15 N Pope St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 14.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors & Flippers take a look at this 2 bedroom 1 bath home with an Extra 1 bedroom & 1 Bathroom Mother-in-law area in the back of home. Close to downtown.
Key facts
- Extra bedroom
- Close to downtown
- 3,746 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Carport (1 space); Alley access; On-site storage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property; Fixer condition
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Storage; Porch; Fenced yard; Shingle roof
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: In-law floorplan; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Recommended offer: $75k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: San Jacinto El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 273 students, 89% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.26%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $92,442
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 N Buchanan St | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+1%) | 3mo | $55,000 | $55 | 73 |
| 616 Koberlin St | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-10%) | 2mo | $119,900 | $133 | 73 |
| 419 N Pope St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 932 (-6%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 618 Pulliam St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+7%) | 2mo | $99,000 | $93 | 69 |
| 812 E Harris Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 852 (-14%) | 6mo | $127,500 | $150 | 68 |
| 424 N Pope St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 938 (-6%) | 4mo | $25,000 | $27 | 68 |
| 709 E Harris Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 1,118 (+12%) | 10mo | $155,000 | $139 | 68 |
| 1214 Preusser St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,048 (+5%) | 2mo | $66,000 | $63 | 67 |
| 522 Ellis St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-3%) | 11mo | $115,000 | $120 | 50 |
| 621 & 625 Powell St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,060 (+7%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $42 | 44 |
| 1402 Spaulding St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 871 (-12%) | 8mo | $39,900 | $46 | 41 |
| 1619 Spaulding St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,087 (+9%) | 10mo | $128,000 | $118 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $14,679
- Equity at exit
- $11,317
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $68,330
- Equity at exit
- $6,562
Cash invested: $21,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76903
- Rents YoY
- 8.5%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,194 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$398
- Tax from tax record
- −$190 /mo · $2,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$251
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,975
- Closing costs
- $2,277
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 Allen St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 302 Allen St #18 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $2,000 | $2.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 212 Koberlin St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $945 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1173 Benedict Dr San Angelo, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,213 | $1.40 | 21d | 10 | 0.66mi |
| 134 E 11th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,025 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 318 Montague Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,850 | $1.77 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 504 E 17th St San Angelo, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $875 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2308 Carley St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 985 | $1,102 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 162-char remark
-
2026-05-31$75,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,285 · $190/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,285 · $190/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,252
- − Property taxes
- −$2,285
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,146
- − Management
- −$1,146
- − Depreciation
- −$2,208
- Taxable income
- $2,913
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$699
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,947
- Household income
- $49,498
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1255.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 33%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.90%
- Current HPI
- 217.0406
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.46%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-30 Listed $75,900 SAAR TX
- 2018-03-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $2,285 · +26.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…