12 Edgewood Ln · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Appreciation +9.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$149,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!
Key facts
- Hvac
- Private en suite
- New patio door
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 1.0–1.99 acres
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership; Homeowner tax exemption
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; 100 Amp electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Single-story
- Construction: Frame construction; Built 41–50 years ago; Not rebuilt; Built after 1978
- Exterior features: Sloped, wooded lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Galley-style kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level); Master bedroom on main level with full bath
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms, living room and dining room; Laminate in kitchen
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Separate dining room; Galley kitchen; Water heater (gas)
- Laundry & utility: 100 Amp electric service
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-14 ($-173/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $147k (1.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (10.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $15k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $129k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.41%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $124,800
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Edgewood Ln | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 18mo | $125,000 | $130 | 85 |
| 70 Briar Hill Rd | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (+8%) | 3mo | $27,500 | $26 | 60 |
| 118 Hazel Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 948 (-1%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $132 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.80×
- Total profit
- $75,448
- Equity at exit
- $129,259
- IRR
- 20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.30×
- Total profit
- $221,767
- Equity at exit
- $273,176
Cash invested: $41,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62223
- Home prices YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,337 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$784
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,688/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $-14
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,375
- Closing costs
- $4,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,500 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,500 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,500 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,500 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,500 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,500 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,500 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,500 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-05-24status Active
-
2026-05-24status Pending
-
2026-05-24status Active
-
2026-05-23status Pending
-
2026-03-07status Active
-
2026-01-08status Pending
-
2026-01-06historical
-
2026-01-05historical
-
2025-12-31status Pending
-
2025-12-23status Active
-
2025-12-23historical
-
2025-12-16$149,500 Active
-
2025-12-16Active
-
2025-01-08soldstatus $128,750
-
2024-12-20soldstatus Closed 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!
-
2024-11-08status Pending 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!
-
2024-10-25$125,000 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!
-
2024-10-23historical $125,000 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
Welcome to this recently updated 3-bedroom, 2- full bathroom home that combines modern comfort with serene, wooded surroundings. The spacious primary bedroom features a private en-suite bath with brand new flooring, offering a peaceful retreat. Enjoy fresh paint throughout, adding a crisp, clean feel to every room. Both bathrooms have been tastefully updated, boasting new vanities, flooring, and toilets. Stylish lighting upgrades create a warm and inviting atmosphere. Step outside and imagine the possibilities on the 1.5-acre wooded lot, complete with a slab ready for your future garage or shed. Recent updates include a tank-less water heater and the HVAC in 2022. Don’t miss out on this move-in ready home with all the updates you've been looking for at a very affordable price!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,688 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,041 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,038
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,374
- − Property taxes
- −$2,688
- − Insurance
- −$748
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,283
- − Management
- −$1,283
- − Depreciation
- −$4,349
- Taxable loss
- −$2,687
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$645
- After-tax cash flow
- $472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,269
- Household income
- $73,700
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 656.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.50%
- Current HPI
- 259.15
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+19.6% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-31 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-23 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-16 Listed $149,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $128,750 Public Records
- 2024-12-20 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-08 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-25 Listed $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-23 Coming Soon $125,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,688 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…