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2378 Youngmann Loop
D Composite 42.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.3/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$389,900

2378 Youngmann Loop · Wildwood, FL 32163
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,611 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 2022 5,400 sqft lot Est $437k · 11% under $204/mo HOA · 8% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Put this house on the top of your list if you're looking for a great house that is only a few years old, well maintained, and has mature landscaping and updates like gutter that all the new homes are lacking. It's a popular Jasmine model perfectly located in the village of St. John's. This ideal location gives you the best of both worlds! You get the newer construction of homes south of Rt 44 plus you are just a quick golf cart ride to Brownwood square! This home has exclusive features like a Roman shower, Samsung appliances, gas stove and even a pocket door that seals off the guest area for privacy. Speaking of privacy, you even have a fence in the backyard, no kissig lanais here! You are

Key facts

  • Samsung appliances
  • Pocket door
  • Gas stove

Tags

ROMAN SHOWERSAMSUNG APPLIANCESGAS STOVEPOCKET DOORFENCE IN BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CDD present
  • Financial info: $2,448 annual assessment (approx.); No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: The Villages homeowners association; HOA required, $204 monthly; Senior community; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces south
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Built on slab
  • Exterior features: Irrigation equipment; Asphalt road surface; Lot about 0.12 acres (approximate)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Range hood; Solar hot water
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile; Slab foundation
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $390k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-927 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (42.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $266k (31.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (42.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); South Sumter Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 897 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 269 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $39k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$67k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($384k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $226,089 (42.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
3.44%
Cash-on-cash
-10.19%
DSCR
0.55
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$436,581
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4813 Pivanka Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 14mo $295,000 $205 67
4874 Noreen Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-11%) 9mo $345,000 $240 67
2585 Constance Ct 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,730 (+7%) 11mo $520,000 $301 65
4788 Rostas Way 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,516 (-6%) 1mo $500,000 $330 59
2505 Drew Cir 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,419 (-12%) 18mo $385,000 $271 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$153,535
Equity at exit
$351,253
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
5.57×
Total profit
$499,069
Equity at exit
$757,490

Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32163

Home prices YoY
9.8%
Active inventory
269
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,660 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,045
Tax from tax record
$618 /mo · $7,410/yr
Insurance
$162
HOA
$204
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$559
Net cashflow
$-927

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,834
Max offer price $226,089
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-707 -5% $-817 +0% $-927 +5% $-1,038 +10% $-1,148
Rent -10% $-1,137 -5% $-1,032 +0% $-927 +5% $-822 +10% $-717
Rate -1.0pp $-731 -0.5pp $-828 base $-927 +0.5pp $-1,028 +1.0pp $-1,131

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$97,475
Closing costs
$11,697
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2910 Monument Way The Villages, FL 2.0 2.0 1494 $2,600 $1.74 22d 1 1.45mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$204 · $2,448/yr
Likely covers
gaslandscaping

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $389,900 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $389,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $389,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $389,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $389,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    price $389,900 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,900 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $399,900 Active 15 DOM
  9. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,900 Active 14 DOM
  10. 2026-06-10
    days on market $399,900 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,900 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,900 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,900 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,900 Active 4 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,900 Active 3 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,900 Active 2 DOM
  17. 2026-05-29
    listed $399,900 Active
  18. 2026-03-23
    listed $399,900 Active
  19. 2026-03-15
    historical
  20. 2026-01-27
    price $420,000
  21. 2025-12-20
    listed $449,000 Active
  22. 2024-08-21
    soldstatus $429,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,410 · $618/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,410 · $618/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,919
− Mortgage interest
−$21,840
− Property taxes
−$7,410
− Insurance
−$1,950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,554
− Management
−$2,554
− HOA
−$2,448
− Depreciation
−$11,343
Taxable loss
−$18,178
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,363
After-tax cash flow
$-6,765/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,549
Household income
$96,775
Rent vs Own
5.7% rent · 94.3% own
Severe rent burden
307.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.47%
Current HPI
229.0075
Rent YoY
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $399,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $399,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $420,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-20 Listed $449,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $429,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+34.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,410 · +11.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…