387 Cornwall Hill Rd · Putnam Lake, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +11.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
POOL IS OPEN!! The search is OVER! FULLY AVAILABLE! Welcome Home to your Income Producing 4 Bedroom Turnkey Dream Home with Legal Handi Cap Accessible Accessory 1 Bed/ 1 Full & one 1/2 Bath apartment-Owner Occupied required per town to rent. This is truly the house that keeps on giving. Two EV charging ports and 50year roof and Solar Panels-which are leased-installed Dec. 2022. Upstairs your sunny living room with mountain views awaits. Doors to dual back decks. Top newly painted and lower newly constructed with 25-year composite decking for your 27' round swimming pool. Awesome summer fun. Spacious eat-in kitchen, office/den, full bath and Bedrooms 1 and 2 . Set apart is your Primary Bedroom with full en suite bathroom and built in enclosed shelving, dual walk-in closets, with additional pull-down attic storage. Downstairs the magic continues, with your very own bar & wine cellar area, 8-9' ceilings give it a very open feeling-Must see to appreciate- with 1/2 bath and walk out to your lovely, paved patio. Washer/dryer area and then to your handicap accessible apartment. With 8 1/2' ceilings, open concept living room & full kitchen , 1 Bedroom w/ en suite full bathroom & walk in closets. Back yard boasts enchanting pergola sitting area, fire pit & unique property lay out which abuts to County Owned Property for added privacy. Newly paved driveway sets you far from the road, huge front yard . Newly pointed front walk way for ease of access and Handicapped accessible apartment entrance brings you right in. 1250 gal Septic recently pumped , water tested & passed ready for you. 1 mile to Patterson Metro North , minutes to shops, I84, skiing , parks, walking/bike trails, town park with lake, too much to list! Come home to this hidden gem nestled in beautiful Putnam County.
Key facts
- Swimming pool
- Dual back decks
- Mountain views
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $618 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $799k).
- Recommended offer: $703k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Putnam Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#654 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Carmel Central School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #258 of 590 in NY (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Putnam County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($703k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $51k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.31%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $865,440
- List price
- $799,000
- Delta
- -7.68%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462 Cornwall Hill Rd | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 3,135 (+6%) | 9mo | $672,000 | $214 | 63 |
| 49 Vista Ln | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 3,200 (+8%) | 20mo | $699,999 | $219 | 47 |
| 3 Bonnie Ct | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,804 (-6%) | 22mo | $710,000 | $253 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-89,886
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-26,655
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12563
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,179 /mo · $14,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,680
- Net cashflow
- $618
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90 Cushman Rd Patterson, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2286 | $8,000 | $3.50 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 1824-char remark
Show marketing remark (1824 chars)
POOL IS OPEN!! The search is OVER! FULLY AVAILABLE! Welcome Home to your Income Producing 4 Bedroom Turnkey Dream Home with Legal Handi Cap Accessible Accessory 1 Bed/ 1 Full & one 1/2 Bath apartment-Owner Occupied required per town to rent. This is truly the house that keeps on giving. Two EV charging ports and 50year roof and Solar Panels-which are leased-installed Dec. 2022. Upstairs your sunny living room with mountain views awaits. Doors to dual back decks. Top newly painted and lower newly constructed with 25-year composite decking for your 27' round swimming pool. Awesome summer fun. Spacious eat-in kitchen, office/den, full bath and Bedrooms 1 and 2 . Set apart is your Primary Bedroom with full en suite bathroom and built in enclosed shelving, dual walk-in closets, with additional pull-down attic storage. Downstairs the magic continues, with your very own bar & wine cellar area, 8-9' ceilings give it a very open feeling-Must see to appreciate- with 1/2 bath and walk out to your lovely, paved patio. Washer/dryer area and then to your handicap accessible apartment. With 8 1/2' ceilings, open concept living room & full kitchen , 1 Bedroom w/ en suite full bathroom & walk in closets. Back yard boasts enchanting pergola sitting area, fire pit & unique property lay out which abuts to County Owned Property for added privacy. Newly paved driveway sets you far from the road, huge front yard . Newly pointed front walk way for ease of access and Handicapped accessible apartment entrance brings you right in. 1250 gal Septic recently pumped , water tested & passed ready for you. 1 mile to Patterson Metro North , minutes to shops, I84, skiing , parks, walking/bike trails, town park with lake, too much to list! Come home to this hidden gem nestled in beautiful Putnam County.
-
2026-05-07status Active 1824-char remark
Show marketing remark (1824 chars)
POOL IS OPEN!! The search is OVER! FULLY AVAILABLE! Welcome Home to your Income Producing 4 Bedroom Turnkey Dream Home with Legal Handi Cap Accessible Accessory 1 Bed/ 1 Full & one 1/2 Bath apartment-Owner Occupied required per town to rent. This is truly the house that keeps on giving. Two EV charging ports and 50year roof and Solar Panels-which are leased-installed Dec. 2022. Upstairs your sunny living room with mountain views awaits. Doors to dual back decks. Top newly painted and lower newly constructed with 25-year composite decking for your 27' round swimming pool. Awesome summer fun. Spacious eat-in kitchen, office/den, full bath and Bedrooms 1 and 2 . Set apart is your Primary Bedroom with full en suite bathroom and built in enclosed shelving, dual walk-in closets, with additional pull-down attic storage. Downstairs the magic continues, with your very own bar & wine cellar area, 8-9' ceilings give it a very open feeling-Must see to appreciate- with 1/2 bath and walk out to your lovely, paved patio. Washer/dryer area and then to your handicap accessible apartment. With 8 1/2' ceilings, open concept living room & full kitchen , 1 Bedroom w/ en suite full bathroom & walk in closets. Back yard boasts enchanting pergola sitting area, fire pit & unique property lay out which abuts to County Owned Property for added privacy. Newly paved driveway sets you far from the road, huge front yard . Newly pointed front walk way for ease of access and Handicapped accessible apartment entrance brings you right in. 1250 gal Septic recently pumped , water tested & passed ready for you. 1 mile to Patterson Metro North , minutes to shops, I84, skiing , parks, walking/bike trails, town park with lake, too much to list! Come home to this hidden gem nestled in beautiful Putnam County.
-
2026-02-20price $799,000 1824-char remark
Show marketing remark (1824 chars)
POOL IS OPEN!! The search is OVER! FULLY AVAILABLE! Welcome Home to your Income Producing 4 Bedroom Turnkey Dream Home with Legal Handi Cap Accessible Accessory 1 Bed/ 1 Full & one 1/2 Bath apartment-Owner Occupied required per town to rent. This is truly the house that keeps on giving. Two EV charging ports and 50year roof and Solar Panels-which are leased-installed Dec. 2022. Upstairs your sunny living room with mountain views awaits. Doors to dual back decks. Top newly painted and lower newly constructed with 25-year composite decking for your 27' round swimming pool. Awesome summer fun. Spacious eat-in kitchen, office/den, full bath and Bedrooms 1 and 2 . Set apart is your Primary Bedroom with full en suite bathroom and built in enclosed shelving, dual walk-in closets, with additional pull-down attic storage. Downstairs the magic continues, with your very own bar & wine cellar area, 8-9' ceilings give it a very open feeling-Must see to appreciate- with 1/2 bath and walk out to your lovely, paved patio. Washer/dryer area and then to your handicap accessible apartment. With 8 1/2' ceilings, open concept living room & full kitchen , 1 Bedroom w/ en suite full bathroom & walk in closets. Back yard boasts enchanting pergola sitting area, fire pit & unique property lay out which abuts to County Owned Property for added privacy. Newly paved driveway sets you far from the road, huge front yard . Newly pointed front walk way for ease of access and Handicapped accessible apartment entrance brings you right in. 1250 gal Septic recently pumped , water tested & passed ready for you. 1 mile to Patterson Metro North , minutes to shops, I84, skiing , parks, walking/bike trails, town park with lake, too much to list! Come home to this hidden gem nestled in beautiful Putnam County.
-
2025-11-26$849,999 Active 1824-char remark
Show marketing remark (1824 chars)
POOL IS OPEN!! The search is OVER! FULLY AVAILABLE! Welcome Home to your Income Producing 4 Bedroom Turnkey Dream Home with Legal Handi Cap Accessible Accessory 1 Bed/ 1 Full & one 1/2 Bath apartment-Owner Occupied required per town to rent. This is truly the house that keeps on giving. Two EV charging ports and 50year roof and Solar Panels-which are leased-installed Dec. 2022. Upstairs your sunny living room with mountain views awaits. Doors to dual back decks. Top newly painted and lower newly constructed with 25-year composite decking for your 27' round swimming pool. Awesome summer fun. Spacious eat-in kitchen, office/den, full bath and Bedrooms 1 and 2 . Set apart is your Primary Bedroom with full en suite bathroom and built in enclosed shelving, dual walk-in closets, with additional pull-down attic storage. Downstairs the magic continues, with your very own bar & wine cellar area, 8-9' ceilings give it a very open feeling-Must see to appreciate- with 1/2 bath and walk out to your lovely, paved patio. Washer/dryer area and then to your handicap accessible apartment. With 8 1/2' ceilings, open concept living room & full kitchen , 1 Bedroom w/ en suite full bathroom & walk in closets. Back yard boasts enchanting pergola sitting area, fire pit & unique property lay out which abuts to County Owned Property for added privacy. Newly paved driveway sets you far from the road, huge front yard . Newly pointed front walk way for ease of access and Handicapped accessible apartment entrance brings you right in. 1250 gal Septic recently pumped , water tested & passed ready for you. 1 mile to Patterson Metro North , minutes to shops, I84, skiing , parks, walking/bike trails, town park with lake, too much to list! Come home to this hidden gem nestled in beautiful Putnam County.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $14,150 · $1,179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $14,150 · $1,179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $96,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$14,150
- − Insurance
- −$3,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,680
- − Management
- −$7,680
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$5,505
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,321
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,736/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carmel Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3606570
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▲ 11.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,665
- Composite
- 50.05/100
- National rank
- #1914
- State rank
- #258 of 590 in NY
Livability — Putnam Lake
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #654
- US rank
- #12186
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,456
Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,705 people
- By 2030
- 99,650 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 98,641 · -1.1%
- By 2050
- 96,348 · -3.4%
- By 2075
- 94,412 · -5.3%
- By 2100
- 88,728 · -11.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, South Korea, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Putnam
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 43.2% · R 56.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+7.9 2016: R+17.8 2012: R+11.2 2008: R+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -36.07%
- Current HPI
- 247.1582
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-6.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Listed $849,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.2%/yrLatest (2025): $14,150 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…