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17019 Olive St 11-Plex
C+ Composite 62.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +1.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$675,000

17019 Olive St · Hesperia, CA 92345
33 bd · 4.4 ba · 3,264 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1966 0.85 ac lot $207/sqft · 14% above area Est $592k · 14% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 11 units. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.

Key facts

  • Own garage space
  • 0.85 acre lot
  • 4 garage spots

Tags

OWN GARAGE SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 11 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $675k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($148k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($21k rent vs $675k).
  • Recommended offer: $614k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 3.7% in Hesperia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 52/100 on livability (#1,009 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime D-.
  • Hesperia Unified (suburban): math 20% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #353 of 517 in CA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 479 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $20,754/mo this rent would consume 358% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2768% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($614k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $75k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $165k; list at $675k implies a 309% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $614,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.07%
Cap rate
28.28%
Cash-on-cash
78.51%
DSCR
4.49
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$592,388
List price
$675,000
Delta
13.95%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
13 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
78.4%
Equity multiple
4.57×
Total profit
$675,000
Equity at exit
$100,645
10-year hold
IRR
81.9%
Equity multiple
9.41×
Total profit
$1,588,810
Equity at exit
$58,362

Cash invested: $189,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92345

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
479
Price-to-rent
29.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$20,754 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,540
Tax from tax record
$209 /mo · $2,506/yr
Insurance
$281
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,358
Net cashflow
$12,366

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,101
Max offer price $675,000
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $12,748 -5% $12,557 +0% $12,366 +5% $12,175 +10% $11,984
Rent -10% $10,726 -5% $11,546 +0% $12,366 +5% $13,186 +10% $14,005
Rate -1.0pp $12,706 -0.5pp $12,537 base $12,366 +0.5pp $12,191 +1.0pp $12,013

11-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (11 units) $20,754

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$168,750
Closing costs
$20,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $675,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricedays on market $675,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $699,900 Active 113 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $699,900 Active 112 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $699,900 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $699,900 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $699,900 Active 106 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $675,000 Active 106 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $675,000 Active 105 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $675,000 Active 104 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $725,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $725,000 Active 100 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $725,000 Active 99 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $725,000 Active 98 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $725,000 Active 97 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $739,000 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.

  17. 2026-02-23
    listed $750,000 Active 215-char remark
    Show marketing remark (215 chars)

    Great area in city of San Bernardino 4 units property (each unit offers 2 beds and 1 bath). Very convenient to any stores, market and restaurants. Each unit has separate individual laundry room and own garage space.

  18. 2025-10-18
    historical
  19. 2025-10-11
    price $729,000
  20. 2025-09-26
    price $749,000
  21. 2025-09-24
    price $759,000
  22. 2025-08-11
    price $788,888
  23. 2025-08-11
    status Active
  24. 2025-08-11
    price $749,888
  25. 2025-07-14
    historical
  26. 2025-06-30
    status Active
  27. 2025-06-30
    price $799,000
  28. 2025-06-25
    historical
  29. 2025-06-03
    price $750,000
  30. 2025-05-09
    price $775,000
  31. 2025-04-29
    price $799,000
  32. 2025-04-18
    listed $825,000 Active
  33. 2024-12-06
    historical
  34. 2024-12-04
    price $725,000
  35. 2024-11-21
    listed $749,000 Active
  36. 2024-05-31
    historical
  37. 2024-04-30
    price $879,000
  38. 2024-04-16
    price $880,000
  39. 2024-04-03
    listed $899,888 Active
  40. 2011-04-28
    soldstatus $165,000 Closed
  41. 2011-04-28
    soldstatus $165,000
  42. 2011-03-18
    status Backup Offers Accepted
  43. 2010-11-15
    price $177,500 Active
  44. 2010-11-15
    status Active
  45. 2010-06-05
    status Backup Offers Accepted
  46. 2010-01-22
    price $175,000
  47. 2009-08-06
    listed $250,000 Active
  48. 2005-03-25
    soldstatus $410,000
  49. 2005-03-23
    soldstatus $410,000
  50. 1989-05-17
    soldstatus $160,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,506 · $209/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,130 · $428/mo
Expected delta
+$2,624/yr (+$219/mo · 104.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 24 unhealthy d/yr today · 29 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$249,048
− Mortgage interest
−$37,810
− Property taxes
−$2,506
− Insurance
−$3,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$19,924
− Management
−$19,924
− Depreciation
−$19,636
Taxable income
$145,872
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$35,009
After-tax cash flow
$113,380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hesperia Unified
NCES district ID
0600014
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$49,376
Composite
25.66/100
National rank
#7397
State rank
#353 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hesperia

Score
52/100
State rank
#1009
US rank
#24896

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hesperia, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
110,055
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
88,706
Household income
$69,485
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
2768.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (61%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% White 30% Two or more races 19% Black 4% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
17% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 34%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -375.87%
Current HPI
433.2103
Rent YoY
▲ 2.85%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+361.9% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $739,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Listed $750,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-10-18 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-10-11 Price Changed $729,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $749,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $759,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $788,888 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-08-11 Price Changed $749,888 CRMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-25 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-06-03 Price Changed $750,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Price Changed $775,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-29 Price Changed $799,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-18 Listed $825,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-12-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Price Changed $725,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-11-21 Listed $749,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2024-04-30 Price Changed $879,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-16 Price Changed $880,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-04-03 Listed $899,888 CRMLS
  • 2011-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2011-04-28 Sold (MLS) $165,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-03-18 Pending CRMLS
  • 2010-11-15 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2010-11-15 Price Changed $177,500 CRMLS
  • 2010-06-05 Pending CRMLS
  • 2010-01-22 Price Changed $175,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-08-06 Listed $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-03-25 Sold (MLS) $410,000 CRMLS
  • 2005-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $410,000 Public Records
  • 1989-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,506 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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