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5316 Cahill Oval St
D+ Composite 49.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

5316 Cahill Oval St · River Oaks, TX 76114
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1951 7,667 sqft lot $145/sqft · 15% below area Est $234k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home nestled on a generous lot. Enjoy beautiful wood floors and a great kitchen layout, a bathroom that is super functional to the home. Off the kitchen is a bonus room that would make a great home office and acts as a great flex room. This home has a new HVAC system and all new windows throughout. The large yard offers plenty of space for outdoor living and is situated on a great cul-de-sac lot. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a move-in-ready home. Situated on a nice sized lot in highly desirable Castleberry ISD, this home is just minutes from new restaurants, shopping, and local amenities, giving you convenience without

Key facts

  • Wood floors
  • Great kitchen layout
  • Bonus room

Tags

WOOD FLOORSGREAT KITCHEN LAYOUTBONUS ROOMNEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW WINDOWSLARGE YARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing is for sale (standard listing, exclusive right to sell)
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, and VA financing
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 covered spaces; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1951; Not attached to another unit
  • Construction: Preowned home (built 1951)
  • Exterior features: Lot under 0.5 acre (approximately 0.176 acre); Subdivision: Seven Oaks Add

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Five total rooms; One living area; One dining area; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($463/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#237 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Castleberry ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #701 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Castleberry El (math 17% / reading 26%, grade F, #3,470 of 4,322 statewide, top 81%, 747 students, 88% FRL); Irma Marsh Middle (math 21% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,200 of 1,662 statewide, top 73%, 853 students, 88% FRL); Castleberry H S (math 23% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,023 of 1,632 statewide, top 63%, 1,042 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$234,500
List price
$199,000
Delta
-15.14%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5316 Cahill Oval St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,372 (0%) 0mo $199,000 $145 96
5320 Cahill Oval St 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,459 (+6%) 3mo $239,000 $164 86
5432 Thomas Ln 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,291 (-6%) 1mo $230,000 $178 78
5236 Park Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,425 (+4%) 8mo $325,000 $228 78
4812 Blackstone Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,373 (+0%) 11mo $176,000 $128 70
5709 N Schilder Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,396 (+2%) 3mo $325,000 $233 69
4901 Barbara Rd 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,492 (+9%) 7mo $219,900 $147 58
6050 Douglas St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,344 (-2%) 2mo $239,000 $178 58
133 Mcgee Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,214 (-12%) 1mo $299,900 $247 57
907 Hallum St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,302 (-5%) 12mo $279,900 $215 51
5716 N Wells Cir 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,556 (+13%) 1mo $325,900 $209 40
5907 Douglas St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,176 (-14%) 7mo $289,000 $246 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,900
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
-10.3%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-33,078
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76114

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,024 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$434 /mo · $5,211/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$425
Net cashflow
$39

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,976
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $151 -5% $95 +0% $39 +5% $-18 +10% $-74
Rent -10% $-121 -5% $-41 +0% $39 +5% $119 +10% $199
Rate -1.0pp $139 -0.5pp $89 base $39 +0.5pp $-13 +1.0pp $-65

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
623 Club Oak Dr River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1874 $2,350 $1.25 1d 1 0.21mi
636 Schieme St River Oaks, TX 2.0 1.0 1515 $1,545 $1.02 45d 1 0.25mi
5549 Sam Calloway Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1555 $2,500 $1.61 21d 1 0.29mi
5332 Trinity River Trl Unit 2301 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1150 $2,099 $1.83 6d 1 0.36mi
5200 White Settlement Rd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 963 $1,985 $2.06 0d 18 0.38mi
123 Merritt St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.5 1200 $2,550 $2.12 1d 5 0.44mi
117 Priddy Ln Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1009 $1,899 $1.88 3d 6 0.49mi
5601 N Schilder Dr River Oaks, TX 3.0 1.0 1183 $1,800 $1.52 45d 1 0.49mi
5601 N Schilder Dr River Oaks, TX 3.0 1.0 1183 $1,800 $1.52 26d 1 0.49mi
4921 White Settlement Rd Unit 4958 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1154 $1,889 $1.64 1d 1 0.49mi
6000 Calloway Ct Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 45d 1 0.56mi
6000 Calloway Ct Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 900 $1,400 $1.56 9d 1 0.56mi
216 Westfork Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 1496 $2,200 $1.47 45d 1 0.56mi
920 Yale St River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1686 $1,670 $0.99 26d 1 0.59mi
228 Athenia Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 1072 $2,415 $2.25 1d 22 0.60mi
5217 Deavers Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1081 $1,695 $1.57 45d 1 0.61mi
835 Stamps Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1703 $2,200 $1.29 24d 1 0.63mi
837 Stamps Ave Unit 835 Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1703 $2,200 $1.29 1d 1 0.64mi
6038 Calloway Ct Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.5 900 $1,475 $1.64 45d 1 0.65mi
315 Athenia Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1581 $2,750 $1.74 4d 1 0.70mi
5605 Baylor Ave River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,200 $1.22 46d 1 0.79mi
315 Isbell Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 924 $1,600 $1.73 17d 1 0.85mi
315 Isbell Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 924 $1,600 $1.73 1d 1 0.85mi
315 Isbell Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 924 $1,600 $1.73 15d 1 0.85mi
772 Fernwood St Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1513 $2,400 $1.59 26d 1 0.88mi
4925 Scott Rd Fort Worth, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1226 $3,776 $3.08 0d 14 0.91mi
5128 Tulane Ave River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,895 $1.28 6d 1 0.93mi
5836 Pollard Dr Westworth Village, TX 3.0 1.0 1012 $1,725 $1.70 1d 1 0.98mi
6152 River Pointe Dr Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.5 1748 $2,050 $1.17 9d 1 0.98mi
5700 Dennis Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 1036 $1,700 $1.64 17d 1 1.02mi
5832 Tracyne Dr Westworth Village, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,400 $1.66 26d 1 1.05mi
1310 Yale St River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1726 $2,395 $1.39 26d 1 1.07mi
1310 Yale St River Oaks, TX 3.0 2.0 1726 $2,395 $1.39 1d 1 1.07mi
5825 Aton Ave Westworth Village, TX 3.0 1.5 1133 $1,945 $1.72 1d 1 1.09mi
904 Isbell Rd Unit 202 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 921 $1,200 $1.30 45d 1 1.11mi
904 Isbell Rd Unit 200 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 921 $1,175 $1.28 7d 1 1.11mi
5860 Tracyne Dr Westworth Village, TX 3.0 1.5 1408 $1,999 $1.42 0d 1 1.11mi
916 Isbell Rd Unit D Fort Worth, TX 3.0 1.0 921 $1,450 $1.57 24d 1 1.13mi
1501 Greenbrier Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,900 $1.43 5d 1 1.21mi
933 River Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1448 $2,000 $1.38 15d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 772-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $199,000 Active 772-char remark
  3. 2026-04-22
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,211 · $434/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,211 · $434/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,294
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$5,211
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,943
− Management
−$1,943
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable loss
−$2,735
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$657
After-tax cash flow
$1,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Castleberry ISD
NCES district ID
4813170
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,060
Composite
22.22/100
National rank
#8152
State rank
#701 of 826 in TX

Livability — River Oaks

Score
72/100
State rank
#237
US rank
#5774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Oaks, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
27,357
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
27,357
Household income
$62,073
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
1095.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (61%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 35% Two or more races 20% Native American 3% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 45%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.88%
Current HPI
366.5263
Rent YoY
▲ 1.88%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $199,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,211 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…