15034 Aruba Dr #113 · Corpus Christi, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 33 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Cash flow +0.0/30.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$182,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PRICE ADJUSTMENT! Welcome to 15034 Aruba Dr #113, a beautifully decorated, like new, first-floor corner unit in the desirable Aruba Duex Condominiums at Aruba Bay Resort. This fully furnished one-bedroom condo overlooks the pool and offers a perfect blend of comfort, convenience, and coastal charm. The open-concept living space features a full kitchen with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a stacked washer and dryer. The spacious bathroom offers modern finishes and ample storage. Thoughtfully furnished and turn-key, this unit is ideal for personal use or as a short-term rental investment.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Full kitchen
- Overlooks the pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $182k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-16k/yr) — negative.
- Rent doesn't cover operating costs at any purchase price — skip.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (31.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $124k (31.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 0.2% vs local median 3.9% in Corpus Christi — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Zoned schools: Flour Bluff El (math 40% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,462 of 4,322 statewide, top 34%, 759 students, 53% FRL); Flour Bluff J H (math 45% / reading 53%, grade C-, #378 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 919 students, 46% FRL); Flour Bluff H S (math 33% / reading 62%, grade D, #583 of 1,632 statewide, top 36%, 1,958 students, 40% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 1122 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 45% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→33/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 0.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -21.82%
- DSCR
- 0.03
- GRM
- 12.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,951
- List price
- $182,000
- Delta
- -18.37%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15034 Aruba Dr #109 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 495 (0%) | 0mo | $199,000 | $402 | 100 |
| 15034 Aruba Dr #212 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 495 (0%) | 1mo | $184,900 | $374 | 99 |
| 15034 Aruba Dr #202 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 495 (0%) | 16mo | $175,000 | $354 | 87 |
| 15034 Aruba Dr #110 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 495 (0%) | 18mo | $219,900 | $444 | 85 |
| 15034 Aruba Drive #112 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 495 (0%) | 21mo | $234,900 | $475 | 83 |
| 15209 Leeward Dr #6 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 600 (+21%) | 3mo | $189,000 | $315 | 64 |
| 14721 Whitecap Blvd #112 | 0.47mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (+5%) | 19mo | $219,900 | $423 | 54 |
| 14721 Whitecap Blvd #280 | 0.48mi | 1/1.0 | 565 (+14%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $425 | 52 |
| 14721 Whitecap Blvd #331 | 0.49mi | 1/1.0 | 565 (+14%) | 2mo | $229,900 | $407 | 52 |
| 14721 Whitecap Blvd #215 | 0.46mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (+5%) | 23mo | $224,000 | $431 | 51 |
| 15209 Leeward Dr Unit B3 | 0.18mi | 1/1.0 | 610 (+23%) | 21mo | $199,000 | $326 | 49 |
| 14721 Whitecap Blvd #235 | 0.49mi | 1/1.0 | 520 (+5%) | 28mo | $224,900 | $433 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.33×
- Total profit
- $-118,642
- Equity at exit
- $27,137
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -3.43×
- Total profit
- $-225,610
- Equity at exit
- $15,736
Cash invested: $50,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78418
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 1122
- Price-to-rent
- 12.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$954
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$76
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$563
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $-1,353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,250 | -5% $-1,302 | +0% $-1,353 | +5% $-1,405 | +10% $-1,456 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,451 | -5% $-1,402 | +0% $-1,353 | +5% $-1,304 | +10% $-1,255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,262 | -0.5pp $-1,307 | base $-1,353 | +0.5pp $-1,400 | +1.0pp $-1,448 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,500
- Closing costs
- $5,460
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association with monthly feeHOA fee covers common areas, structural maintenance, trash, and waterCommunity amenities include cabana, clubhouse, and poolShort-term rentals allowed
Exterior
- Parking
- Concrete parking surface
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewer
- Home design
- Single-story home
- Construction
- HardiPlank sidingShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt with durable exterior materials
- Exterior features
- Covered patioPatioWood fencingPrivate pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- Free-standing rangeMicrowave
- Flooring
- CarpetLaminate
- Bathrooms
- 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning
- Interior features
- Home officeOpen floor plan
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupDryer hookup
HOA detail $563/mo · $6,756/yr condo
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $182,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $182,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $182,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $182,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $182,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $182,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $182,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $182,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $182,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $182,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $182,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $182,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $182,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $182,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $182,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $182,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $182,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $182,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $182,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $182,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-10-18pricedays on market $182,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $189,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $189,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-10-15days on market $189,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $189,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $189,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $189,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $189,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $189,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $189,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $189,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $189,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $189,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $189,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $189,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-10-03days on market $189,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $189,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $189,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $189,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $189,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $189,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $189,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $189,000 Active 18 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $189,000 Active 17 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $189,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $189,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $189,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $189,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,793 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,793 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥108°F today · 33 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,927
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,195
- − Property taxes
- −$3,793
- − Insurance
- −$6,028
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,194
- − Management
- −$1,194
- − HOA
- −$6,756
- − Depreciation
- −$5,295
- Taxable loss
- −$19,528
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,687
- After-tax cash flow
- $-11,552/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This beautifully decorated, first-floor corner unit in the Aruba Duex Condominiums at Aruba Bay Resort is in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Reorganizing furniture for better flow — Improves functionality and visual appeal ↑
- Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Enhances functionality and visual appeal ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Corpus Christi
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #2404
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Corpus Christi, TX
- County
- Nueces County · 418,037 people
- City population
- 296,836
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,790
- Household income
- $92,445
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 418,037 people
- By 2030
- 447,123 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 505,911 · +21.0%
- By 2050
- 567,522 · +35.8%
- By 2075
- 729,686 · +74.6%
- By 2100
- 847,087 · +102.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 14% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Nueces
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -168.81%
- Current HPI
- 193.902
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.57%
- Metro
- Corpus Christi, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
-12.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-09-02 Listed $189,000 CBMLS
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $189,000 CBMLS
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $194,900 CBMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $199,900 CBMLS
- 2026-01-12 Listed $215,000 CBMLS
Property tax history
+53.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,793 · -16.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…