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3001 Kellar Ave
C Composite 59.8
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$35,900

3001 Kellar Ave · Flint, MI 48504
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 108 Days on market
Built 1954 5,227 sqft lot Est $26k · 39% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1954
  • Listed 107 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acre (50 x 100)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 total rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $389 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($825 rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.3% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $248 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,669 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.30%
Cap rate
19.30%
Cash-on-cash
46.44%
DSCR
3.07
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$25,920
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2713 Brownell Blvd 0.18mi 2/1.0 728 (+1%) 5mo $35,000 $48 86
2101 W Dartmouth St 0.11mi 2/1.0 724 (+1%) 17mo $26,000 $36 80
1713 W Dartmouth St 0.25mi 3/1.0 (+1) 720 (0%) 5mo $69,900 $97 79
3221 Burgess St 0.39mi 2/1.0 755 (+5%) 3mo $15,900 $21 71
3622 Winona St 0.34mi 2/1.0 697 (-3%) 10mo $54,900 $79 70
2632 Landon St 0.29mi 2/1.0 740 (+3%) 17mo $18,500 $25 68
3171 W Dartmouth St 0.50mi 2/1.0 730 (+1%) 12mo $58,000 $79 65
2909 Wisner St 0.10mi 2/1.0 816 (+13%) 12mo $10,400 $13 63
3501 Fleming Rd 0.41mi 2/1.0 764 (+6%) 12mo $25,000 $33 61
3721 Trumbull Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 742 (+3%) 15mo $25,000 $34 60
3420 Fleming Road Rd 0.42mi 2/1.0 636 (-12%) 3mo $50,000 $79 58
2495 Lavelle Rd 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 822 (+14%) 6mo $17,500 $21 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
2.89×
Total profit
$18,982
Equity at exit
$5,353
10-year hold
IRR
49.7%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$48,521
Equity at exit
$3,104

Cash invested: $10,052 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48504

Active inventory
131
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$825 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$188
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $714/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$173
Net cashflow
$389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $333
Max offer price $35,900
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,975
Closing costs
$1,077
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3506 Brownell Blvd Flint, MI 2.0 1.0 600 $825 $1.38 13d 1 0.32mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,900 Active 108 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,900 Active 107 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,900 Active 106 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,900 Active 105 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $35,900 Active 102 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $35,900 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,900 Active 99 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,900 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,900 Active 94 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,900 Active 93 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,900 Active 92 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,900 Active 91 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,900 Active 90 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,900 Active 89 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    price $35,900 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  18. 2026-05-22
    price $35,900
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  19. 2026-04-14
    price $37,900 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  20. 2026-04-14
    price $37,900
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  21. 2026-03-21
    price $39,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  22. 2026-03-21
    price $39,000
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  23. 2026-03-03
    listed $39,900 Active 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  24. 2026-03-03
    listed $39,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  25. 2026-03-02
    historical $39,900 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Flint! This 2-bedroom bungalow offers approximately 1,120 sq ft including a partially finished basement. Estimated market rent $850–$950/month creating strong cash flow potential. Low annual taxes (~$592). Ideal for buy-and-hold investors or light cosmetic renovation to increase value. Great opportunity to add to your rental portfolio. Property sold as-is

  26. 2013-09-18
    historical
  27. 2013-09-18
    historical
  28. 2013-05-13
    listed $4,500
  29. 2013-05-13
    listed $4,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$714 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$714 · $59/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,900
− Mortgage interest
−$2,011
− Property taxes
−$714
− Insurance
−$180
− Repairs & maintenance
−$792
− Management
−$792
− Depreciation
−$1,044
Taxable income
$4,367
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,048
After-tax cash flow
$3,620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Flint School District
NCES district ID
2614520
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$25,954
Composite
10.97/100
National rank
#14642
State rank
#714 of 760 in MI

Livability — Flint

Score
74/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#4946

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Flint, MI
City population
93,814
Population (ZIP)
23,873

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -101.67%
Current HPI
94.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+697.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $35,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $35,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $37,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $37,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $39,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $39,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-02 Coming Soon $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-18 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-09-18 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2013-05-13 Listed $4,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-05-13 Listed $4,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $714 · +20.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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