122 Rio Del Mar St Unit A · Butler Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.8/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Enjoy the proximity to fine, white sand of St. Augustine's pristine beach from this cute, updated single story condo. One of 3 units in this building Rio Del Mar has lots of green space plus its own private front & back entrances. Off street parking plus lovely outdoor sitting areas. Updates include newer tile, carpet, kitchen, bathrooms, paint, plus a new septic system, & newer Heating/cooling system. Use as a rental or keep for your own part-time use. We love our ''snow-birds''!
Key facts
- Attic storage
- Tile flooring
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA with $300 association/maintenance fee; HOA covers community maintenance, exterior maintenance, master policy, sewer, and water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking
- Utilities: County water; Septic waste
- Home design: Ground-level entry
- Construction: Concrete block, frame, stucco, and Hardie Board construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: HOA-maintained community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on ground level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Tile flooring; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-449 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (34.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (0.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.2% in Butler Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#784 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, amenities F.
- St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $229k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.42%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $274,932
- List price
- $229,000
- Delta
- -16.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -36.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-71,917
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- -87.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.92×
- Total profit
- $-123,407
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32080
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 534
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,276 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$300
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $-449
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-319 | -5% $-384 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-514 | +10% $-578 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-629 | -5% $-539 | +0% $-449 | +5% $-359 | +10% $-269 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-333 | -0.5pp $-391 | base $-449 | +0.5pp $-508 | +1.0pp $-568 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 Dondanville Rd Unit 1509619P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $3,050 | $2.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 4250 A1A S Unit 1538861P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $2,586 | $2.50 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1733 Sea Fair Dr Unit 1509620P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1119 | $3,148 | $2.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 130 Ocean Hibiscus Dr Unit 1253546P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $3,076 | $3.18 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 120 Ocean Hibiscus Dr Unit 1253536P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 904 | $2,219 | $2.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 210 Ocean Hibiscus Dr Unit 1253509P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1076 | $5,686 | $5.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 200 Sevilla St Unit B St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 200 Sevilla St Unit B St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,850 | $1.81 | 8d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 40 Andalusia Ct Unit 40 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22 Veronese Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,275 | $1.39 | 17d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 14 Santiago Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 18d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14 Santiago Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 902 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 54 Veronese Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 13 Navarra Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 16 Alcira Ct Unit 16 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,500 | $1.63 | 8d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 7 Castania Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,700 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 9 Tarragona Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 37 Tarragona Ct #37 St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 8d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 15 Cartagena Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 880 | $1,850 | $2.10 | 15d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4 Tarragona Ct Saint Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 880 A1A Beach Blvd Unit 1509621P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 871 | $4,601 | $5.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 880 Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Unit 1259091P St. Augustine, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 871 | $2,755 | $3.16 | 2d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $300 · $3,600/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $229,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $229,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $229,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $229,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $229,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $229,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$229,000 Active 860-char remark
-
2016-03-18soldstatus $125,000 Sold 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Enjoy the proximity to fine, white sand of St. Augustine's pristine beach from this cute, updated single story condo. One of 3 units in this building Rio Del Mar has lots of green space plus its own private front & back entrances. Off street parking plus lovely outdoor sitting areas. Updates include newer tile, carpet, kitchen, bathrooms, paint, plus a new septic system, & newer Heating/cooling system. Use as a rental or keep for your own part-time use. We love our ''snow-birds''!
-
2016-03-03soldstatus $125,000
-
2016-01-29status Pending 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Enjoy the proximity to fine, white sand of St. Augustine's pristine beach from this cute, updated single story condo. One of 3 units in this building Rio Del Mar has lots of green space plus its own private front & back entrances. Off street parking plus lovely outdoor sitting areas. Updates include newer tile, carpet, kitchen, bathrooms, paint, plus a new septic system, & newer Heating/cooling system. Use as a rental or keep for your own part-time use. We love our ''snow-birds''!
-
2016-01-12historical Active - Contingent 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Enjoy the proximity to fine, white sand of St. Augustine's pristine beach from this cute, updated single story condo. One of 3 units in this building Rio Del Mar has lots of green space plus its own private front & back entrances. Off street parking plus lovely outdoor sitting areas. Updates include newer tile, carpet, kitchen, bathrooms, paint, plus a new septic system, & newer Heating/cooling system. Use as a rental or keep for your own part-time use. We love our ''snow-birds''!
-
2015-11-28$130,000 Active 499-char remark
Show marketing remark (499 chars)
Enjoy the proximity to fine, white sand of St. Augustine's pristine beach from this cute, updated single story condo. One of 3 units in this building Rio Del Mar has lots of green space plus its own private front & back entrances. Off street parking plus lovely outdoor sitting areas. Updates include newer tile, carpet, kitchen, bathrooms, paint, plus a new septic system, & newer Heating/cooling system. Use as a rental or keep for your own part-time use. We love our ''snow-birds''!
-
1999-03-03soldstatus $70,000
-
1983-04-01soldstatus $42,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$2,687
- − Insurance
- −$6,264
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,185
- − Management
- −$2,185
- − HOA
- −$3,600
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable loss
- −$9,098
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,184
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Johns
- NCES district ID
- 1201740
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,842
- Composite
- 64.31/100
- National rank
- #556
- State rank
- #2 of 73 in FL
Livability — Butler Beach
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #784
- US rank
- #17810
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butler Beach, FL
- County
- Saint Johns County · 301,599 people
- City population
- 21,368
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,894
- Household income
- $92,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 417.0
Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 303,941 people
- By 2030
- 342,590 · +12.7%
- By 2040
- 417,328 · +37.3%
- By 2050
- 487,011 · +60.2%
- By 2075
- 635,395 · +109.1%
- By 2100
- 717,469 · +136.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -560.06%
- Current HPI
- 301.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.97%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+433.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Relisted — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-05-22 Contingent — St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2026-05-01 Listed $229,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
- 2016-03-18 Sold (MLS) $125,000 realMLS
- 2016-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2016-01-12 Contingent — realMLS
- 2015-11-28 Listed $130,000 realMLS
- 1999-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1983-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $42,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,687 · +8.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…