3300 15th St W #383 · Rosamond, CA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 14 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located at 3300 15th St W, Space 383 in Rosamond. This move-in ready home has been completely updated with modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room, perfect for relaxing or entertaining guests. The brand-new modern kitchen features stylish cabinetry, updated countertops, and contemporary fixtures, creating a clean and inviting space for cooking and gathering. The home offers three comfortable bedrooms, including a private primary suite with its own full bathroom. Both bathrooms have been tastefully renovated to match the home's fresh, modern feel. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a side entrance with parking for up to three vehicles. The massive wrap-around deck provides the perfect setting for outdoor entertaining, morning coffee, or simply enjoying the peaceful surroundings. A private gated entrance adds an extra layer of privacy and security. This fully renovated home combines comfort, style, and functionality -- a must-see opportunity in Rosamond! OWNER FINANCE AVAILABLE!!!!!!
Key facts
- Wrap-around deck
- Modern kitchen
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.3% in Rosamond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,178 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Southern Kern Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #387 of 517 in CA (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 458 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.58%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $108,373
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- 10.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3300 W 15th St Spc 340 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (+3%) | 6mo | $120,000 | $89 | 82 |
| 1335 Richfield Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (-0%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $247 | 82 |
| 3300 15th W #389 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 1mo | $102,000 | $71 | 74 |
| 3300 W 15th St W #360 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $90 | 71 |
| 3300 W 15th St #194 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 7mo | $117,000 | $102 | 68 |
| 3300 15th St W #263 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 8mo | $53,650 | $47 | 67 |
| 3300 W 15th St Spc 151 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $91 | 67 |
| 3300 15th St W #367 | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+7%) | 13mo | $129,900 | $93 | 66 |
| 3300 15th St W #59 | 0.15mi | 3/3.0 | 1,420 (+9%) | 15mo | $120,000 | $85 | 61 |
| 3300 15th St W #102 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+14%) | 15mo | $122,100 | $82 | 56 |
| — | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,325 (+2%) | 13mo | $125,000 | $94 | 46 |
| 3303 Sierra Hwy Hwy #60 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+11%) | 8mo | $110,000 | $76 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $26,471
- Equity at exit
- $49,942
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.33×
- Total profit
- $78,211
- Equity at exit
- $74,011
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93560
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 458
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,239 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$700
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$470
- Net cashflow
- $240
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3400 15th St W Unit 118 Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,600 | $1.52 | 10d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3400 15th St W Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,498 | $1.50 | 1d | 4 | 0.29mi |
| 3400 15th St W Unit 21 Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 10d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1225 Barrington Ave Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,200 | $2.05 | 1d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2821 Desert St Unit C Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,795 | $1.84 | 1d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3172 Shelley St Rosamond, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,300 | $1.93 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1838 Center St Unit A Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1475 | $2,000 | $1.36 | 10d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1838 Center St Unit A Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 1d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2910 B St Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1775 | $1,542 | $0.87 | 19d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2300 Panorama Ln Rosamond, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 2416 W Valley Vis Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1343 | $2,250 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2436 Horizon Dr Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $4,500 | $3.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2051 Candice Ave Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $2,395 | $1.78 | 15d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2516 Starbrite Ave Rosamond, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $2,900 | $1.88 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2608 Starbrite Ave Rosamond, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1542 | $2,795 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $700 · $8,400/yr
- Likely covers
- security
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-03-16$119,900 Active 1124-char remark
Show marketing remark (1124 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located at 3300 15th St W, Space 383 in Rosamond. This move-in ready home has been completely updated with modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room, perfect for relaxing or entertaining guests. The brand-new modern kitchen features stylish cabinetry, updated countertops, and contemporary fixtures, creating a clean and inviting space for cooking and gathering. The home offers three comfortable bedrooms, including a private primary suite with its own full bathroom. Both bathrooms have been tastefully renovated to match the home's fresh, modern feel. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a side entrance with parking for up to three vehicles. The massive wrap-around deck provides the perfect setting for outdoor entertaining, morning coffee, or simply enjoying the peaceful surroundings. A private gated entrance adds an extra layer of privacy and security. This fully renovated home combines comfort, style, and functionality -- a must-see opportunity in Rosamond! OWNER FINANCE AVAILABLE!!!!!!
-
2026-02-18$119,900 Active 1124-char remark
Show marketing remark (1124 chars)
Welcome to this beautifully renovated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home located at 3300 15th St W, Space 383 in Rosamond. This move-in ready home has been completely updated with modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Step inside to a bright and spacious living room, perfect for relaxing or entertaining guests. The brand-new modern kitchen features stylish cabinetry, updated countertops, and contemporary fixtures, creating a clean and inviting space for cooking and gathering. The home offers three comfortable bedrooms, including a private primary suite with its own full bathroom. Both bathrooms have been tastefully renovated to match the home's fresh, modern feel. Outside, enjoy the convenience of a side entrance with parking for up to three vehicles. The massive wrap-around deck provides the perfect setting for outdoor entertaining, morning coffee, or simply enjoying the peaceful surroundings. A private gated entrance adds an extra layer of privacy and security. This fully renovated home combines comfort, style, and functionality -- a must-see opportunity in Rosamond! OWNER FINANCE AVAILABLE!!!!!!
-
2024-07-25historical
-
2024-02-19$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 18 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,149
- − Management
- −$2,149
- − HOA
- −$8,400
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,566
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$376
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
This beautifully renovated mobile home is move-in ready with modern finishes and thoughtful upgrades throughout. It offers a bright and spacious living room, a modern kitchen, and tastefully renovated bathrooms. The exterior is well-maintained, and the property is located in a desirable neighborhood with a community park nearby.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can make the home more appealing to buyers and renters.
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can lower utility costs and attract eco-conscious buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Modern technology can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can make the home more appealing to buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — Energy-efficient systems can lower utility costs and attract eco-conscious buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Kern Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0637620
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,523
- Composite
- 22.5/100
- National rank
- #8093
- State rank
- #387 of 517 in CA
Livability — Rosamond
- Score
- 49/100
- State rank
- #1178
- US rank
- #25952
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rosamond, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 22,119
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,119
- Household income
- $77,431
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 45% White 32% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- Current HPI
- 403.7206
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-14.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-16 Listed $119,900 TheMLS
- 2026-02-18 Listed $119,900 AVMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2024-02-19 Listed $140,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…