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5153 Haberman Dr
B- Composite 69.7
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

5153 Haberman Dr · Spring Lake, FL 34601
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1985 0.69 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Opportunity awaits in beautiful Brooksville, Florida! Situated on approximately 0.70 acres shaded by mature trees, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-wide mobile home offers a spacious floor plan and endless potential. The property is in need of a complete renovation, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own private retreat. With plenty of room to expand and enjoy the peaceful natural setting, this property could become a great investment or a future personal residence. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities while still offering a country feel. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Call today for more details and to schedule your showing!

Key facts

  • Complete renovation
  • Spacious floor plan
  • 0.70 acres

Tags

0.70 ACRESMATURE TREESCOMPLETE RENOVATIONSPACIOUS FLOOR PLANPEACEFUL NATURAL SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Unfurnished; One septic system; Zoning: R1A; Property type: Manufactured Home
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured single-wide home; Residential property; Fixer condition; One story; Faces east; Entry level: One
  • Construction: Metal siding; Membrane roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built area about 784 square feet
  • Exterior: Lot: Lot is cleared and level; Approximately 0.69 acres (100 x 297); Mature landscaping with oak trees; Chip-and-seal public-maintained road
  • Exterior features: Covered, screened front porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Other
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Storage rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 1.8% in Spring Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#819 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
  • Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 737 students, 73% FRL); D. S. Parrott Middle School (math 40% / reading 40%, grade F, #368 of 571 statewide, top 65%, 835 students, 67% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hernando average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 498 active listings in the ZIP; 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $23k; list at $80k implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.56%
Cash-on-cash
22.36%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,936
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5126 Terrace Way 0.09mi 2/1.0 784 (0%) 13mo $159,900 $204 85
5043 Goodwin Rd 0.20mi 2/2.0 784 (0%) 2mo $148,000 $189 85
24464 Casey Rd 0.27mi 2/2.0 864 (+10%) 13mo $180,000 $208 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.19% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.0%
Equity multiple
1.46×
Total profit
$10,255
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$30,118
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34601

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
498
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,226 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,193/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$257
Net cashflow
$417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $698
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $462 -5% $440 +0% $417 +5% $394 +10% $372
Rent -10% $320 -5% $369 +0% $417 +5% $465 +10% $514
Rate -1.0pp $457 -0.5pp $437 base $417 +0.5pp $396 +1.0pp $375

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    status $79,900 Pending 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in beautiful Brooksville, Florida! Situated on approximately 0.70 acres shaded by mature trees, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-wide mobile home offers a spacious floor plan and endless potential. The property is in need of a complete renovation, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own private retreat. With plenty of room to expand and enjoy the peaceful natural setting, this property could become a great investment or a future personal residence. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities while still offering a country feel. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Call today for more details and to schedule your showing!

  8. 2026-06-13
    listed $79,900 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (755 chars)

    Opportunity awaits in beautiful Brooksville, Florida! Situated on approximately 0.70 acres shaded by mature trees, this 2-bedroom, 1-bath single-wide mobile home offers a spacious floor plan and endless potential. The property is in need of a complete renovation, making it an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their own private retreat. With plenty of room to expand and enjoy the peaceful natural setting, this property could become a great investment or a future personal residence. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and local amenities while still offering a country feel. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special. Call today for more details and to schedule your showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,193 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,193 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,714
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,193
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,177
− Management
−$1,177
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,967
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$952
After-tax cash flow
$4,051/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hernando
NCES district ID
1200810
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$41,985
Composite
42.03/100
National rank
#3329
State rank
#38 of 73 in FL

Livability — Spring Lake

Score
59/100
State rank
#819
US rank
#19649

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Hernando County · 169,677 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,115
Household income
$60,440
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
664.0

Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,218 people
By 2030
194,367 · +2.7%
By 2040
203,398 · +7.5%
By 2050
209,589 · +10.8%
By 2075
218,452 · +15.4%
By 2100
205,923 · +8.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Hernando

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
2008→2024 swing
-33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -132.68%
Current HPI
313.4695
Rent YoY
▲ 0.19%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+234.3% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-13 Listed $79,900 HCAR
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2019-11-11 Listing Removed HCAR
  • 2017-05-01 Sold (MLS) $23,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2017-05-01 Sold (MLS) $23,000 HCAR
  • 2014-09-09 Listed $26,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2014-09-09 Listed $26,000 HCAR
  • 2013-08-13 Listed $37,900 HCAR
  • 2012-08-13 Listed $37,900 HCAR
  • 2012-01-22 Listed $39,000 HCAR
  • 2008-02-20 Listed $74,900 HCAR
  • 2007-01-26 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-08-07 Listed $82,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1999-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 1995-01-13 Sold (Public Records) $23,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,193 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…