Multi-family
189 Buffalo St · Hamburg, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$315,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Prime Mixed-Use Investment Opportunity in the Village of Hamburg. This well positioned mixed-use property features two commercial units and one residential apartment, offering a strong blend of income and stability. The first-floor commercial spaces are currently occupied by a dog grooming business and a retail boutique, both benefiting from excellent street visibility and consistent local traffic. The upper unit consists of a residential apartment, providing additional steady rental income.
Key facts
- Retail boutique
- Commercial units
- Mixed-use property
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $315k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
- Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.9% in Hamburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in NY, #692 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Hamburg Central School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #267 of 590 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Union Pleasant Avenue Elementary School (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,415 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 643 students, 23% FRL); Hamburg Middle School (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D+, #315 of 729 statewide, top 45%, 755 students, 24% FRL); Hamburg High School (math 94% / reading 97%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 987 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,802/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.25%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $591,300
- List price
- $315,000
- Delta
- -46.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75 Maple Ave | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 | 2,718 (-9%) | 0mo | $430,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 251 Pleasant Ave | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 2,813 (-6%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $124 | 57 |
| 41 Maple Ave | 0.10mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,379 (-20%) | 12mo | $450,000 | $189 | 53 |
| 4154 Ridgefield | 1.30mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,992 (+0%) | 11mo | $725,000 | $242 | 48 |
| 6385 Boston State Rd #13 | 0.83mi | 3/3.0 | 3,223 (+8%) | 4mo | $735,000 | $228 | 44 |
| 87 Newton Rd | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,258 (-24%) | 1mo | $390,000 | $173 | 42 |
| 189 Euclid Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,300 (-23%) | 7mo | $338,000 | $147 | 40 |
| 358 Brookwood Dr | 1.48mi | 3/2.0 | 2,241 (-25%) | 3mo | $350,000 | $156 | 38 |
| 228 Long Ave | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,596 (-13%) | 4mo | $565,000 | $218 | 35 |
| 6755 Willow Ridge Dr | 1.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,694 (-10%) | 9mo | $690,000 | $256 | 34 |
| 191 Long Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,444 (-18%) | 8mo | $325,000 | $133 | 32 |
| 55 Therin Dr | 0.78mi | 3/2.5 | 2,550 (-14%) | 9mo | $550,000 | $216 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $10,306
- Equity at exit
- $46,968
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $114,102
- Equity at exit
- $27,235
Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 0 active · 1 under contract
- Months of supply
- 0.0 mo
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 14075
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 487
- Price-to-rent
- 20.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,802 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,652
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$798
- Net cashflow
- $827
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | 1 | $3,801 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,267 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,267 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $1,267 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,802 | ||
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,044 | -5% $936 | +0% $827 | +5% $718 | +10% $609 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $526 | -5% $677 | +0% $827 | +5% $977 | +10% $1,127 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $985 | -0.5pp $907 | base $827 | +0.5pp $745 | +1.0pp $662 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,750
- Closing costs
- $9,450
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Euclid Ave Hamburg, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3047 | $900 | $0.30 | 67d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 35 W Crescent Ave Unit A Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,650 | $1.87 | 58d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 67 Huron St Unit 2 Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 110d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5546 Scranton Rd Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 799 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 0d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 5570 Camp Rd Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,355 | $1.67 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4055 Knoll Dr Hamburg, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,315 | $1.69 | 0d | 4 | 1.49mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- Operating expenses include waterTwo rental units with current actual rent of $900 each
Exterior
- Parking
- Two or more parking spaces
- Utilities
- Water available and public water sourceOwner pays water; water included in rentSeparate gas meters (2) and separate electric meters (3)
- Home design
- 2-story buildingResale property
- Construction
- Block and concrete construction
- Exterior features
- Near public transitRectangular lot
Interior
- Kitchen
- Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigeratorEat-in kitchen in one unit
- Bedrooms
- Two 1-bedroom units (each unit listed as 1 bedroom)
- Flooring
- TileVinylVaries by area
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
- Heating & cooling
- Gas heating with forced air and radiatorsProperty has heating
- Interior features
- Tile, vinyl, and varied flooring throughoutCrawl space basement
- Laundry & utility
- Gas water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-23days on market $315,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $315,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $315,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $315,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $315,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $315,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $315,000 Active 143 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $315,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-09-15days on market $315,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $315,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $315,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $315,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-09-11days on market $315,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $315,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $315,000 Active 130 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $315,000 Active 129 DOM
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2026-08-31days on market $315,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $315,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $315,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-08-27days on market $315,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-08-26days on market $315,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $315,000 Active 120 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $315,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $315,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $315,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $315,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $315,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $315,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $315,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $315,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $315,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $315,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $315,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $315,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $315,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $315,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $315,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $315,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $315,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $315,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $315,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $315,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $315,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $315,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $315,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $315,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $315,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $315,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $315,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $315,000 Active 87 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,645
- − Property taxes
- −$4,725
- − Insurance
- −$1,575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,650
- − Management
- −$3,650
- − Depreciation
- −$9,164
- Taxable income
- $5,216
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,252
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,668/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This multi-family property requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including roof and exterior siding repairs, as well as landscaping improvements. These updates will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Signs of wear
- Major exterior siding — Weathered and faded
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both trim landscaping — Neat landscaping improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both repair roof — A new roof will increase the property's value and reduce maintenance costs ↑
- Both repair exterior siding — Fresh siding will improve the property's appearance and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamburg Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3613350
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,342
- Composite
- 49.43/100
- National rank
- #2006
- State rank
- #267 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hamburg
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hamburg, NY
- County
- Erie County · 933,037 people
- City population
- 44,520
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,520
- Household income
- $83,383
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -261.10%
- Current HPI
- 300.2852
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.21%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+142.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $315,000 WNYREIS
- 2013-04-01 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…