46 Dora Dr · Greenville, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Lake Wappapello: famous for its excellent fishing (bass, crappie, and catfish) and extensive hiking and equestrian trails. Discover your weekend retreat, hunt camp, or full-time sanctuary in this rugged and well-equipped 3 BR 1 BA cabin-style home nestled on a sprawling 1-acre lot in the Ozark-getaway’s Craft Subdivision on Lake Wappapello. Designed for outdoor living, the home features two spacious decks perfect for morning coffee or evening BBQs after a day on the water or in the woods. Below, you’ll find a separate, insulated basement / cellar with a traditional dirt floor, providing excellent natural cooling, workshop and ample storage for your lake and hunting gear. Enjoy
Key facts
- 0.92 acre lot
- Built 1975
- Listed 72 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Craft Property Owners Association; Annual association fee; Association amenities include boat dock and boat slip
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (220 volts available)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half levels; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction; Batts insulation; Radiant barrier
- Exterior features: Adjoins government land; Adjoins wooded area; Gently rolling lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level; 2 bedrooms on the upper level; Loft upstairs that functions as an upstairs den / living area
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level); Full bath in main level that includes the laundry area
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas and electric); Attic fan; Ceiling fans; Central air
- Interior features: Beamed ceilings; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Vaulted ceilings; 2 fireplaces (living room and basement) with blower fan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located in bathroom (main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($759/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (15.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (15.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#363 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
- Greenville R-II (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #228 of 324 in MO (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Greenville Elem. (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #761 of 1,115 statewide, top 72%, 302 students, 64% FRL); Greenville High (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #179 of 521 statewide, top 39%, 214 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.71%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.08% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $11,278
- Equity at exit
- $39,901
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.45×
- Total profit
- $40,611
- Equity at exit
- $57,813
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63944
- Home prices YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $847 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $224/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $63
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $120 | -5% $92 | +0% $63 | +5% $35 | +10% $7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4 | -5% $30 | +0% $63 | +5% $97 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $114 | -0.5pp $89 | base $63 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $100,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03status $100,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-04-13historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-09$100,000 Active
-
2026-04-05historical $100,000
-
2026-02-04status Active
-
2025-08-04$119,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $224 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $970 · $81/mo
- Expected delta
- +$746/yr (+$62/mo · 332.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,163
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$224
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$813
- − Management
- −$813
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable loss
- −$950
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $987/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Greenville R-II
- NCES district ID
- 2913380
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▲ 8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,394
- Composite
- 29.08/100
- National rank
- #6599
- State rank
- #228 of 324 in MO
Livability — Greenville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #363
- US rank
- #15966
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,499
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,005 people
- By 2030
- 12,767 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 12,319 · -5.3%
- By 2050
- 11,828 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 10,806 · -16.9%
- By 2100
- 9,610 · -26.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 11% Slovak 3% Scottish 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.4% · R 86.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -72.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.6 2020: R+70.5 2016: R+64.4 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.08%
- Current HPI
- 109.4633
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-16.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-05 Coming Soon $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-04 Listed $119,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $224 · +9.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…