8811 BERGENLINE Ave #25 · Fairview, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NO INVESTORS. Owner must occupy. Well maintained and Spacious 2BR/1BTH - 700Sq. Ft in Elevator building. Located in North Bergen Heights this exceptional residence is directly across from the expansive James J. Braddock County Park. Well managed and secure building. Super Intendant onsite. Low maintenance $630 includes Real Estate Taxes, Heat, Hot Water, Water/Sewer, Maintenance & Repairs. Laundry Room, Bike Room, Storage Room. Board requires 3:1 Income to Debt ratio, 20% down and FICO score 700 or higher. Close to shopping, dining, and easy NYC transportation.
Key facts
- Storage room
- Laundry room
- Bike room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $219k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-69 ($-833/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (4.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $219k).
- Recommended offer: $206k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in Fairview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#174 in NJ, #4,548 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, schools D-, cost of living F.
- North Bergen School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #393 of 472 in NJ (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 209 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,310 units permitted in Hudson County in 2024 (4,154 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hudson County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($206k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.36%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-34,123
- Equity at exit
- $32,654
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-10,763
- Equity at exit
- $18,935
Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07047
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 209
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,625 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,148
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
- Insurance
- −$91
- HOA
- −$630
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $-69
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,750
- Closing costs
- $6,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8601 Bergenline Ave North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 952 | $4,857 | $5.10 | 1d | 27 | 0.06mi |
| 8517 4th Ave Unit C4 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,850 | $2.47 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 8404 4th Ave Unit 401 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $2,600 | $3.50 | 13d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 42 Lincoln St Fairview, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,650 | $2.54 | 20d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 9009 Durham Ave #2 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,000 | $3.33 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 331 79th St #15 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 642 | $1,850 | $2.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 311 79th St #9 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,695 | $2.83 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 301 79th St Unit A9 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 618 | $1,850 | $2.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1510 85th St Unit 1314966P North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 430 | $2,988 | $6.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8600 Boulevard E Unit 4G North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $2,100 | $3.13 | 7d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 8600 Boulevard E Unit 5F North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 7812 Hudson Ave Unit B1 North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,100 | $2.80 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8550 Boulevard E Unit 1D North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,200 | $3.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 8450 Boulevard E Unit 3B North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,400 | $3.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7628 Kennedy Blvd North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,150 | $3.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 8200 Boulevard East North Bergen, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1486 | $4,200 | $2.83 | 3d | 4 | 0.63mi |
| 7409 2nd Ave #1 North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $2,400 | $3.64 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7111 Palisade Ave North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 602 | $1,850 | $3.07 | 25d | 2 | 0.79mi |
| 7601 River Rd North Bergen, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1150 | $5,442 | $4.73 | 3d | 16 | 0.83mi |
| 310 70th St Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,850 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 401 70th St Unit 1R Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,900 | $3.62 | 5d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 140 71st St Unit 5 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 116 71st St #14 Guttenberg, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 7d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6810 Polk St West New York, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $3,850 | $4.00 | 22d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 520 Cliff St Fairview, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 139 70th St Unit 3 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,775 | $3.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7012 Cottage Ave Unit 202 North Bergen, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,000 | $3.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 440 Morningside Ave Fairview, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,900 | $2.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 333 Bergen Blvd Fairview, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $2,675 | $3.70 | 7d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 320 67th St Unit 2 West New York, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,400 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 74 69th St Unit 3B Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 535 | $2,050 | $3.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 78 69th St Unit 9A Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $1,800 | $3.60 | 5d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 110 68th St Apt 2E Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,800 | $2.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 371 Bergen Blvd Fairview, NJ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $3,000 | $3.33 | 3d | 5 | 1.10mi |
| 6710 Park Ave #205 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 6710 Park Ave #203 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,500 | $3.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 60 68th St Unit 406 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,600 | $3.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 60 68th St Unit 505 Guttenberg, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $2,550 | $3.81 | 13d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6517 Durham Ave North Bergen, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $2,400 | $3.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 220 64th St Unit 10 West New York, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,650 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $630 · $7,560/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-07status Under Contract
-
2026-03-25status Active 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
NO INVESTORS. Owner must occupy. Well maintained and Spacious 2BR/1BTH - 700Sq. Ft in Elevator building. Located in North Bergen Heights this exceptional residence is directly across from the expansive James J. Braddock County Park. Well managed and secure building. Super Intendant onsite. Low maintenance $630 includes Real Estate Taxes, Heat, Hot Water, Water/Sewer, Maintenance & Repairs. Laundry Room, Bike Room, Storage Room. Board requires 3:1 Income to Debt ratio, 20% down and FICO score 700 or higher. Close to shopping, dining, and easy NYC transportation.
-
2026-03-25status Active
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
NO INVESTORS. Owner must occupy. Well maintained and Spacious 2BR/1BTH - 700Sq. Ft in Elevator building. Located in North Bergen Heights this exceptional residence is directly across from the expansive James J. Braddock County Park. Well managed and secure building. Super Intendant onsite. Low maintenance $630 includes Real Estate Taxes, Heat, Hot Water, Water/Sewer, Maintenance & Repairs. Laundry Room, Bike Room, Storage Room. Board requires 3:1 Income to Debt ratio, 20% down and FICO score 700 or higher. Close to shopping, dining, and easy NYC transportation.
-
2026-01-26$219,000 Active 573-char remark
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
NO INVESTORS. Owner must occupy. Well maintained and Spacious 2BR/1BTH - 700Sq. Ft in Elevator building. Located in North Bergen Heights this exceptional residence is directly across from the expansive James J. Braddock County Park. Well managed and secure building. Super Intendant onsite. Low maintenance $630 includes Real Estate Taxes, Heat, Hot Water, Water/Sewer, Maintenance & Repairs. Laundry Room, Bike Room, Storage Room. Board requires 3:1 Income to Debt ratio, 20% down and FICO score 700 or higher. Close to shopping, dining, and easy NYC transportation.
-
2026-01-26$219,000 Active
Show marketing remark (573 chars)
NO INVESTORS. Owner must occupy. Well maintained and Spacious 2BR/1BTH - 700Sq. Ft in Elevator building. Located in North Bergen Heights this exceptional residence is directly across from the expansive James J. Braddock County Park. Well managed and secure building. Super Intendant onsite. Low maintenance $630 includes Real Estate Taxes, Heat, Hot Water, Water/Sewer, Maintenance & Repairs. Laundry Room, Bike Room, Storage Room. Board requires 3:1 Income to Debt ratio, 20% down and FICO score 700 or higher. Close to shopping, dining, and easy NYC transportation.
-
2025-12-30status Under Contract
-
2025-12-28historical Active Under Contract
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2025-12-28historical
-
2025-10-23$235,000 Active
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2025-09-16$235,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,267
- − Property taxes
- −$3,285
- − Insurance
- −$1,095
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,520
- − Management
- −$2,520
- − HOA
- −$7,560
- − Depreciation
- −$6,371
- Taxable loss
- −$4,115
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$988
- After-tax cash flow
- $154/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bergen School District
- NCES district ID
- 3411460
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,275
- Composite
- 21.95/100
- National rank
- #8221
- State rank
- #393 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Fairview
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #174
- US rank
- #4548
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hudson County · 718,323 people
- City population
- 15,099
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,250
- Household income
- $78,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3908.0
Population outlook (Hudson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 771,834 people
- By 2030
- 818,028 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 907,866 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 994,480 · +28.8%
- By 2075
- 1,163,301 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,254,703 · +62.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 26% White 20% Asian 7% Black 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 11% Dominican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 50% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 27% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 4% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Hudson
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.1) · D 62.6% · R 34.6% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.7pp toward R · 2008: 46.7pp · 2024: 28.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.1 2020: D+46.2 2016: D+51.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+46.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -192.36%
- Current HPI
- 419.0283
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.99%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
-6.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — HCMLS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — NJMLS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — HCMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $219,000 NJMLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $219,000 HCMLS
- 2025-12-30 Pending — HCMLS
- 2025-12-28 Contingent — NJMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listing Removed — HCMLS
- 2025-10-23 Listed $235,000 NJMLS
- 2025-09-16 Listed $235,000 HCMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…