3057 Dryburg Rd · Halifax, VA 24558

$59,500

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market

Built 1977 1.00 ac lot Est $75k · 20% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Multiple offers have been received. Seller is requesting highest and best offers from all buyers. All offers must be submitted by 10:00 AM on March 30, 2026 and must include proof of funds (cash purchases) and/or a prequalification letter (financed offers). Offer acceptance is subject to senior management approval, mortgage insurance approval, and/or investor approval. No contract is considered accepted until fully executed by the seller. This property is being sold in its present "AS-IS" condition, with no warranties and representations by Seller, unless otherwise agreed to in writing. Seller will convey title via a Special or Limited Warranty Deed, or its local equivalent. 3 Bed

Key facts

• Walk out access
• Brick rancher
• Eat in kitchen

Tags

• EAT IN KITCHEN
• BRICK RANCHER
• FULL BASEMENT
• WALK OUT ACCESS
• WASHER DRYER HOOKUP
• SINGLE CAR ATTACHED CARPORT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $734 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
• Recommended offer: $59k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#205 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
• Halifax County Public School District (town): math 29% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #116 of 131 in VA (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Scottsburg Elementary (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #742 of 1,108 statewide, top 70%, 188 students, 94% FRL); Halifax County Middle (math 27% / reading 60%, grade D, #285 of 342 statewide, top 84%, 925 students, 92% FRL); Halifax County High (math 40% / reading 69%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 1,397 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 58% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $411 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Halifax County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $58,607 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 21.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 52.89%
• DSCR: 3.35
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $74,555
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3057 Dryburg Rd	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,147 (0%)	1mo	$75,000	$65	99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 50.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.23×
• Total profit: $37,130
• Equity at exit: $8,872

10-year hold

• IRR: 56.3%
• Equity multiple: 6.56×
• Total profit: $92,578
• Equity at exit: $5,144

Cash invested: $16,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State Virginia: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 24558

• Home prices YoY: -7.3%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,421 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$312
• Tax from tax record: −$51 /mo · $615/yr
• Insurance: −$25
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$298
• Net cashflow: $734

Break-even live

Break-even rent $491

Max offer price $59,500

Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $768	-5% $751	+0% $734	+5% $717	+10% $701
Rent	-10% $622	-5% $678	+0% $734	+5% $790	+10% $846
Rate	-1.0pp $764	-0.5pp $749	base $734	+0.5pp $719	+1.0pp $703

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,875
• Closing costs: $1,785
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-04-08
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-20
   price $59,500
3. 2026-03-19
   listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $615 · $51/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $615 · $51/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,047
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,333
• − Property taxes: −$615
• − Insurance: −$298
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,364
• − Management: −$1,364
• − Depreciation: −$1,731
• Taxable income: $8,344
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,002
• After-tax cash flow: $6,808/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Halifax County Public School District
• NCES district ID: 5101770
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -51.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $36,137
• Composite: 36.36/100
• National rank: #4687
• State rank: #116 of 131 in VA

Livability — Halifax

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #205
• US rank: #6363

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,044

Population outlook (Halifax County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 32,892 people
• By 2030: 31,438 · -4.4%
• By 2040: 28,350 · -13.8%
• By 2050: 25,553 · -22.3%
• By 2075: 20,217 · -38.5%
• By 2100: 14,645 · -55.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (61%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 61% Black 33% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Halifax

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.1) · D 39.1% · R 60.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -18.2pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+5.6 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -15.54%
• Current HPI: 198.1694
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.40%
• F500 in state: 50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	4	$236B
▸Technology / Defense	3	$32B
▸Financial Services	2	$176B
▸Utilities	2	$27B
▸Insurance	2	$25B
▸Technology	2	$15B

Price history

-0.7% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-08 Pending — SPLLAR
• 2026-03-20 Price Changed $59,500 SPLLAR
• 2026-03-19 Listed $59,900 SPLLAR

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $615 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.