27197 Simona Ave · Hill 'n Dale, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this clean and nicely landscaped 3 bedroom 1 bath home with 1 Car garage situated in Brooksville, FL. Some features include Newer AC, Newer Water Heater, and Newer roof. Interior features Living Room/Dining combo , Spacious bedrooms with large closets and lots of natural light, updated Bath with Solid Surface counter, and New Vinyl Flooring throughout living area/beds. Sliders lead out to your Screened Lanai and Fully Fenced Backyard with tons of space for entertaining on those Hot Summer days. This home is in close proximity to shopping and restaurants. Walk to local retail store, or ride your bicycle to restaurants and grocery with only a 20-25 minute commute via bicycle. Conveniently located near interstate I-75 & SR 50, This home is in the perfect location for anyone who has to commute via to Tampa, Orlando, or the Gulf beaches. NO HOA or CDD Fees! . Enjoy all of what Hernando county offers: Chinsegut Wildlife Trail and Withlacoochee State Forest, Weeki Wachee Springs Park, and Pine Island Beach, only a few minutes to Boyettes Grove & Citrus Attraction, and so much more. Don't delay, come and see this home today!!
Key facts
- Corner lot position
- No cdd fees
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total lot about 0.18 acre (0 to less than 1/4 acre)
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Garage with opener; Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available; Water available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces north; Residential zoning; Homesteaded
- Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Front porch; Rear porch; Screened porch; Exterior lighting; Rain gutters; Sliding doors; Asphalt road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room / dining room combo; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $353 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 5.4% in Hill 'n Dale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 737 students, 73% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 185 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.98%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $228,960
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27176 Wakefield Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,141 (+6%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $182 | 79 |
| 27200 Fernery Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-7%) | 3mo | $212,000 | $212 | 77 |
| 27168 Fernery Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 1mo | $190,000 | $190 | 77 |
| 6355 Crestview Dr | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-2%) | 1mo | $190,200 | $180 | 73 |
| 27009 Anthony Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (+1%) | 4mo | $239,999 | $220 | 73 |
| 27083 Roper Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,000 (-7%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $190 | 71 |
| 6399 Raley Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,091 (+1%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $217 | 70 |
| 26412 MC Allister St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (+1%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $229 | 67 |
| 6155 Sumter Dr | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,042 (-4%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 27385 Azen Loop | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-11%) | 4mo | $222,000 | $231 | 60 |
| 6070 Honeysuckle Ln | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (+7%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $220 | 48 |
| 26411 Bertram Rd | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-7%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $155 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-9,986
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $20,086
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34602
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 185
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,064 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $353
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27108 Simona Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 27103 Frampton Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 6367 Enterprise Dr Unit 1234457P Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $3,316 | $2.96 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 27008 Anthony Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,795 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $200,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-05-15price $200,000
-
2026-04-02price $212,000
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2026-03-03price $217,000
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2026-01-15price $220,000
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2026-01-13$229,000 Active
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2022-11-23soldstatus $197,000
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2022-11-23soldstatus $197,000
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2022-11-17soldstatus $197,000 Closed 1171-char remark
Show marketing remark (1171 chars)
Welcome home to this clean and nicely landscaped 3 bedroom 1 bath home with 1 Car garage situated in Brooksville, FL. Some features include Newer AC, Newer Water Heater, and Newer roof. Interior features Living Room/Dining combo , Spacious bedrooms with large closets and lots of natural light, updated Bath with Solid Surface counter, and New Vinyl Flooring throughout living area/beds. Sliders lead out to your Screened Lanai and Fully Fenced Backyard with tons of space for entertaining on those Hot Summer days. This home is in close proximity to shopping and restaurants. Walk to local retail store, or ride your bicycle to restaurants and grocery with only a 20-25 minute commute via bicycle. Conveniently located near interstate I-75 & SR 50, This home is in the perfect location for anyone who has to commute via to Tampa, Orlando, or the Gulf beaches. NO HOA or CDD Fees! . Enjoy all of what Hernando county offers: Chinsegut Wildlife Trail and Withlacoochee State Forest, Weeki Wachee Springs Park, and Pine Island Beach, only a few minutes to Boyettes Grove & Citrus Attraction, and so much more. Don't delay, come and see this home today!!
-
2022-10-22status Pending 1171-char remark
Show marketing remark (1171 chars)
Welcome home to this clean and nicely landscaped 3 bedroom 1 bath home with 1 Car garage situated in Brooksville, FL. Some features include Newer AC, Newer Water Heater, and Newer roof. Interior features Living Room/Dining combo , Spacious bedrooms with large closets and lots of natural light, updated Bath with Solid Surface counter, and New Vinyl Flooring throughout living area/beds. Sliders lead out to your Screened Lanai and Fully Fenced Backyard with tons of space for entertaining on those Hot Summer days. This home is in close proximity to shopping and restaurants. Walk to local retail store, or ride your bicycle to restaurants and grocery with only a 20-25 minute commute via bicycle. Conveniently located near interstate I-75 & SR 50, This home is in the perfect location for anyone who has to commute via to Tampa, Orlando, or the Gulf beaches. NO HOA or CDD Fees! . Enjoy all of what Hernando county offers: Chinsegut Wildlife Trail and Withlacoochee State Forest, Weeki Wachee Springs Park, and Pine Island Beach, only a few minutes to Boyettes Grove & Citrus Attraction, and so much more. Don't delay, come and see this home today!!
-
2022-10-16price $205,000 1171-char remark
Show marketing remark (1171 chars)
Welcome home to this clean and nicely landscaped 3 bedroom 1 bath home with 1 Car garage situated in Brooksville, FL. Some features include Newer AC, Newer Water Heater, and Newer roof. Interior features Living Room/Dining combo , Spacious bedrooms with large closets and lots of natural light, updated Bath with Solid Surface counter, and New Vinyl Flooring throughout living area/beds. Sliders lead out to your Screened Lanai and Fully Fenced Backyard with tons of space for entertaining on those Hot Summer days. This home is in close proximity to shopping and restaurants. Walk to local retail store, or ride your bicycle to restaurants and grocery with only a 20-25 minute commute via bicycle. Conveniently located near interstate I-75 & SR 50, This home is in the perfect location for anyone who has to commute via to Tampa, Orlando, or the Gulf beaches. NO HOA or CDD Fees! . Enjoy all of what Hernando county offers: Chinsegut Wildlife Trail and Withlacoochee State Forest, Weeki Wachee Springs Park, and Pine Island Beach, only a few minutes to Boyettes Grove & Citrus Attraction, and so much more. Don't delay, come and see this home today!!
-
2022-10-14$195,000 Active 1171-char remark
Show marketing remark (1171 chars)
Welcome home to this clean and nicely landscaped 3 bedroom 1 bath home with 1 Car garage situated in Brooksville, FL. Some features include Newer AC, Newer Water Heater, and Newer roof. Interior features Living Room/Dining combo , Spacious bedrooms with large closets and lots of natural light, updated Bath with Solid Surface counter, and New Vinyl Flooring throughout living area/beds. Sliders lead out to your Screened Lanai and Fully Fenced Backyard with tons of space for entertaining on those Hot Summer days. This home is in close proximity to shopping and restaurants. Walk to local retail store, or ride your bicycle to restaurants and grocery with only a 20-25 minute commute via bicycle. Conveniently located near interstate I-75 & SR 50, This home is in the perfect location for anyone who has to commute via to Tampa, Orlando, or the Gulf beaches. NO HOA or CDD Fees! . Enjoy all of what Hernando county offers: Chinsegut Wildlife Trail and Withlacoochee State Forest, Weeki Wachee Springs Park, and Pine Island Beach, only a few minutes to Boyettes Grove & Citrus Attraction, and so much more. Don't delay, come and see this home today!!
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1980-02-01soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,660 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$712/yr (+$59/mo · 75.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$1,798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,981
- − Management
- −$1,981
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,034
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,983/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hill 'n Dale
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hill 'n Dale, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,391
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 11% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.3728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+627.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $200,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $212,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $217,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Listed $229,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $197,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $197,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-17 Sold (MLS) $197,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-22 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-16 Price Changed $205,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-14 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1980-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $948 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…