and Dryer, new plumbing, electrical, receding lights; can be converted to a one bedroom apartment instantly. Home Warranty included! Check out our virtual open house video!

Key facts

  • Spacious dining room
  • Spacious living room
  • 0.32 acre lot

Tags

CLOSE TO COLLEGE CAMPUSCLOSE TO ST.PETER'S HOSPITALCLOSE TO RUTGERS COLLEGE AVESPACIOUS LIVING ROOMSPACIOUS DINING ROOMSPACIOUS LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2-car width; Garage door opener; Driveway; Open parking available; Two covered parking spaces
  • Security: Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Detached property; Two stories
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; Full daylight basement with storage space; Basement utility room; Building with two levels
  • Exterior features: Patio; Lot near shopping; Lot near train

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Separate dining area; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Gas range/oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Range
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with full bath
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Central heating; Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Fire alarm; Library / office; Living room; Formal dining room; Attic; Full bath; Main bath; Three bedrooms; Seven total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $4k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($36k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $4k).
  • Cap rate 839.4% vs local median 3.8% in New Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#154 in NJ, #3,986 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime F.
  • New Brunswick School District (urban): math 4% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #463 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,971 units permitted in Middlesex County in 2024 (1,193 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,816/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 4329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $30 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $129 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Middlesex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $4,300

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
88.75%
Cap rate
839.36%
Cash-on-cash
2975.23%
DSCR
133.38
GRM
0.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
161.18×
Total profit
$192,856
Equity at exit
$641
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
355.70×
Total profit
$427,060
Equity at exit
$372

Cash invested: $1,204 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08901

Home prices YoY
-33.2%
Rents YoY
3.9%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
0.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,816 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$23
Tax est. 1.5%
$5 /mo · $64/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$801
Net cashflow
$2,985

Break-even live

Break-even rent $38
Max offer price $4,300
Occupancy floor 17%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,075
Closing costs
$129
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
195 New York Ave New Brunswick, NJ 4.0 2.5 2892 $4,300 $1.49 1d 1 0.04mi
115 Remsen Ave New Brunswick, NJ 3.0 1.0 2736 $2,800 $1.02 24d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-02
    listed $4,300 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,795
− Mortgage interest
−$241
− Property taxes
−$64
− Insurance
−$22
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,664
− Management
−$3,664
− Depreciation
−$125
Taxable income
$38,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9,124
After-tax cash flow
$26,698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Brunswick School District
NCES district ID
3411220
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,376
Composite
11.53/100
National rank
#9700
State rank
#463 of 472 in NJ

Livability — New Brunswick

Score
75/100
State rank
#154
US rank
#3986

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Brunswick, NJ
County
Middlesex County · 714,427 people
City population
57,263
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
57,263
Household income
$65,810
Rent vs Own
78.6% rent · 21.4% own
Severe rent burden
4329.0

Population outlook (Middlesex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
901,713 people
By 2030
930,661 · +3.2%
By 2040
986,276 · +9.4%
By 2050
1,038,920 · +15.2%
By 2075
1,159,418 · +28.6%
By 2100
1,221,973 · +35.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% White 26% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Asian 9% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
36% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
44% English-only · Spanish 46% Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Middlesex

2024 margin
Lean D (+8.0) · D 52.5% · R 44.5% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-13.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.8pp · 2024: 8.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+8.0 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+19.8 2012: D+27.0 2008: D+21.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.76%
Current HPI
297.8885
Rent YoY
▲ 3.87%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-96.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $4,300 CJMLS
  • 2023-07-11 Rental Removed CJMLS
  • 2021-03-18 Sold (MLS) $645,000 CJMLS
  • 2021-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $645,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-11 Sold (MLS) $645,000 CJMLS
  • 2021-01-23 Delisted CJMLS
  • 2021-01-23 Delisted CJMLS
  • 2020-12-21 Listed $650,000 CJMLS
  • 2020-12-21 Listed $650,000 CJMLS
  • 1979-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $15,781 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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