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1396 S Naco Hwy
B- Composite 65.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,900

1396 S Naco Hwy · Bisbee, AZ 85603
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1957 1.00 ac lot $70/sqft · 47% below area Est $247k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

A rare chance to secure a highway-side property, minutes from Old Bisbee, one of Arizona's most unique and character-rich communities. Prime highway/frontage opportunity in Bisbee. This property offers excellent views of the mountains and plenty of potential. Ample parking space, and space for future expansion, making it ideal for anyone seeking a high exposure location in Bisbee. The existing interior space hosts multiple layout possibilities, ready for renovation and customization to suit your vision.

Key facts

  • Ample parking space
  • 1 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

AMPLE PARKING SPACESPACE FOR FUTURE EXPANSIONMULTIPLE LAYOUT POSSIBILITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 80 x 271 x 80 x 271 (lot area 43,560 sq ft); Zoning: Bisbee - Call
  • HOA & community: Paved street

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Covered parking (1 space); Circular driveway; Shared driveway
  • Security: Wrought iron security door
  • Utilities: Water from a water company; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces east
  • Construction: Adobe and stucco construction; Built-up and shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed patio; Block, wrought iron and wire fencing; Paved street access; Subdivided lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Gas oven; Microwave
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Mini-split heating with natural gas; Ceiling fans; Evaporative cooling; Ductless cooling
  • Interior features: Tankless water heater; Wrought iron security door; Accessibility modifications including roll-in shower and other bath modifications
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (in kitchen); Laundry sink

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $131k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $343 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $131k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 2.1% in Bisbee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#151 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bisbee Unified District (4169) (town): math 10% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #218 of 249 in AZ (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Greenway Primary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #687 of 1,109 statewide, top 65%, 212 students, 76% FRL); Lowell School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #174 of 218 statewide, top 81%, 116 students, 66% FRL); Bisbee High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #281 of 381 statewide, top 75%, 352 students, 53% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $905 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $69k (35%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $100k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,973 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.44%
Cash-on-cash
11.23%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,000
List price
$130,900
Delta
-47.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1374 S Naco Hwy 0.02mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,000 (+7%) 10mo $215,000 $108 68
17 Nighthawk Ave 0.07mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,101 (+13%) 5mo $245,000 $117 62
123 San Jose Dr 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,684 (-10%) 13mo $236,000 $140 52
530 Camino De Nevada -- 0.51mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,660 (-11%) 1mo $340,000 $205 50
103 Dorothy Dr 0.54mi 3/1.8 (-1) 1,802 (-3%) 16mo $245,000 $136 50
517 San Jose Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,652 (-11%) 9mo $233,000 $141 50
1415 S Calle DE Jardin -- 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,618 (-13%) 12mo $310,000 $192 49
198 Hereford Rd 0.34mi 4/2.0 2,141 (+15%) 12mo $360,000 $168 47
101 E Turquoise St 0.64mi 4/1.5 2,100 (+13%) 4mo $230,000 $110 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.4%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$598
Equity at exit
$19,518
10-year hold
IRR
10.1%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$28,505
Equity at exit
$11,318

Cash invested: $36,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85603

Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,460 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$686
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $828/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$343

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $130,900
Occupancy floor 72%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $417 -5% $380 +0% $343 +5% $306 +10% $269
Rent -10% $228 -5% $285 +0% $343 +5% $401 +10% $458
Rate -1.0pp $409 -0.5pp $376 base $343 +0.5pp $309 +1.0pp $275

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,725
Closing costs
$3,927
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,900 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,900 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,900 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    price $130,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 41 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
  19. 2026-05-15
    price $190,000 508-char remark
  20. 2026-05-05
    listed $200,000 Active 508-char remark
  21. 2025-07-23
    historical
  22. 2025-05-29
    listed $229,000 Active
  23. 2018-12-07
    soldstatus $100,000
  24. 2006-03-27
    soldstatus $375,000
  25. 1989-11-15
    soldstatus $52,601
  26. 1989-11-15
    soldstatus $52,601
  27. 1987-05-27
    soldstatus $30,152

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$828 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$864 · $72/mo
Expected delta
+$36/yr (+$3/mo · 4.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,514
− Mortgage interest
−$7,332
− Property taxes
−$828
− Insurance
−$654
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,401
− Management
−$1,401
− Depreciation
−$3,808
Taxable income
$2,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$501
After-tax cash flow
$3,615/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bisbee Unified District (4169)
NCES district ID
0401180
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$33,316
Composite
11.73/100
National rank
#9688
State rank
#218 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Bisbee

Score
61/100
State rank
#151
US rank
#17700

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bisbee, AZ
Population (ZIP)
6,798

Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
113,402 people
By 2030
106,197 · -6.4%
By 2040
92,166 · -18.7%
By 2050
79,805 · -29.6%
By 2075
56,831 · -49.9%
By 2100
35,103 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 23% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Iranian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cochise

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -180.64%
Current HPI
168.8806
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+334.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Price Changed $130,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-06-01 Price Changed $175,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $200,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-07-23 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $229,000 ARMLS
  • 2018-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2006-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $375,000 Public Records
  • 1989-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,601 Public Records
  • 1989-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $52,601 Public Records
  • 1987-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $30,152 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $828 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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