1071 Eagle Nest Rd · Redding, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 37 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 40 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
Key facts
- Oversized patio
- Indoor laundry room
- 6,098 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $75 monthly fee
Exterior
- Parking: 3 parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 220V electric service
- Home design: Manufactured residential home; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Wood siding; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Floor furnace; Wall furnace; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; No fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $157k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.3% in Redding — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#106 in CA, #3,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Gateway Unified (suburban): math 25% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #355 of 517 in CA (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 391 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 246 units permitted in Shasta County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shasta County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($157k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.36%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $88,704
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1350 Aztec Path #229 | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $65 | 70 |
| 458 Balsawood Dr | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $45 | 70 |
| 4576 Hickory Trl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $99 | 62 |
| 4555 Underwood Dr | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 1mo | $99,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 477 Logwood Dr Sp# 230 Dr | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 7mo | $82,000 | $57 | 56 |
| 821 Saint Marks St Spc 29 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-12%) | 8mo | $122,000 | $103 | 56 |
| 323 Sapwood Dr Sp# 279 Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $89,000 | $62 | 55 |
| 301 Sapwood Dr #280 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 4mo | $65,900 | $46 | 55 |
| 4587 Hardwood Blvd Sp#202 Blvd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+7%) | 7mo | $95,000 | $66 | 52 |
| 1318 Mountain Shadows Blvd #255 | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-15%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $83 | 50 |
| 4719 Maple Trl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,520 (+13%) | 3mo | $181,500 | $119 | 50 |
| 4649 Underwood Dr #257 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+14%) | 4mo | $75,000 | $49 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-10,482
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $25,884
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 96003
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 391
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,606 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,589/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$75
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $162
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $252 | -5% $207 | +0% $162 | +5% $117 | +10% $72 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $35 | -5% $98 | +0% $162 | +5% $225 | +10% $289 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $242 | -0.5pp $202 | base $162 | +0.5pp $120 | +1.0pp $78 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4433 White River Dr Redding, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 4288 Bradley Dr Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,950 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 636 Lake Blvd Redding, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 986 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 13d | 8 | 0.55mi |
| 4296 Clay St Unit 17 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 4490 Alder St Unit C Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 701 Redwood Blvd Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.5 | 1163 | $1,820 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 400 Lake Blvd Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,310 | $1.46 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3465 Magnums Way Apt 2 Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,775 | $1.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 150 Masonic Ave Unit 1 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5391 Stonethrow Ct Redding, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,895 | $1.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 170 Masonic Ave #4 Redding, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 924 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 251 Hilltop Dr Redding, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $1,475 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $75 · $900/yr
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $159,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$159,000 Active
-
2025-04-03soldstatus $219,000 Closed 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2025-04-03soldstatus $219,000
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2025-02-11status Pending 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2025-01-28status Active 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2025-01-23status Pending 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2025-01-06status Active 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2024-12-23status Pending 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2024-11-20price $209,000 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2024-11-08$229,000 Active 470-char remark
Show marketing remark (470 chars)
Mobile on permanent foundation. An adorable, well-maintained home, with high vaulted ceilings provides a spacious feel for 2 bed, 2 bath gem. The oversized patio is perfect for a swing and full-size table to enjoy morning coffee. Plenty of cabinets in the indoor laundry room includes washer and dryer. back yard space with a shed, completely fenced; and rocked front yard for low yard maintenance. HOA only $75.00 per year and NO Mobile Park monthly dues. What a STEAL!
-
2016-08-26soldstatus $125,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.
-
2016-08-26soldstatus $125,000
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.
-
2016-06-06$127,000 234-char remark
Show marketing remark (234 chars)
Immaculate manufactured home on a foundation. Fresh floor coverings, including wood laminate, vinyl, and carpet. Freshly painted exterior. Large covered deck. Plenty of parking, including RV. Approximately 20 minutes from Lake Shasta.
-
2016-04-20soldstatus $82,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,589 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,589 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 37 unhealthy d/yr today · 40 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,277
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$1,589
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,542
- − Management
- −$1,542
- − HOA
- −$900
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$623
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$150
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,089/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gateway Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0614950
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,888
- Composite
- 25.39/100
- National rank
- #7465
- State rank
- #355 of 517 in CA
Livability — Redding
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #3726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Redding, CA
- County
- Shasta County · 147,641 people
- City population
- 112,523
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,923
- Household income
- $72,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1668.0
Population outlook (Shasta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 179,231 people
- By 2030
- 176,953 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 169,982 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 162,547 · -9.3%
- By 2075
- 145,649 · -18.7%
- By 2100
- 123,025 · -31.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Shasta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.5) · D 30.5% · R 67.0% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.8pp · 2024: -36.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.5 2020: R+33.1 2016: R+37.4 2012: R+30.3 2008: R+25.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.66%
- Current HPI
- 152.3069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.98%
- Metro
- Redding, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+92.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $159,000 SAOR
- 2025-04-03 Sold (Public Records) $219,000 Public Records
- 2025-04-03 Sold (MLS) $219,000 SAOR
- 2025-02-11 Pending — SAOR
- 2025-01-28 Relisted — SAOR
- 2025-01-23 Pending — SAOR
- 2025-01-06 Relisted — SAOR
- 2024-12-23 Pending — SAOR
- 2024-11-20 Price Changed $209,000 SAOR
- 2024-11-08 Listed $229,000 SAOR
- 2016-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2016-08-26 Sold (MLS) $125,000 SAOR
- 2016-06-06 Listed $127,000 SAOR
- 2016-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,589 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…