2124 Home Park Ave · Decatur, IL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +10.4/30.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$140,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Huge dining room
- 9,148 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-75 ($-897/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (9.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $971 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 222 days — a 12% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 222 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.28%
- DSCR
- 0.90
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $172,593
- List price
- $140,500
- Delta
- -18.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2125 Clearmont Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,083 (+0%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $60 | 76 |
| 2451 W Olive St | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,087 (+1%) | 1mo | $143,500 | $132 | 72 |
| 2227 Yorkshire Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,004 (-7%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $130 | 66 |
| 1696 W Evandale Dr | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-4%) | 10mo | $139,000 | $134 | 63 |
| 1680 Home Park Ave | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,239 (+15%) | 3mo | $97,500 | $79 | 55 |
| 2315 W Hunt St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-7%) | 11mo | $93,000 | $92 | 54 |
| 2192 Waggoner St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,140 (+6%) | 8mo | $92,500 | $81 | 49 |
| 2318 W Hunt St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 9mo | $88,000 | $73 | 48 |
| 2094 N Dennis Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 950 (-12%) | 5mo | $52,000 | $55 | 46 |
| 1583 N Dennis Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,016 (-6%) | 11mo | $12,100 | $12 | 46 |
| 1675 W Center St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,025 (-5%) | 8mo | $96,000 | $94 | 44 |
| 1645 W Center St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 925 (-14%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $59 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-22,712
- Equity at exit
- $25,918
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-21,204
- Equity at exit
- $20,858
Cash invested: $39,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62526
- Home prices YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,386 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$737
- Tax from tax record
- −$375 /mo · $4,496/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $-75
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,125
- Closing costs
- $4,215
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 785 | $985 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 644 W Division St Decatur, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,500 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,500 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $140,500 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,500 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,500 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,500 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,500 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $140,500 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,500 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,500 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,500 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,500 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,500 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,500 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,500 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $140,500 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2026-04-10price $141,500 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2026-03-10price $142,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2026-02-16price $144,999 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2026-01-27price $145,000 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2026-01-12price $147,000 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2025-11-17price $148,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2025-11-08$154,000 Active 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
Home sweet home! What better spot to say "we're home" than Home Park!? This 4 bed 2 bath home features a huge dining room, 4 big bedrooms, space for an office and a fenced yard! Near the west side of Decatur in an established neighborhood. Get in to see this one before it's too late!
-
2022-11-14soldstatus $139,000
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2022-11-11soldstatus $138,900 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!
-
2022-11-11soldstatus $138,900 Closed
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!
-
2022-09-01$138,900 755-char remark
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!
-
2022-09-01$138,900
Show marketing remark (755 chars)
Beautiful and well maintained 4 bed/2 bath home, located in Home Park. Spacious 1.5 car attached garage w. tons of storage. This seller has completely re-insulated this home top to bottom, tons of updates throughout- such as new flooring, new paint. Sellers just built a brand new deck and sliding door on the back of the home and comes with fenced in backyard. Roof is 6 years of age, furnace and AC unit, less than 6 years of age. The upstairs bathroom just had a completely new remodel. New shower tub and tile, vanity, flooring, fixtures, and plumbing. Each bedroom has new carpet ready for the next family. Even more space with a bonus room, extra storage, and laundry room. Bonus room could be an office room, etc. Call an agent for a showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,496 · $375/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,496 · $375/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,637
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,870
- − Property taxes
- −$4,496
- − Insurance
- −$702
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,331
- − Management
- −$1,331
- − Depreciation
- −$4,087
- Taxable loss
- −$3,181
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$763
- After-tax cash flow
- $-133/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Decatur SD 61
- NCES district ID
- 1711850
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,864
- Composite
- 3.99/100
- National rank
- #10059
- State rank
- #605 of 620 in IL
Livability — Decatur
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1076
- US rank
- #20533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Decatur, IL
- County
- Macon County · 78,333 people
- City population
- 78,333
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,483
- Household income
- $49,062
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1041.0
Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,568 people
- By 2030
- 94,973 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 85,250 · -14.4%
- By 2050
- 75,920 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 55,962 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 36,468 · -63.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Macon
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.21%
- Current HPI
- 182.871
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Decatur, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+1.2% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $140,500 CIBR
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $141,500 CIBR
- 2026-03-10 Price Changed $142,900 CIBR
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $144,999 CIBR
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $145,000 CIBR
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $147,000 CIBR
- 2025-11-17 Price Changed $148,900 CIBR
- 2025-11-08 Listed $154,000 CIBR
- 2022-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $138,900 CIBR
- 2022-11-11 Sold (MLS) $138,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-01 Listed $138,900 CIBR
- 2022-09-01 Listed $138,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $4,496 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…