7790 Strawberry Hill Ln · Landen, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.1/15.0
- Schools +6.7/10.0
- Cash flow +5.8/30.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.2/10.0
$425,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great ranch home on a cul-de-sac. Open-concept layout with hardwood floors throughout. Updated kitchen with granite countertops. Don't miss this!
Key facts
- Updated kitchen
- Cul-de-sac
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA: Towne Properties; Annual association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, landscaping, and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heating; 220 volt service
- Home design: Ranch single-family home; One level; Poured foundation; Residential zoning
- Construction: Brick and wood siding exterior; Shingle roof; Poured foundation; One-story (ranch)
- Exterior features: Deck; Double-hung vinyl windows; One fireplace (wood)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with pantry and counter bar; Planning desk; Wood floors and marble/granite/slate surfaces; Oven/range, microwave, dishwasher, refrigerator, garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total; Primary bedroom with walkout (14 x 21); Bedroom 2 (11 x 10); Bedroom 3 (11 x 9)
- Flooring: Wood floors in kitchen and living room; Tile in foyer
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on main level; Primary bathroom with shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with heat pump; Central air conditioning; Electric water heater
- Interior features: Walkout from primary bedroom and living room; Fireplace (wood); Tile foyer; Partial, unfinished basement; Sump pump with backup; Water softener; 220 volt
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (9 x 6)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $425k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-856 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $274k (35.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $261k (38.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $261k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in OH, #1,779 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- Kings Local (suburban): math 76% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #61 of 656 in OH (top 9%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Kings Mills Elementary School (math 81% / reading 73%, grade A, #221 of 1,584 statewide, top 16%, 532 students, 9% FRL); Kings Junior High School (math 73% / reading 77%, grade A, #83 of 654 statewide, top 13%, 714 students, 15% FRL); Kings High School (math 67% / reading 81%, grade B+, #83 of 781 statewide, top 11%, 1,435 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 13% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,224 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (474 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $45k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $42k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Warren County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$73k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($412k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.61% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.63%
- DSCR
- 0.62
- GRM
- 13.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $420,946
- List price
- $425,000
- Delta
- 0.96%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7838 Carraway Ct | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 | 1,560 (-9%) | 2mo | $420,000 | $269 | 79 |
| 3451 Cutter Ln | 0.46mi | 3/3.5 | 1,748 (+2%) | 12mo | $490,000 | $280 | 61 |
| 8409 Winding Trail Pl | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,634 (-4%) | 1mo | $348,000 | $213 | 60 |
| 8225 Winding Trail Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,588 (-7%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $220 | 58 |
| 8326 Winding Trail Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.5 | 1,620 (-5%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $216 | 57 |
| 3353 Cutter Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.5 | 1,787 (+5%) | 17mo | $350,000 | $196 | 55 |
| 8187 Winding Trail Pl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-5%) | 6mo | $330,000 | $204 | 54 |
| 8434 Winding Trail Pl | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 1,788 (+5%) | 16mo | $351,400 | $197 | 46 |
| 8214 Winding Trail Pl | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,852 (+9%) | 7mo | $340,000 | $184 | 45 |
| 3700 Wood Trail Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.5 | 1,568 (-8%) | 10mo | $335,000 | $214 | 44 |
| 8215 Winding Trail Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-11%) | 13mo | $330,000 | $217 | 40 |
| 8185 Winding Trail Ct | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,546 (-9%) | 18mo | $321,000 | $208 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 7.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $189,127
- Equity at exit
- $382,874
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $629,242
- Equity at exit
- $825,682
Cash invested: $119,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45039
- Home prices YoY
- 7.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 13.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,612 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,229
- Tax from tax record
- −$416 /mo · $4,992/yr
- Insurance
- −$177
- HOA
- −$97
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$548
- Net cashflow
- $-856
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-615 | -5% $-735 | +0% $-856 | +5% $-976 | +10% $-1,096 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,062 | -5% $-959 | +0% $-856 | +5% $-753 | +10% $-649 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-642 | -0.5pp $-748 | base $-856 | +0.5pp $-966 | +1.0pp $-1,078 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $106,250
- Closing costs
- $12,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3337 Crescent Falls Way Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2198 | $2,750 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 3432 Hidden Falls Ct Maineville, OH | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2240 | $2,800 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7401 Landen Falls Dr Maineville, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1125 | $2,496 | $2.22 | 3d | 15 | 0.45mi |
| 8390 Old Orchard Ln Maineville, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,245 | $2.30 | 3d | 20 | 0.85mi |
| 8632 High Trail Ct Mason, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1860 | $2,450 | $1.32 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 8224 Rollinghitch Ct Maineville, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1261 | $1,900 | $1.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8507 Island Pines Pl Apt 8 Maineville, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $97 · $1,164/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $425,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $425,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $425,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $425,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $425,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $425,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricestatusdays on market $425,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $435,000 Contingency Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $435,000 Contingency Pending 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $435,000 Contingency Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-06-03statusdays on market $435,000 Contingency Pending 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $435,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $435,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $435,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $450,000 146-char remark
-
2026-04-22$475,000 Active 146-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,992 · $416/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,811 · $484/mo
- Expected delta
- +$819/yr (+$68/mo · 16.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,807
- − Property taxes
- −$4,992
- − Insurance
- −$2,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,507
- − Management
- −$2,507
- − HOA
- −$1,164
- − Depreciation
- −$12,364
- Taxable loss
- −$18,127
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,350
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,918/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kings Local
- NCES district ID
- 3905043
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,803
- Composite
- 67.16/100
- National rank
- #390
- State rank
- #61 of 656 in OH
Livability — Landen
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #121
- US rank
- #1779
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Landen, OH
- County
- Warren County · 196,906 people
- City population
- 7,053
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,335
- Household income
- $108,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,603 people
- By 2030
- 259,345 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 277,666 · +11.7%
- By 2050
- 289,599 · +16.5%
- By 2075
- 311,681 · +25.4%
- By 2100
- 302,738 · +21.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.5) · D 33.8% · R 65.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: -36.1pp · 2024: -31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.5 2020: R+30.8 2016: R+37.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+36.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 38.63%
- Current HPI
- 568.09
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.42%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-10.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $425,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-06-03 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $435,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $450,000 Cincy MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $475,000 Cincy MLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,992 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…