Nova Plan · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974

$387,999

6 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,041 sqft · SingleFamily · 159 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Cash flow +8.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• 1% rule +2.5/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• DSCR +2.1/10.0
• Rent growth +1.3/5.0

Listing remarks

The first floor of this two-story home shares an open layout between the kitchen, dining room and family room for easy entertaining and access to a patio. A luxe owner's suite is in a rear corner of the first floor, while a secondary bedroom is at the front, perfect for overnight guests, as well as a flex space which can transform to meet the homeowner's needs. Upstairs are four secondary bedrooms and a loft for added living space.

Key facts

• Luxe owner's suite
• Flex space
• Loft

Tags

• OPEN LAYOUT
• LUXE OWNER'S SUITE
• FLEX SPACE
• SECONDARY BEDROOMS
• LOFT

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Inventory type: Plan
• Financial info: List price $387,999
• HOA & community: HOA details not provided

Exterior

• Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
• Security: Security details not provided
• Utilities: Utilities details not provided
• Home design: Plan home (Nova); New construction
• Construction: Construction year details not provided; Construction materials and foundation details not provided; Roof details not provided
• Exterior features: Located at 388 Martineau Cir, Lehigh Acres, FL 33974; Living area approximately 3,041

Interior

• Kitchen: Standard kitchen (details not provided)
• Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
• Flooring: Flooring details not provided
• Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: HVAC details not provided
• Interior features: New construction plan (Nova)
• Laundry & utility: Laundry/utility details not provided

🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $388k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-389 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $332k (14.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $290k (25.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $290k (25.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
• Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,902/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 434% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($341k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $290,152 (25.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.75% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.09%
• Cash-on-cash: -4.30%
• DSCR: 0.81
• GRM: 11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 20.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.64×
• Total profit: $178,068
• Equity at exit: $349,540

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.0%
• Equity multiple: 5.87×
• Total profit: $528,736
• Equity at exit: $753,797

Cash invested: $108,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33974

• Home prices YoY: 5.8%
• Rents YoY: -4.7%
• Active inventory: 2460
• Price-to-rent: 11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,902 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,035
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$485 /mo · $5,820/yr
• Insurance: −$162
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$609
• Net cashflow: $-389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,394

Max offer price $331,685

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-121	-5% $-255	+0% $-389	+5% $-523	+10% $-657
Rent	-10% $-618	-5% $-504	+0% $-389	+5% $-275	+10% $-160
Rate	-1.0pp $-194	-0.5pp $-290	base $-389	+0.5pp $-490	+1.0pp $-592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $97,000
• Closing costs: $11,640
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 5 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
11634 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL	5.0	3.0	2451	$2,650	$1.08	22d	1	0.78mi
11613 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL	5.0	3.0	2451	$2,700	$1.10	17d	1	0.79mi
11902 Savanna Lakes Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL	6.0	3.0	3041	$2,750	$0.90	17d	1	0.84mi
19525 Fairhill Ct Lehigh Acres, FL	6.0	3.0	2463	$2,499	$1.01	24d	1	0.99mi
19972 Green Pasture Rd Lehigh Acres, FL	5.0	2.5	2959	$3,000	$1.01	22d	1	1.00mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-17
   days on market $387,999 Active 159 DOM
2. 2026-06-16
   days on market $387,999 Active 158 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $387,999 Active 157 DOM
4. 2026-06-13
   days on market $387,999 Active 155 DOM
5. 2026-06-09
   days on market $387,999 Active 151 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $387,999 Active 149 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $387,999 Active 143 DOM
8. 2026-06-01
   days on market $387,999 Active 142 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $34,818
• − Mortgage interest: −$21,734
• − Property taxes: −$5,820
• − Insurance: −$1,940
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,785
• − Management: −$2,785
• − Depreciation: −$11,287
• Taxable loss: −$11,534
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,768
• After-tax cash flow: $-1,902/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lee
• NCES district ID: 1201080
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,518
• Composite: 41.49/100
• National rank: #3458
• State rank: #42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #826
• US rank: #20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lehigh Acres, FL
• County: Lee County · 788,662 people
• City population: 130,638
• Metro: Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
• Population (ZIP): 19,927
• Household income: $72,192
• Rent vs Own: 27.3% rent · 72.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 871,946 people
• By 2030: 955,468 · +9.6%
• By 2040: 1,113,587 · +27.7%
• By 2050: 1,256,891 · +44.1%
• By 2075: 1,560,270 · +78.9%
• By 2100: 1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 32% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 16.53%
• Current HPI: 303.3399
• Rent YoY: ▼ -4.68%
• Metro: Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B