408 S Rusk St · De Leon, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$10,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great place to build!! Located close to stores, entertainment and schools. Just imagine the kids running and placing on the shady lot. Don't miss this opportunity, it won't last ling!
Key facts
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($802 rent vs $10k).
- Cap rate 74.6% vs local median 3.1% in De Leon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#799 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- De Leon ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #207 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $957 of equity ($69 loan paydown + $888 appreciation (8.9% local appreciation)).
- Comanche County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (8.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 8.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 74.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 243.90%
- DSCR
- 11.85
- GRM
- 1.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.62×
- Total profit
- $40,949
- Equity at exit
- $8,208
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 33.84×
- Total profit
- $91,955
- Equity at exit
- $16,911
Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76444
- Home prices YoY
- 3.9%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 1.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $802 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$52
- Tax from tax record
- −$8 /mo · $94/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$168
- Net cashflow
- $569
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,500
- Closing costs
- $300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-26$10,000
-
2016-05-16soldstatus
-
2016-05-12soldstatus Sold 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Great place to build!! Located close to stores, entertainment and schools. Just imagine the kids running and placing on the shady lot. Don't miss this opportunity, it won't last ling!
-
2016-04-22status Pending 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Great place to build!! Located close to stores, entertainment and schools. Just imagine the kids running and placing on the shady lot. Don't miss this opportunity, it won't last ling!
-
2016-04-07$3,000 Active 183-char remark
Show marketing remark (183 chars)
Great place to build!! Located close to stores, entertainment and schools. Just imagine the kids running and placing on the shady lot. Don't miss this opportunity, it won't last ling!
-
2006-05-31soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $94 · $8/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $183 · $15/mo
- Expected delta
- +$89/yr (+$7/mo · 94.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$560
- − Property taxes
- −$94
- − Insurance
- −$50
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$770
- − Management
- −$770
- − Depreciation
- −$291
- Taxable income
- $7,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,701
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,128/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- De Leon ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,143
- Composite
- 41.02/100
- National rank
- #3586
- State rank
- #207 of 826 in TX
Livability — De Leon
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #799
- US rank
- #14577
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- De Leon, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,235
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,214 people
- By 2030
- 11,531 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 10,132 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 8,724 · -28.6%
- By 2075
- 5,684 · -53.5%
- By 2100
- 3,649 · -70.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 19%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+71.0 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+62.3 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.88%
- Current HPI
- 235.6347
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+233.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $10,000 FSBO.com
- 2016-05-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-05-12 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2016-04-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2016-04-07 Listed $3,000 NTREIS
- 2006-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $94 · +18.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…