680 Round Mountain Rd · Irvine, KY 40336

$45,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market

Built 1972 1.00 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Charming home on a peaceful, one acre lot surrounded by nature. The existing home does need extensive repair. Would be an ideal site to build your next home! This property is selling AS-IS. Buyer to verify zoning, restrictions, schools, lot and structure size, etc.

Key facts

• 1 acre lot
• Listed 25 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Off-street parking
• Utilities: Public water; No sewer
• Home design: Rural subdivision; Building area approximately 1,015
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Foundation: block, pier/pillar/post, other
• Exterior features: 1-acre lot; Public water; Not on waterfront

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Interior features: Laminate flooring; No fireplace

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $421 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 65/100 on livability (#254 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Estill County (rural): math 19% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #146 of 165 in KY (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: West Irvine Elementary (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #477 of 676 statewide, top 71%, 468 students, 69% FRL); Estill County Middle School (math 17% / reading 34%, grade F, #181 of 217 statewide, top 84%, 446 students, 70% FRL); Estill County High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 644 students, 61% FRL).
• Market conditions: 120 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Estill County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $44,325 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.98% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.51%
• Cash-on-cash: 40.06%
• DSCR: 2.78
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 36.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.55×
• Total profit: $19,497
• Equity at exit: $6,710

10-year hold

• IRR: 43.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.08×
• Total profit: $51,462
• Equity at exit: $3,891

Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40336

• Home prices YoY: -10.5%
• Active inventory: 120
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $891 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$236
• Tax from tax record: −$28 /mo · $337/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$187
• Net cashflow: $421

Break-even live

Break-even rent $358

Max offer price $45,000

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,250
• Closing costs: $1,350
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-15
   status $45,000 Pending 25 DOM
2. 2026-06-15
   days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-14
   days on market $45,000 Active 23 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $45,000 Active 22 DOM
5. 2026-06-10
   days on market $45,000 Active 20 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $45,000 Active 19 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $45,000 Active 18 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $45,000 Active 17 DOM
9. 2026-06-05
   days on market $45,000 Active 14 DOM
10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 12 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 11 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 10 DOM
13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 9 DOM
14. 2026-05-19
    listed $45,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $337 · $28/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $387 · $32/mo
• Expected delta: +$50/yr (+$4/mo · 14.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $10,686
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,521
• − Property taxes: −$337
• − Insurance: −$225
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$855
• − Management: −$855
• − Depreciation: −$1,309
• Taxable income: $4,584
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,100
• After-tax cash flow: $3,948/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Estill County
• NCES district ID: 2101760
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -24.00%
• Reading proficiency: 33% ▼ -13.00%
• Median HH income: $29,324
• Composite: 20.86/100
• National rank: #8498
• State rank: #146 of 165 in KY

Livability — Irvine

• Score: 65/100
• State rank: #254
• US rank: #12740

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 12,650

Population outlook (Estill County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 13,588 people
• By 2030: 13,086 · -3.7%
• By 2040: 12,012 · -11.6%
• By 2050: 10,928 · -19.6%
• By 2075: 8,646 · -36.4%
• By 2100: 6,689 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 3% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Estill

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+63.2) · D 17.7% · R 81.0% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -23.1pp toward R · 2008: -40.1pp · 2024: -63.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+63.2 2020: R+57.3 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+46.2 2008: R+40.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -25.66%
• Current HPI: 219.2756
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Listed $45,000 ImagineMLS

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $337 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.