1396 S Naco Hwy · Bisbee, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A rare chance to secure a highway-side property, minutes from Old Bisbee, one of Arizona's most unique and character-rich communities. Prime highway/frontage opportunity in Bisbee. This property offers excellent views of the mountains and plenty of potential. Ample parking space, and space for future expansion, making it ideal for anyone seeking a high exposure location in Bisbee. The existing interior space hosts multiple layout possibilities, ready for renovation and customization to suit your vision.
Key facts
- Ample parking space
- 1 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 271 x 80 x 271 (lot area 43,560 sq ft); Zoning: Bisbee - Call
- HOA & community: Paved street
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Covered parking (1 space); Circular driveway; Shared driveway
- Security: Wrought iron security door
- Utilities: Water from a water company; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Adobe and stucco construction; Built-up and shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio; Block, wrought iron and wire fencing; Paved street access; Subdivided lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Gas oven; Microwave
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Mini-split heating with natural gas; Ceiling fans; Evaporative cooling; Ductless cooling
- Interior features: Tankless water heater; Wrought iron security door; Accessibility modifications including roll-in shower and other bath modifications
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (in kitchen); Laundry sink
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $131k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $131k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.1% in Bisbee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#151 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Bisbee Unified District (4169) (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 249 in AZ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Greenway Primary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #687 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 212 students, 76% FRL); Lowell School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #174 of 218 statewide, top 81%, 116 students, 66% FRL); Bisbee High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 352 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $905 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $69k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.23%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,000
- List price
- $130,900
- Delta
- -47.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1374 S Naco Hwy | 0.02mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,000 (+7%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $108 | 68 |
| 17 Nighthawk Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,101 (+13%) | 5mo | $245,000 | $117 | 62 |
| 123 San Jose Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (-10%) | 13mo | $236,000 | $140 | 52 |
| 530 Camino De Nevada -- | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,660 (-11%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $205 | 50 |
| 103 Dorothy Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.8 (-1) | 1,802 (-3%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 517 San Jose Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,652 (-11%) | 9mo | $233,000 | $141 | 50 |
| 1415 S Calle DE Jardin -- | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,618 (-13%) | 12mo | $310,000 | $192 | 49 |
| 198 Hereford Rd | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,141 (+15%) | 12mo | $360,000 | $168 | 47 |
| 101 E Turquoise St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 | 2,100 (+13%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $110 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $598
- Equity at exit
- $19,518
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $28,505
- Equity at exit
- $11,318
Cash invested: $36,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85603
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$686
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $828/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $343
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $417 | -5% $380 | +0% $343 | +5% $306 | +10% $269 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $228 | -5% $285 | +0% $343 | +5% $401 | +10% $458 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $409 | -0.5pp $376 | base $343 | +0.5pp $309 | +1.0pp $275 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,725
- Closing costs
- $3,927
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $130,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $190,000 508-char remark
-
2026-05-05$200,000 Active 508-char remark
-
2025-07-23historical
-
2025-05-29$229,000 Active
-
2018-12-07soldstatus $100,000
-
2006-03-27soldstatus $375,000
-
1989-11-15soldstatus $52,601
-
1989-11-15soldstatus $52,601
-
1987-05-27soldstatus $30,152
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $828 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $864 · $72/mo
- Expected delta
- +$36/yr (+$3/mo · 4.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,514
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,332
- − Property taxes
- −$828
- − Insurance
- −$654
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,401
- − Management
- −$1,401
- − Depreciation
- −$3,808
- Taxable income
- $2,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$501
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bisbee Unified District (4169)
- NCES district ID
- 0401180
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,316
- Composite
- 11.73/100
- National rank
- #9688
- State rank
- #218 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Bisbee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #151
- US rank
- #17700
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bisbee, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,798
Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,402 people
- By 2030
- 106,197 · -6.4%
- By 2040
- 92,166 · -18.7%
- By 2050
- 79,805 · -29.6%
- By 2075
- 56,831 · -49.9%
- By 2100
- 35,103 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 23% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cochise
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.64%
- Current HPI
- 168.8806
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+334.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $130,900 MLSSAZ
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $175,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 MLSSAZ
- 2026-05-05 Listed $200,000 MLSSAZ
- 2025-07-23 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $229,000 ARMLS
- 2018-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
- 1989-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,601 Public Records
- 1989-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,601 Public Records
- 1987-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,152 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $828 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…