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Flamingo Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,990

Flamingo Plan · Fort Pierce, FL 34982
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · Townhouse · 49 Days on market
Good condition $112/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover all the style you desire inside The Flamingo floor plan. A convenient one-car garage opens to a welcoming foyer, from which you can see all this gorgeous home has to offer. The formal dining space is ideal for family dinners. In the gourmet kitchen, an optional island provides extra cooking space. Relax either in the spacious great room or outside on the scenic lanai. Upstairs, two bedrooms and a full bath provide comfort for family or guests. Your luxurious owner's suite includes a stunning dual vanity bath and a huge walk-in closet. See how you can have it all inside the Flamingo.

Key facts

  • One car garage
  • Spacious great room
  • Formal dining space

Tags

ONE CAR GARAGEFORMAL DINING SPACEGOURMET KITCHENOPTIONAL ISLANDSPACIOUS GREAT ROOMSCENIC LANAI

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1440 (listed); Address: Flamingo Plan, Fort Pierce, FL 34982; List price indicated (listing status Active)
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $112

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Central air (cooling)
  • Home design: Single-family plan named "Flamingo" (Plan inventory)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
  • Heating & cooling: Central Air
  • Interior features: Central air conditioning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $229,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $221,760.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $230k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-22 ($-258/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (4.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (10.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $205k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.7% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,054/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1086% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $205,444 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.42%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,760
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4190 Gator Greens Way #25 0.57mi 3/2.5 1,463 (+2%) 10mo $260,000 $178 62
1840 S Dovetail Dr 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,437 (-0%) 9mo $187,000 $130 57
120 Lakes End Dr #0 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,296 (-10%) 16mo $129,000 $100 49
1738 W Sanderling Ln #4 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,396 (-3%) 15mo $160,000 $115 47
1794 Sandhill Crane Dr Unit A1 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-7%) 9mo $205,000 $154 46
828 Timberview Dr Unit D 0.52mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,280 (-11%) 10mo $170,000 $133 42
1820 Pelican Dr #1 0.60mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-7%) 21mo $260,000 $195 35
1870 S Dovetail A2 Dr #2 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,335 (-7%) 21mo $245,000 $184 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-27,663
Equity at exit
$33,065
10-year hold
IRR
3.2%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$17,459
Equity at exit
$19,174

Cash invested: $62,093 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34982

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Rents YoY
7.4%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,054 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,163
Tax est. 1.5%
$277 /mo · $3,326/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$112
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$431
Net cashflow
$-22

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,082
Max offer price $218,645
Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $132 -5% $55 +0% $-22 +5% $-98 +10% $-175
Rent -10% $-184 -5% $-103 +0% $-22 +5% $60 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $90 -0.5pp $35 base $-22 +0.5pp $-79 +1.0pp $-137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,440
Closing costs
$6,653
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1219 S Lakes End Dr Unit 2 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1186 $1,500 $1.26 15d 1 0.36mi
928 Fra Mar Pl Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1440 $2,000 $1.39 25d 1 0.58mi
916 Savannas Point Dr Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,100 $1.88 15d 1 0.61mi
4166 Gator Trace Villas Cir Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1336 $2,200 $1.65 25d 1 0.61mi
1829 Sandhill Crane Dr Unit B2 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1334 $2,000 $1.50 25d 1 0.63mi
802 N Lake Dr Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 25d 1 0.69mi
4215 Gator Trace Ave Unit G Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,200 $1.83 25d 1 0.72mi
1739 N Dovetail Dr Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $1,750 $1.42 25d 1 0.77mi
1747 N Dovetail Dr Unit A Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1286 $2,100 $1.63 25d 1 0.79mi
1804 Blue Heron Ln Unit C Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1286 $1,900 $1.48 25d 1 0.81mi
1772 N Dovetail Dr Unit C Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1230 $2,100 $1.71 25d 1 0.84mi
4003 Oleander Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0–4.0 2.0 1765 $2,748 $1.56 15d 1 0.92mi
800 Kanner Dr Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,550 $1.72 15d 1 0.92mi
3200 S US Highway 1 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1144 $1,945 $1.70 15d 1 0.92mi
3030 S US Highway 1 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $1,774 $1.50 15d 1 1.05mi
4210 Gator Trace Cir Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1316 $2,100 $1.60 15d 1 1.13mi
4220 Sunrise Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1870 $10,000 $5.35 25d 1 1.16mi
699 W Weatherbee Rd Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,875 $1.70 25d 1 1.17mi
3343 Liberty Square Way #104 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.5 1638 $2,300 $1.40 25d 1 1.30mi
2902 Oleander Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1276 $2,700 $2.12 25d 1 1.37mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$112 · $1,344/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $229,990 Active 49 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $229,990 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $229,990 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $229,990 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $229,990 Active 43 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $229,990 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $229,990 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $229,990 Active 38 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $229,990 Active 37 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,990 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,990 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $229,990 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,990 Active 31 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,990 Active 30 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,990 Active 29 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,990 Active 28 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,990 Active 27 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,653
− Mortgage interest
−$12,422
− Property taxes
−$3,326
− Insurance
−$1,109
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,972
− Management
−$1,972
− HOA
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$6,451
Taxable loss
−$3,944
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$946
After-tax cash flow
$688/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Flamingo plan townhouse is in good condition with a fresh exterior and modern interior. It offers a good starting point for potential buyers or renters, with minor updates that can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install smart home automation — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Install smart home automation — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental appeal by adding modern conveniences.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Pierce

Score
76/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#3360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Pierce, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
78,556
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
31,143
Household income
$54,082
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
1086.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 12% Black 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Hispanic 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -199.47%
Current HPI
397.2649
Rent YoY
▲ 7.42%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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