1 Ross Rd · Old Orchard Beach, ME 04064

$94,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1970 $75/sqft · 68% below area

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +6.7/10.0
• Rent growth +3.7/5.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

& quot; & quot; This Home is gorgeous A beautiful bright kitchen a Florida room with 2 bedrooms Woods in the backyard. Turn key home nothing to bring except for your toothbrush This home will not last long. Excellent location Spotless home Landscaping is fantastic lawn irrigation Outside propane fireplace And also an outside shed. & quot; & quot; & quot; & quot; & quot; & quot;

Key facts

• Outside shed
• Florida room
• Lawn irrigation

Tags

• FLORIDA ROOM
• WOODS IN THE BACKYARD
• LAWN IRRIGATION
• OUTSIDE PROPANE FIREPLACE
• OUTSIDE SHED

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $94k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $94k).
• Recommended offer: $93k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 22.4% vs local median 2.1% in Old Orchard Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#88 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
• RSU 23 (suburban): math 78% / reading 80% proficiency, ranked #87 of 112 in ME (top 78%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,541/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 441% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $92,590 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.70% ✓
• Cap rate: 22.40%
• Cash-on-cash: 57.52%
• DSCR: 3.56
• GRM: 3.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $291,194
• List price: $94,000
• Delta: -67.72%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 58.3%
• Equity multiple: 3.67×
• Total profit: $70,249
• Equity at exit: $14,016

10-year hold

• IRR: 63.9%
• Equity multiple: 8.09×
• Total profit: $186,502
• Equity at exit: $8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Maine: 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Portland has rent control referendum (2020); strong habitability; security deposit caps.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 04064

• Home prices YoY: -11.6%
• Rents YoY: 4.9%
• Active inventory: 171
• Price-to-rent: 3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,541 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$493
• Tax from tax record: −$213 /mo · $2,561/yr
• Insurance: −$39
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$534
• Net cashflow: $1,262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $944

Max offer price $94,000

Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $23,500
• Closing costs: $2,820
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
31 E Grand Ave Unit 2 Scarborough, ME	3.0	1.5	850	$3,000	$3.53	43d	1	1.24mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-12
   listed $94,000 Active 369-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,561 · $213/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,561 · $213/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 6 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $30,489
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,265
• − Property taxes: −$2,561
• − Insurance: −$470
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,439
• − Management: −$2,439
• − Depreciation: −$2,735
• Taxable income: $14,580
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,499
• After-tax cash flow: $11,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: RSU 23
• NCES district ID: 2314784
• Math proficiency: 78% ▲ 51.00%
• Reading proficiency: 80% ▲ 27.00%
• Median HH income: $49,630
• Composite: 66.79/100
• National rank: #406
• State rank: #87 of 112 in ME

Livability — Old Orchard Beach

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #88
• US rank: #9943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Old Orchard Beach, ME
• County: York County · 80,026 people
• City population: 8,632
• Metro: Portland-South Portland, ME
• Population (ZIP): 8,632
• Household income: $59,887
• Rent vs Own: 31.1% rent · 68.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 441.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 209,961 people
• By 2030: 212,816 · +1.4%
• By 2040: 214,360 · +2.1%
• By 2050: 210,350 · +0.2%
• By 2075: 201,686 · -3.9%
• By 2100: 183,392 · -12.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1% Native American 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 9% Slovak 7% Romanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · York

• 2024 margin: D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -64.32%
• Current HPI: 489.543
• Rent YoY: ▲ 4.93%
• Metro: Portland-South Portland, ME
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,561 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.