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12 Edgewood Ln
D Composite 41.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$149,500

12 Edgewood Ln · Belleville, IL 62223
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1983 1.50 ac lot Est $125k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!

Key facts

  • Hvac
  • Private en suite
  • New patio door

Tags

PRIVATE EN SUITEUPDATED BATHROOMSNEW PATIO DOORTANKLESS WATER HEATERHVACNEW ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 1.0–1.99 acres
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Homeowner tax exemption

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 100 Amp electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story
  • Construction: Frame construction; Built 41–50 years ago; Not rebuilt; Built after 1978
  • Exterior features: Sloped, wooded lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level with full bath
  • Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living room and dining room; Laminate in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Separate dining room; Galley kitchen; Water heater (gas)
  • Laundry & utility: 100 Amp electric service

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-173/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $134k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $129k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $133,652 (10.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
6.18%
Cash-on-cash
-0.41%
DSCR
0.98
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,800
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12 Edgewood Ln 0.00mi 3/2.0 960 (0%) 18mo $125,000 $130 85
70 Briar Hill Rd 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+8%) 3mo $27,500 $26 60
118 Hazel Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 948 (-1%) 15mo $125,000 $132 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
2.80×
Total profit
$75,448
Equity at exit
$129,259
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$221,767
Equity at exit
$273,176

Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$784
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,688/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$281
Net cashflow
$-14

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,355
Max offer price $146,949
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,375
Closing costs
$4,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,500 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,500 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,500 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,500 Active 108 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,500 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,500 Active 106 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,500 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,500 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,500 Active 100 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,500 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-05-24
    status Active
  12. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  13. 2026-05-24
    status Active
  14. 2026-05-23
    status Pending
  15. 2026-03-07
    status Active
  16. 2026-01-08
    status Pending
  17. 2026-01-06
    historical
  18. 2026-01-05
    historical
  19. 2025-12-31
    status Pending
  20. 2025-12-23
    status Active
  21. 2025-12-23
    historical
  22. 2025-12-16
    listed $149,500 Active
  23. 2025-12-16
    listed Active
  24. 2025-01-08
    soldstatus $128,750
  25. 2024-12-20
    soldstatus Closed 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!

  26. 2024-11-08
    status Pending 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!

  27. 2024-10-25
    listed $125,000 Active 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!

  28. 2024-10-23
    historical $125,000 794-char remark
    Show marketing remark (794 chars)

    Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,688 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,041 · $253/mo
Expected delta
+$353/yr (+$29/mo · 13.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,038
− Mortgage interest
−$8,374
− Property taxes
−$2,688
− Insurance
−$748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,283
− Management
−$1,283
− Depreciation
−$4,349
Taxable loss
−$2,687
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$645
After-tax cash flow
$472/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+19.6% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-24 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-24 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-23 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-08 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-05 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-31 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-23 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $149,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $128,750 Public Records
  • 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-08 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-25 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-23 Coming Soon $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,688 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…