2705 Suni Pines Blvd · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Soccer field
- Swimming pool
- Basketball court
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: List price $90,900
Exterior
- Home design: Spec-built new construction, Plan 78303
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Living area approximately 1216
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $91k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $91k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.9% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Chet'S Creek Elementary School (math 81% / reading 75%, grade A, #149 of 2,144 statewide, top 8%, 1,095 students, 36% FRL); Duncan U. Fletcher Middle School (math 69% / reading 64%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,140 students, 33% FRL); Sandalwood High School (math 53% / reading 46%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 2,771 students, 42% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 46% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Duval average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $628 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 750 days — a 12% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 750 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.73%
- DSCR
- 3.48
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,816
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13757 Chauny Rd | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+11%) | 12mo | $137,000 | $101 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 56.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $65,365
- Equity at exit
- $13,553
- IRR
- 62.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.85×
- Total profit
- $174,426
- Equity at exit
- $7,859
Cash invested: $25,452 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32250
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,291 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$477
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$114 /mo · $1,364/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$481
- Net cashflow
- $1,182
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,245 | -5% $1,213 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,151 | +10% $1,119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,001 | -5% $1,092 | +0% $1,182 | +5% $1,273 | +10% $1,363 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,228 | -0.5pp $1,205 | base $1,182 | +0.5pp $1,158 | +1.0pp $1,135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,725
- Closing costs
- $2,727
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2942 Rockford Falls Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $2,100 | $1.41 | 19d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 14089 Lumberton Falls Dr Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,450 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 14051 Beach Blvd Jacksonville Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1001 | $2,410 | $2.41 | 3d | 17 | 0.25mi |
| 13793 Herons Landing Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 13717 Otway Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $3,500 | $2.37 | 9d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2443 Footbridge Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $3,000 | $2.07 | 6d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3551 San Pablo Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,399 | $1.75 | 5d | 11 | 1.00mi |
| 13364 Beach Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 16d | 5 | 1.06mi |
| 13364 Beach Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1418 | $1,997 | $1.41 | 5d | 6 | 1.06mi |
| 3477 Nightscape Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1078 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3709 San Pablo Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $1,890 | $2.36 | 4d | 14 | 1.20mi |
| 3435 Nightscape Cir Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1078 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3684 Summerlin Ln Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,600 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 13700 Richmond Park Dr N #1002 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,396 | $1.38 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 13700 Richmond Park Dr N #1002 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,396 | $1.38 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3504 Summerlin Ln Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1110 | $1,475 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3875 San Pablo Rd S Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $1,449 | $1.25 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2001 Hodges Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1000 | $1,776 | $1.78 | 22d | 15 | 1.38mi |
| 13703 Richmond Park Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,900 | $1.69 | 4d | 3 | 1.39mi |
| 13703 Richmond Park Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 864 | $1,900 | $2.20 | 12d | 4 | 1.39mi |
| 13727 Richmond Park Dr N #105 Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13715 Richmond Park Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1167 | $1,545 | $1.32 | 16d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 13700 Richmond Park Dr N Unit 12071207 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1229 | $1,950 | $1.59 | 9d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,900 Active 750 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,900 Active 747 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,900 Active 746 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,900 Active 745 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,900 Active 744 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,900 Active 738 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,900 Active 737 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,900 Active 732 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,900 Active 731 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,900 Active 730 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,900 Active 729 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,497
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,092
- − Property taxes
- −$1,364
- − Insurance
- −$454
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,200
- − Management
- −$2,200
- − Depreciation
- −$2,644
- Taxable income
- $13,544
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
- Household income
- $117,724
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 719.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -581.25%
- Current HPI
- 329.7742
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…