11-Plex
17019 Olive St · Hesperia, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 24 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$675,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 11 units. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.
Key facts
- Own garage space
- 0.85 acre lot
- 4 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 11 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($148k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $675k).
- Recommended offer: $614k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 3.7% in Hesperia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,009 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
- Hesperia Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #353 of 517 in CA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $20,754/mo this rent would consume 358% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2768% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($614k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $165k; list at $675k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 78.51%
- DSCR
- 4.49
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $592,388
- List price
- $675,000
- Delta
- 13.95%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.57×
- Total profit
- $675,000
- Equity at exit
- $100,645
- IRR
- 81.9%
- Equity multiple
- 9.41×
- Total profit
- $1,588,810
- Equity at exit
- $58,362
Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92345
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 479
- Price-to-rent
- 29.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $20,754 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,540
- Tax from tax record
- −$209 /mo · $2,506/yr
- Insurance
- −$281
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,358
- Net cashflow
- $12,366
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $12,748 | -5% $12,557 | +0% $12,366 | +5% $12,175 | +10% $11,984 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10,726 | -5% $11,546 | +0% $12,366 | +5% $13,186 | +10% $14,005 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $12,706 | -0.5pp $12,537 | base $12,366 | +0.5pp $12,191 | +1.0pp $12,013 |
11-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11× units | 3 | — | $20,757 |
| #1 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #2 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #3 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #4 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #5 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #6 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #7 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #8 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #9 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #10 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| #11 | 3 | — | $1,887 |
| Total (11 units) | $20,754 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $168,750
- Closing costs
- $20,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $675,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $675,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $699,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $699,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $699,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $699,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $675,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $675,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $675,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $725,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $725,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $725,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $725,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $725,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $739,000 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.
-
2026-02-23$750,000 Active 215-char remark
Show marketing remark (215 chars)
Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.
-
2025-10-18historical
-
2025-10-11price $729,000
-
2025-09-26price $749,000
-
2025-09-24price $759,000
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2025-08-11price $788,888
-
2025-08-11status Active
-
2025-08-11price $749,888
-
2025-07-14historical
-
2025-06-30status Active
-
2025-06-30price $799,000
-
2025-06-25historical
-
2025-06-03price $750,000
-
2025-05-09price $775,000
-
2025-04-29price $799,000
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2025-04-18$825,000 Active
-
2024-12-06historical
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2024-12-04price $725,000
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2024-11-21$749,000 Active
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2024-05-31historical
-
2024-04-30price $879,000
-
2024-04-16price $880,000
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2024-04-03$899,888 Active
-
2011-04-28soldstatus $165,000 Closed
-
2011-04-28soldstatus $165,000
-
2011-03-18status Backup Offers Accepted
-
2010-11-15price $177,500 Active
-
2010-11-15status Active
-
2010-06-05status Backup Offers Accepted
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2010-01-22price $175,000
-
2009-08-06$250,000 Active
-
2005-03-25soldstatus $410,000
-
2005-03-23soldstatus $410,000
-
1989-05-17soldstatus $160,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,506 · $209/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,130 · $428/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,624/yr (+$219/mo · 104.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $249,048
- − Mortgage interest
- −$37,810
- − Property taxes
- −$2,506
- − Insurance
- −$3,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$19,924
- − Management
- −$19,924
- − Depreciation
- −$19,636
- Taxable income
- $145,872
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$35,009
- After-tax cash flow
- $113,380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hesperia Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600014
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,376
- Composite
- 25.66/100
- National rank
- #7397
- State rank
- #353 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hesperia
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #1009
- US rank
- #24896
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hesperia, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 110,055
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 88,706
- Household income
- $69,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2768.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Hispanic (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 61% White 30% Two or more races 19% Black 4% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 54%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 34%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -375.87%
- Current HPI
- 433.2103
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.85%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+361.9% since first listed35 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $739,000 CRMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $750,000 CRMLS
- 2025-10-18 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-10-11 Price Changed $729,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $749,000 CRMLS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $759,000 CRMLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $788,888 CRMLS
- 2025-08-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-08-11 Price Changed $749,888 CRMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-30 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2025-06-03 Price Changed $750,000 CRMLS
- 2025-05-09 Price Changed $775,000 CRMLS
- 2025-04-29 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
- 2025-04-18 Listed $825,000 CRMLS
- 2024-12-06 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-12-04 Price Changed $725,000 CRMLS
- 2024-11-21 Listed $749,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-04-30 Price Changed $879,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-16 Price Changed $880,000 CRMLS
- 2024-04-03 Listed $899,888 CRMLS
- 2011-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
- 2011-04-28 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CRMLS
- 2011-03-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2010-11-15 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2010-11-15 Price Changed $177,500 CRMLS
- 2010-06-05 Pending — CRMLS
- 2010-01-22 Price Changed $175,000 CRMLS
- 2009-08-06 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
- 2005-03-25 Sold (MLS) $410,000 CRMLS
- 2005-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $410,000 Public Records
- 1989-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,506 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…