Duplex
41 Bay St · Winslow, ME
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.4/15.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$233,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
🏡 Investment Opportunity in Winslow, Maine! 📍 41 Bay St, Winslow, ME 💲 $239,000 Turn-key 2-unit apartment building in a prime in-town location with strong rental potential and low-maintenance ownership appeal. ✅ Recently Renovated ✅ New Heating System ✅ New Asphalt Roof ✅ Updated Lateral/Sewer System ✅ Vinyl Windows Throughout ✅ Large Tenant Parking Area Unit 1 (Downstairs): • Spacious 2-bedroom layout • Large laundry area Unit 2 (Upstairs): • 3-bedroom unit • Washer & dryer hookups Perfect for investors looking for cash flow, owner-occupants wanting rental income, or anyone seeking a solid multi-unit property in a convenient location close t
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 5 parking spots
- Built 1860
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: CD
- Financial info: Gross annual income reported as $31,500; Operating expenses reported as $999; Actual rents: $1,275 for the 3-bed unit, $1,350 for the 2-bed unit
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street paved parking with 5–10 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service via circuit breakers; Utilities currently listed as not on
- Home design: Multi-unit property (2 units); Built in 1860
- Construction: Wood siding and vinyl siding on a wood frame; Shingle roof; Above-grade finished area approximately 2,037 sq. ft.
- Exterior features: Front porch; Open, level lot near shopping, turnpike/interstate, town and railroad; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No refrigerators listed in either unit
- Bedrooms: Two-unit property: one 3-bedroom unit (second level) and one 2-bedroom unit (first level)
- Flooring: Wood; Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (total for the building)
- Heating & cooling: Multiple heating systems: hot water, forced air, baseboard and direct vent heater; Circuit breaker electrical panel
- Interior features: Wood, laminate and carpet floors; Unfinished full basement with exterior-only entry
- Laundry & utility: Each unit has a dedicated water heater; Dedicated electric meters for both units; Water heater types: electric and oil
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $234k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $521/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $234k).
- Recommended offer: $227k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.5% in Winslow — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#10 in ME, #937 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+.
- Winslow Schools (town): math 81% / reading 87% proficiency, ranked #61 of 112 in ME (top 54%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 42 active listings in the ZIP; 460 units permitted in Kennebec County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,289/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1102% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kennebec County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $65k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.09%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $244,440
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Whipple St | 0.54mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 1,976 (-3%) | 8mo | $297,900 | $151 | 58 |
| 16 Hallowell St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,297 (+13%) | 4mo | $275,000 | $120 | 54 |
| 2 South Garand St | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-6%) | 23mo | $185,000 | $97 | 49 |
| 26 Stobie St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,080 (+2%) | 23mo | $225,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 1 Bolduc Ave | 0.69mi | 6/3.0 (+1) | 2,332 (+14%) | 9mo | $349,000 | $150 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.3% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $39,748
- Equity at exit
- $34,875
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.59×
- Total profit
- $169,652
- Equity at exit
- $20,223
Cash invested: $65,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04901
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 12.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,289 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,227
- Tax from tax record
- −$232 /mo · $2,789/yr
- Insurance
- −$97
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$691
- Net cashflow
- $1,042
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,538 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,751 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,289 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,475
- Closing costs
- $7,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-01statusdays on market $233,900 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $233,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $233,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-23$239,000 Active
-
2024-09-26historical $1,375
-
2024-08-20price $1,375
-
2024-07-25$1,500
-
2016-11-11historical
-
2016-09-09status Pending
-
2016-08-17$75,000 Active
-
2005-05-19$72,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ME · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,789 · $232/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,985 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- +$196/yr (+$16/mo · 7.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,468
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,102
- − Property taxes
- −$2,789
- − Insurance
- −$1,170
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,157
- − Management
- −$3,157
- − Depreciation
- −$6,804
- Taxable income
- $9,288
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winslow Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2313860
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▲ 52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 87% ▲ 28.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,883
- Composite
- 70.66/100
- National rank
- #254
- State rank
- #61 of 112 in ME
Livability — Winslow
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #937
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winslow, ME
- County
- Kennebec County · 54,560 people
- City population
- 27,870
- Metro
- Augusta-Waterville, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,870
- Household income
- $57,403
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1102.0
Population outlook (Kennebec County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 115,421 people
- By 2030
- 111,852 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 103,757 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 95,710 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 78,172 · -32.3%
- By 2100
- 59,500 · -48.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 19% Slovak 4% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kennebec
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 50.2% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: 14.8pp · 2024: -2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+13.5 2008: D+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.04%
- Current HPI
- 351.0657
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.30%
- Metro
- Augusta-Waterville, ME
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+227.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $239,000 MREIS
- 2024-09-26 Rental Removed $1,375 APPFOLIO
- 2024-08-20 Price Changed $1,375 APPFOLIO
- 2024-07-25 Listed for Rent $1,500 APPFOLIO
- 2016-11-11 Delisted — MREIS
- 2016-09-09 Pending — MREIS
- 2016-08-17 Listed $75,000 MREIS
- 2005-05-19 Listed $72,900 MREIS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,789 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…