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2124 Home Park Ave
D+ Composite 45.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$140,500

2124 Home Park Ave · Decatur, IL 62526
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 222 Days on market
Built 1965 9,148 sqft lot $130/sqft · 62% above area Est $173k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Huge dining room
  • 9,148 sq ft lot

Tags

HUGE DINING ROOMFENCED YARDESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOOD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-897/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (9.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (1.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $971 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Recommended offer $123,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.28%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$172,593
List price
$140,500
Delta
-18.59%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2125 Clearmont Ave 0.24mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,083 (+0%) 6mo $65,000 $60 76
2451 W Olive St 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,087 (+1%) 1mo $143,500 $132 72
2227 Yorkshire Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,004 (-7%) 9mo $131,000 $130 66
1696 W Evandale Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-4%) 10mo $139,000 $134 63
1680 Home Park Ave 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,239 (+15%) 3mo $97,500 $79 55
2315 W Hunt St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-7%) 11mo $93,000 $92 54
2192 Waggoner St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (+6%) 8mo $92,500 $81 49
2318 W Hunt St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,200 (+11%) 9mo $88,000 $73 48
2094 N Dennis Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 (-1) 950 (-12%) 5mo $52,000 $55 46
1583 N Dennis Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,016 (-6%) 11mo $12,100 $12 46
1675 W Center St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,025 (-5%) 8mo $96,000 $94 44
1645 W Center St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 925 (-14%) 6mo $55,000 $59 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-22,712
Equity at exit
$25,918
10-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-21,204
Equity at exit
$20,858

Cash invested: $39,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,386 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$737
Tax from tax record
$375 /mo · $4,496/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$-75

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,481
Max offer price $127,299
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,125
Closing costs
$4,215
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 785 $985 $1.25 44d 1 0.93mi
644 W Division St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1365 $1,200 $0.88 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,500 Active 222 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,500 Active 221 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,500 Active 220 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,500 Active 219 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,500 Active 218 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,500 Active 216 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,500 Active 215 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $140,500 Active 213 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,500 Active 212 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,500 Active 211 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,500 Active 210 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,500 Active 207 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,500 Active 205 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,500 Active 204 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,500 Active 203 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,500 Active 202 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    price $140,500 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  18. 2026-04-10
    price $141,500 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  19. 2026-03-10
    price $142,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  20. 2026-02-16
    price $144,999 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  21. 2026-01-27
    price $145,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  22. 2026-01-12
    price $147,000 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  23. 2025-11-17
    price $148,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  24. 2025-11-08
    listed $154,000 Active 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!

  25. 2022-11-14
    soldstatus $139,000
  26. 2022-11-11
    soldstatus $138,900 755-char remark
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!

  27. 2022-11-11
    soldstatus $138,900 Closed
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!

  28. 2022-09-01
    listed $138,900 755-char remark
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!

  29. 2022-09-01
    listed $138,900
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,496 · $375/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,496 · $375/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,637
− Mortgage interest
−$7,870
− Property taxes
−$4,496
− Insurance
−$702
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,331
− Management
−$1,331
− Depreciation
−$4,087
Taxable loss
−$3,181
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$763
After-tax cash flow
$-133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1.2% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $140,500 CIBR
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $141,500 CIBR
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $142,900 CIBR
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $144,999 CIBR
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $145,000 CIBR
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $147,000 CIBR
  • 2025-11-17 Price Changed $148,900 CIBR
  • 2025-11-08 Listed $154,000 CIBR
  • 2022-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
  • 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $138,900 CIBR
  • 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $138,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-09-01 Listed $138,900 CIBR
  • 2022-09-01 Listed $138,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,496 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…