762 NE Richardson Ter · Lake City, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming home located in Lake City, Fl. This property features a functional floor plan with 2 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, a large living room, a spacious kitchen/dining area, and a generously sized laundry room that offers added storage or can be converted to a 3rd bedroom. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday amenities, this home is ready for its next owner to make it their own.
Key facts
- Added storage
- Large living room
- 5,924 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: RSF-3; Located in the Richardson Park subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 3 spaces
- Home design: Single-story residential home; Frame construction
- Construction: Shingle roof; Frame construction; One story
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Chain link fencing; Shed(s) on the property
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl flooring; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 3.7% in Lake City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#304 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.94%
- DSCR
- 2.38
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $126,250
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 627 NE Washington St | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,058 (+5%) | 6mo | $132,000 | $125 | 64 |
| 923 NE Coldwater Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 21mo | $145,000 | $168 | 46 |
| 890 NE Lake Dr | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 943 (-7%) | 24mo | $154,500 | $164 | 43 |
| 211 NE Bradley Ter | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+12%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $110 | 41 |
| 214 NE Anderson Ter | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+13%) | 14mo | $129,900 | $114 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.59×
- Total profit
- $80,298
- Equity at exit
- $71,980
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 10.28×
- Total profit
- $207,666
- Equity at exit
- $155,228
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32055
- Home prices YoY
- 24.1%
- Active inventory
- 145
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,477 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $577
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $79,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $79,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-04-13price $89,900
-
2026-03-16price $94,500
-
2026-01-30$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $6,036
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,449
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia
- NCES district ID
- 1200360
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,053
- Composite
- 44.74/100
- National rank
- #2750
- State rank
- #25 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lake City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #304
- US rank
- #5154
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake City, FL
- County
- Columbia County · 40,507 people
- City population
- 40,507
- Metro
- Lake City, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,559
- Household income
- $61,111
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 391.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,129 people
- By 2030
- 67,501 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 65,465 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 63,058 · -7.4%
- By 2075
- 56,291 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 45,243 · -33.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 29% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 67.79%
- Current HPI
- 348.8923
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Lake City, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
-10.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $89,900 NFMLS
- 2026-03-16 Price Changed $94,500 NFMLS
- 2026-01-30 Listed $99,900 NFMLS
Property tax history
+19.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,649 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…