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195 Sonora Dr
C+ Composite 61.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$136,500

195 Sonora Dr · Advance, NC 27006
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 845 sqft · Manufactured · 12 Days on market
Built 1994 0.33 ac lot Est $113k · 21% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this updated 3 bedroom home with modern touches located in Advance. Welcome to theis beautifully renovated 3 bedroom, 2 bath single wide home nestled on .33 acres in the heart of Advance. Step inside to find modern touches throughout, including fresh paint, stylish fixtures, and lvp flooring throughout that flows seamlessly through the main living areas. Primary suite on the main level. Cash buyers only. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Tin roof
  • Lvp flooring
  • New back porch

Tags

LVP FLOORINGSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESNEW FRONT COVERED PORCHTIN ROOFNEW 2 CAR DETACHED CARPORTNEW BACK PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Laquinta

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Carport; Driveway; Gravel parking; 2 garage/carport spaces
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One level; Built in 1994; Existing structure
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Accessible approach with ramp; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher; Range; Cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling; Electric heating
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level; Deadbolt(s); Solid surface counters; Vaulted ceiling(s); Insulated doors and storm doors; Storm windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer connection; Laundry on main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $136k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $136k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.3% in Advance — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#215 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Davie County Schools (rural): math 51% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #57 of 178 in NC (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Shady Grove Elementary (math 66% / reading 73%, grade A-, #95 of 1,410 statewide, top 7%, 514 students, 23% FRL); William Ellis Middle (math 48% / reading 59%, grade C+, #87 of 475 statewide, top 19%, 452 students, 31% FRL); Davie County High (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B-, #184 of 535 statewide, top 37%, 1,770 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 250 units permitted in Davie County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $944 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Davie County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $118k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.90%
Cash-on-cash
16.44%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$113,230
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
195 Sonora Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 821 (-3%) 2mo $118,500 $144 93
205 Casa Bella Dr 0.07mi 3/2.0 971 (+15%) 6mo $130,000 $134 67
166 La Quinta Dr 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 952 (+13%) 7mo $58,000 $61 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$11,259
Equity at exit
$20,353
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
2.38×
Total profit
$52,862
Equity at exit
$11,802

Cash invested: $38,220 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27006

Home prices YoY
-32.4%
Active inventory
142
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,857 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$716
Tax est. 1.5%
$171 /mo · $2,048/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$390
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $136,500
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $618 -5% $571 +0% $524 +5% $476 +10% $429
Rent -10% $377 -5% $450 +0% $524 +5% $597 +10% $670
Rate -1.0pp $592 -0.5pp $558 base $524 +0.5pp $488 +1.0pp $452

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,125
Closing costs
$4,095
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $136,500 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $136,500 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $136,500 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $136,500 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $136,500 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $136,500 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    remarks 648-char remark
  8. 2026-06-10
    listed $136,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,283
− Mortgage interest
−$7,646
− Property taxes
−$2,048
− Insurance
−$682
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,783
− Management
−$1,783
− Depreciation
−$3,971
Taxable income
$4,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,049
After-tax cash flow
$5,235/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Davie County Schools
NCES district ID
3701170
Math proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$51,331
Composite
44.16/100
National rank
#2860
State rank
#57 of 178 in NC

Livability — Advance

Score
67/100
State rank
#215
US rank
#10250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Davie County · 42,813 people
City population
16,247
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
Population (ZIP)
16,247
Household income
$96,580
Rent vs Own
12.2% rent · 87.8% own
Severe rent burden
68.0

Population outlook (Davie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,613 people
By 2030
42,691 · +0.2%
By 2040
42,137 · -1.1%
By 2050
40,445 · -5.1%
By 2075
35,939 · -15.7%
By 2100
29,103 · -31.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Davie

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.5) · D 26.2% · R 72.6% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-8.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.3pp · 2024: -46.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+43.7 2008: R+38.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.92%
Current HPI
179.445
Rent YoY
Metro
Winston-Salem, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $136,500 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-15 Sold (Public Records) $118,500 Public Records
  • 2026-04-15 Sold (MLS) $118,500 Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-11 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Contingent Triad MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $136,500 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $157 · +35.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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