CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1071 Eagle Nest Rd
C- Composite 50.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

1071 Eagle Nest Rd · Redding, CA 96003
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Manufactured public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1984 6,098 sqft lot $75/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

Key facts

  • Oversized patio
  • Indoor laundry room
  • 6,098 sq ft lot

Tags

HIGH VAULTED CEILINGSOVERSIZED PATIOINDOOR LAUNDRY ROOMFULLY FENCED BACKYARDADDITIONAL SHED STORAGELOW-MAINTENANCE LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $75 monthly fee

Exterior

  • Parking: 3 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V electric service
  • Home design: Manufactured residential home; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Asphalt road access

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Floor furnace; Wall furnace; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
  • Gateway Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #355 of 517 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,615 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.36%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,704
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1350 Aztec Path #229 0.23mi 2/2.0 1,456 (+8%) 6mo $95,000 $65 70
458 Balsawood Dr 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,344 (0%) 1mo $60,000 $45 70
4576 Hickory Trl 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,200 (-11%) 2mo $119,000 $99 62
4555 Underwood Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 1mo $99,000 $69 57
477 Logwood Dr Sp# 230 Dr 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $82,000 $57 56
821 Saint Marks St Spc 29 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,188 (-12%) 8mo $122,000 $103 56
323 Sapwood Dr Sp# 279 Dr 0.62mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 4mo $89,000 $62 55
301 Sapwood Dr #280 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+7%) 4mo $65,900 $46 55
4587 Hardwood Blvd Sp#202 Blvd 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+7%) 7mo $95,000 $66 52
1318 Mountain Shadows Blvd #255 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (-15%) 2mo $95,000 $83 50
4719 Maple Trl 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,520 (+13%) 3mo $181,500 $119 50
4649 Underwood Dr #257 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+14%) 4mo $75,000 $49 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-10,482
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
6.8%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$25,884
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 96003

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
391
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,606 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$132 /mo · $1,589/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$162

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,402
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $252 -5% $207 +0% $162 +5% $117 +10% $72
Rent -10% $35 -5% $98 +0% $162 +5% $225 +10% $289
Rate -1.0pp $242 -0.5pp $202 base $162 +0.5pp $120 +1.0pp $78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4433 White River Dr Redding, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 0.13mi
4288 Bradley Dr Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,950 $1.93 21d 1 0.17mi
636 Lake Blvd Redding, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 13d 8 0.55mi
4296 Clay St Unit 17 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,395 $1.55 21d 1 0.56mi
4490 Alder St Unit C Redding, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 21d 1 0.63mi
701 Redwood Blvd Redding, CA 2.0 1.5–2.5 1163 $1,820 $1.56 13d 1 0.64mi
400 Lake Blvd Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 900 $1,310 $1.46 13d 1 0.74mi
3465 Magnums Way Apt 2 Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,775 $1.64 44d 1 0.82mi
150 Masonic Ave Unit 1 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 924 $1,400 $1.52 13d 1 1.04mi
5391 Stonethrow Ct Redding, CA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,895 $1.72 44d 1 1.04mi
170 Masonic Ave #4 Redding, CA 2.0 1.5 924 $1,400 $1.52 13d 1 1.05mi
251 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $1,475 $1.95 13d 1 1.43mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $159,000 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,000 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-28
    listed $159,000 Active
  18. 2025-04-03
    soldstatus $219,000 Closed 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  19. 2025-04-03
    soldstatus $219,000
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  20. 2025-02-11
    status Pending 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  21. 2025-01-28
    status Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  22. 2025-01-23
    status Pending 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  23. 2025-01-06
    status Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  24. 2024-12-23
    status Pending 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  25. 2024-11-20
    price $209,000 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  26. 2024-11-08
    listed $229,000 Active 470-char remark
    Show marketing remark (470 chars)

    Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!

  27. 2016-08-26
    soldstatus $125,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.

  28. 2016-08-26
    soldstatus $125,000
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.

  29. 2016-06-06
    listed $127,000 234-char remark
    Show marketing remark (234 chars)

    Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.

  30. 2016-04-20
    soldstatus $82,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,589 · $132/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,589 · $132/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,277
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$1,589
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,542
− Management
−$1,542
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$623
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$150
After-tax cash flow
$2,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gateway Unified
NCES district ID
0614950
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$41,888
Composite
25.39/100
National rank
#7465
State rank
#355 of 517 in CA

Livability — Redding

Score
76/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#3726

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Redding, CA
County
Shasta County · 147,641 people
City population
112,523
Metro
Redding, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,923
Household income
$72,445
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1668.0

Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
179,231 people
By 2030
176,953 · -1.3%
By 2040
169,982 · -5.2%
By 2050
162,547 · -9.3%
By 2075
145,649 · -18.7%
By 2100
123,025 · -31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Shasta

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.66%
Current HPI
152.3069
Rent YoY
▲ 5.98%
Metro
Redding, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $159,000 SAOR
  • 2025-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $219,000 Public Records
  • 2025-04-03 Sold (MLS) $219,000 SAOR
  • 2025-02-11 Pending SAOR
  • 2025-01-28 Relisted SAOR
  • 2025-01-23 Pending SAOR
  • 2025-01-06 Relisted SAOR
  • 2024-12-23 Pending SAOR
  • 2024-11-20 Price Changed $209,000 SAOR
  • 2024-11-08 Listed $229,000 SAOR
  • 2016-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2016-08-26 Sold (MLS) $125,000 SAOR
  • 2016-06-06 Listed $127,000 SAOR
  • 2016-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,589 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…