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230 Marsh Ave
B Composite 72.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$78,000

230 Marsh Ave · Hueytown, AL 35023
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,842 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 261 Days on market
Built 1963 1.00 ac lot $42/sqft · 55% below area ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1963

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 5.9% in Hueytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#378 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $71 of equity ($539 loan paydown + $-468 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 261 days — a 12% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 261 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.60%
Cap rate
13.05%
Cash-on-cash
24.15%
DSCR
2.07
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$171,499
List price
$78,000
Delta
-54.52%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Mabelon Ct 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,593 (-14%) 8mo $157,000 $99 52
141 Newport Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,679 (-9%) 10mo $205,000 $122 36
112 Newport Dr 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (-14%) 14mo $145,000 $92 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.6% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.00×
Total profit
$21,825
Equity at exit
$20,337
10-year hold
IRR
25.6%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$56,065
Equity at exit
$22,669

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35023

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
250
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,249 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,271/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $693
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1983 Townhouse Ln Bessemer, AL 2.0 2.0 1465 $1,100 $0.75 16d 1 0.63mi
106 Lindberg Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1554 $1,385 $0.89 21d 1 0.90mi
123 Westbrook Rd Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,275 $0.89 44d 1 1.02mi
216 Meadowood Ave Bessemer, AL 3.0 1.0 1430 $1,250 $0.87 2d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 261 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 260 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 259 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $78,000 Active 258 DOM
  5. 2026-05-12
    price $78,000 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  6. 2026-05-12
    status Active 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  7. 2026-04-13
    historical Contingent 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  8. 2026-04-10
    status Pending 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  9. 2026-04-05
    price $80,000 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  10. 2026-01-09
    price $95,000 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

  11. 2025-09-05
    listed $105,000 Active 279-char remark
    Show marketing remark (279 chars)

    Home is located in a good area of Hueytown and sits on two lots, Main level with Basement. House need some TCL, roof was replaced 3 years ago. Half bath and bedroom was being added in basement but not completed. Price to sell fast AS-IS Back on the Market, contract fell through

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,271 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,271 · $106/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,991
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$1,271
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,199
− Management
−$1,199
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$4,294
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,030
After-tax cash flow
$4,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Hueytown

Score
57/100
State rank
#378
US rank
#21611

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hueytown, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
25,533
Household income
$69,863
Rent vs Own
15.1% rent · 84.9% own
Severe rent burden
247.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.60%
Current HPI
389.38
Rent YoY
▲ 1.60%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.7% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $78,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $80,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Price Changed $95,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-09-05 Listed $105,000 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,271 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…