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189 Buffalo St Multi-family
B Composite 73.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$315,000

189 Buffalo St · Hamburg, NY 14075
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,981 sqft · MultiFamily · 149 Days on market
Built 1940 Fair condition 6,370 sqft lot $106/sqft · 47% below area Est $591k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Prime Mixed-Use Investment Opportunity in the Village of Hamburg. This well positioned mixed-use property features two commercial units and one residential apartment, offering a strong blend of income and stability. The first-floor commercial spaces are currently occupied by a dog grooming business and a retail boutique, both benefiting from excellent street visibility and consistent local traffic. The upper unit consists of a residential apartment, providing additional steady rental income.

Key facts

  • Retail boutique
  • Commercial units
  • Mixed-use property

Tags

MIXED-USE PROPERTYCOMMERCIAL UNITSRESIDENTIAL APARTMENTFIRST-FLOOR COMMERCIAL SPACESDOG GROOMING BUSINESSRETAIL BOUTIQUE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $315k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $827 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $315k).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.9% in Hamburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#43 in NY, #692 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Hamburg Central School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #267 of 590 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Union Pleasant Avenue Elementary School (math 23% / reading 57%, grade F, #1,415 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 643 students, 23% FRL); Hamburg Middle School (math 31% / reading 63%, grade D+, #315 of 729 statewide, top 45%, 755 students, 24% FRL); Hamburg High School (math 94% / reading 97%, grade A+, #76 of 1,100 statewide, top 7%, 987 students, 19% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 487 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,802/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $88k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $277,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.25%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$591,300
List price
$315,000
Delta
-46.73%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
75 Maple Ave 0.16mi 3/3.0 2,718 (-9%) 0mo $430,000 $158 74
251 Pleasant Ave 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 2,813 (-6%) 2mo $350,000 $124 57
41 Maple Ave 0.10mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,379 (-20%) 12mo $450,000 $189 53
4154 Ridgefield 1.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,992 (+0%) 11mo $725,000 $242 48
6385 Boston State Rd #13 0.83mi 3/3.0 3,223 (+8%) 4mo $735,000 $228 44
87 Newton Rd 0.55mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,258 (-24%) 1mo $390,000 $173 42
189 Euclid Ave 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,300 (-23%) 7mo $338,000 $147 40
358 Brookwood Dr 1.48mi 3/2.0 2,241 (-25%) 3mo $350,000 $156 38
228 Long Ave 0.71mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,596 (-13%) 4mo $565,000 $218 35
6755 Willow Ridge Dr 1.17mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,694 (-10%) 9mo $690,000 $256 34
191 Long Ave 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,444 (-18%) 8mo $325,000 $133 32
55 Therin Dr 0.78mi 3/2.5 2,550 (-14%) 9mo $550,000 $216 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.0%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$10,306
Equity at exit
$46,968
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$114,102
Equity at exit
$27,235

Cash invested: $88,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.
Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
0 active · 1 under contract
Months of supply
0.0 mo

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 14075

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
487
Price-to-rent
20.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,802 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,652
Tax est. 1.5%
$394 /mo · $4,725/yr
Insurance
$131
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$798
Net cashflow
$827

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $3,802

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,756
Max offer price $315,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,044 -5% $936 +0% $827 +5% $718 +10% $609
Rent -10% $526 -5% $677 +0% $827 +5% $977 +10% $1,127
Rate -1.0pp $985 -0.5pp $907 base $827 +0.5pp $745 +1.0pp $662

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$78,750
Closing costs
$9,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11 Euclid Ave Hamburg, NY 1.0 1.0 3047 $900 $0.30 67d 1 0.34mi
35 W Crescent Ave Unit A Hamburg, NY 2.0 2.0 1420 $2,650 $1.87 58d 1 0.58mi
67 Huron St Unit 2 Hamburg, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,475 $1.34 110d 1 1.00mi
5546 Scranton Rd Hamburg, NY 2.0 1.0 799 $1,250 $1.56 0d 3 1.25mi
5570 Camp Rd Hamburg, NY 2.0 1.0 812 $1,355 $1.67 0d 1 1.26mi
4055 Knoll Dr Hamburg, NY 2.0 1.0 776 $1,315 $1.69 0d 4 1.49mi

Property features AI

Finance

Financial info
Operating expenses include waterTwo rental units with current actual rent of $900 each

Exterior

Parking
Two or more parking spaces
Utilities
Water available and public water sourceOwner pays water; water included in rentSeparate gas meters (2) and separate electric meters (3)
Home design
2-story buildingResale property
Construction
Block and concrete construction
Exterior features
Near public transitRectangular lot

Interior

Kitchen
Each unit includes an oven/range and refrigeratorEat-in kitchen in one unit
Bedrooms
Two 1-bedroom units (each unit listed as 1 bedroom)
Flooring
TileVinylVaries by area
Bathrooms
Two full bathrooms (one in each unit)
Heating & cooling
Gas heating with forced air and radiatorsProperty has heating
Interior features
Tile, vinyl, and varied flooring throughoutCrawl space basement
Laundry & utility
Gas water heater

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-23
    days on market $315,000 Active 149 DOM
  2. 2026-09-22
    days on market $315,000 Active 148 DOM
  3. 2026-09-21
    days on market $315,000 Active 147 DOM
  4. 2026-09-20
    days on market $315,000 Active 146 DOM
  5. 2026-09-19
    days on market $315,000 Active 145 DOM
  6. 2026-09-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 144 DOM
  7. 2026-09-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-09-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-09-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 141 DOM
  10. 2026-09-14
    days on market $315,000 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-09-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-09-12
    days on market $315,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-09-11
    days on market $315,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-09-05
    days on market $315,000 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-09-04
    days on market $315,000 Active 130 DOM
  16. 2026-09-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 129 DOM
  17. 2026-08-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 126 DOM
  18. 2026-08-29
    days on market $315,000 Active 124 DOM
  19. 2026-08-28
    days on market $315,000 Active 123 DOM
  20. 2026-08-27
    days on market $315,000 Active 122 DOM
  21. 2026-08-26
    days on market $315,000 Active 121 DOM
  22. 2026-08-25
    days on market $315,000 Active 120 DOM
  23. 2026-08-24
    days on market $315,000 Active 119 DOM
  24. 2026-08-23
    days on market $315,000 Active 118 DOM
  25. 2026-08-22
    days on market $315,000 Active 117 DOM
  26. 2026-08-21
    days on market $315,000 Active 116 DOM
  27. 2026-08-20
    days on market $315,000 Active 115 DOM
  28. 2026-08-19
    days on market $315,000 Active 114 DOM
  29. 2026-08-18
    days on market $315,000 Active 113 DOM
  30. 2026-08-17
    days on market $315,000 Active 112 DOM
  31. 2026-08-16
    days on market $315,000 Active 111 DOM
  32. 2026-08-15
    days on market $315,000 Active 110 DOM
  33. 2026-08-14
    days on market $315,000 Active 109 DOM
  34. 2026-08-13
    days on market $315,000 Active 108 DOM
  35. 2026-08-12
    days on market $315,000 Active 107 DOM
  36. 2026-08-11
    days on market $315,000 Active 106 DOM
  37. 2026-08-10
    days on market $315,000 Active 105 DOM
  38. 2026-08-09
    days on market $315,000 Active 104 DOM
  39. 2026-08-08
    days on market $315,000 Active 103 DOM
  40. 2026-08-07
    days on market $315,000 Active 102 DOM
  41. 2026-08-06
    days on market $315,000 Active 101 DOM
  42. 2026-08-05
    days on market $315,000 Active 100 DOM
  43. 2026-08-04
    days on market $315,000 Active 99 DOM
  44. 2026-08-03
    days on market $315,000 Active 98 DOM
  45. 2026-07-31
    days on market $315,000 Active 95 DOM
  46. 2026-07-30
    days on market $315,000 Active 93 DOM
  47. 2026-07-28
    days on market $315,000 Active 92 DOM
  48. 2026-07-26
    days on market $315,000 Active 90 DOM
  49. 2026-07-24
    days on market $315,000 Active 88 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $315,000 Active 87 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,624
− Mortgage interest
−$17,645
− Property taxes
−$4,725
− Insurance
−$1,575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,650
− Management
−$3,650
− Depreciation
−$9,164
Taxable income
$5,216
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,252
After-tax cash flow
$8,668/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab Est. rehab $74,525–$134,145 screening

This multi-family property requires moderate repairs and maintenance, including roof and exterior siding repairs, as well as landscaping improvements. These updates will significantly enhance its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Signs of wear
  • Major exterior siding — Weathered and faded
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and needs trimming

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Both trim landscaping — Neat landscaping improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both repair roof — A new roof will increase the property's value and reduce maintenance costs
  • Both repair exterior siding — Fresh siding will improve the property's appearance and increase its value

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Moderate scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

C Composite school gradezoned avg 61/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Union Pleasant Avenue Elementary School F NY #1,415/2,108 Nat'l #19,354/41,679 Middle Hamburg Middle School D+ NY #315/729 Nat'l #4,159/14,009 High Hamburg High School A+ NY #76/1,100 Nat'l #108/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamburg Central School District
NCES district ID
3613350
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$68,342
Composite
49.43/100
National rank
#2006
State rank
#267 of 590 in NY
A Composite livability gradescore 84/100

Livability — Hamburg

Score
84/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#692

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living B- Crime C Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hamburg, NY
County
Erie County · 933,037 people
City population
44,520
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
44,520
Household income
$83,383
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
13% of renters

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 20% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+142.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $315,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-04-01 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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