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4102 Beverly Dr
F Composite 26.85
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +6.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$169,000

4102 Beverly Dr · Beverly Hills, TX 76711
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1942 10,803 sqft lot $232/sqft · 23% above area Est $137k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3 bedroom 1 bathroom home in 76711! Currently rented out, reach out to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • 0.25 acre lot
  • Built 1942
  • Listed 51 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is vacant for sale (standard listing, possession at closing/funding); MLS status: Active
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: No homeowner association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1942; One story
  • Construction: Year built 1942
  • Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.248 acres); Subdivision: Hiland

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; One-level layout; Living area with one living area and one dining area; Interior described as Other
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $169k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-257 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (26.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (34.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (34.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#871 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alta Vista El (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #4,207 of 4,322 statewide, top 98%, 545 students, 89% FRL, charter); Cesar Chavez Middle (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,428 of 1,662 statewide, top 87%, 840 students, 94% FRL); University H S (math 39% / reading 31%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 1,678 students, 89% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,490 (34.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
4.47%
Cash-on-cash
-6.52%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
12.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,428
List price
$169,000
Delta
22.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 Spring Branch St 0.37mi 2/1.0 812 (+12%) 10mo $130,000 $160 56
3513 James Ave 0.69mi 1/1.0 (-1) 786 (+8%) 6mo $84,000 $107 44
1801 Columbia St 0.62mi 2/1.0 811 (+11%) 21mo $168,000 $207 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.57% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.1%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$8,661
Equity at exit
$81,430
10-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.99×
Total profit
$47,045
Equity at exit
$129,898

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76711

Home prices YoY
1.4%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,105 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,081/yr
Insurance
$70
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$-257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,431
Max offer price $123,556
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-162 -5% $-209 +0% $-257 +5% $-305 +10% $-353
Rent -10% $-345 -5% $-301 +0% $-257 +5% $-214 +10% $-170
Rate -1.0pp $-172 -0.5pp $-214 base $-257 +0.5pp $-301 +1.0pp $-346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
700 S Valley Mills Dr Waco, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 850 $995 $1.17 15d 2 0.54mi
4900 Bagby Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 1026 $1,525 $1.49 23d 1 0.97mi
2201 Creekview Dr Waco, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 990 $1,758 $1.78 15d 20 0.98mi
3528 W Waco Dr Apt 207 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $950 $1.90 23d 1 1.06mi
3638 W Waco Dr Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 731 $902 $1.23 15d 8 1.07mi
508 N 38th St Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 711 $795 $1.12 23d 1 1.10mi
508 N 38th St Unit 514-C Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 711 $750 $1.05 23d 1 1.10mi
701 N New Rd Unit 201 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 650 $795 $1.22 45d 1 1.29mi
701 N New Rd Unit 101 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 598 $995 $1.66 23d 1 1.29mi
2812 W Waco Dr Unit 15 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 580 $950 $1.64 23d 1 1.38mi
3001 S New Rd Waco, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 885 $1,490 $1.68 15d 15 1.47mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $169,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $169,000 Active 48 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $169,000 Active 47 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $169,000 Active 46 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $169,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $169,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $169,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $169,000 Active 40 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $169,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $169,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $169,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $169,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $169,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $169,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $169,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $169,000 Active 30 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $169,000 Active 29 DOM
  18. 2026-05-01
    listed $169,000 Active 90-char remark
  19. 2017-11-27
    soldstatus
  20. 2009-06-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,081 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,093 · $258/mo
Expected delta
+$1,011/yr (+$84/mo · 48.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,259
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,081
− Insurance
−$845
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,061
− Management
−$1,061
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable loss
−$6,172
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,481
After-tax cash flow
$-1,606/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waco ISD
NCES district ID
4844280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,208
Composite
17.57/100
National rank
#9043
State rank
#773 of 826 in TX

Livability — Beverly Hills

Score
63/100
State rank
#871
US rank
#15705

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beverly Hills, TX
County
McLennan County · 213,088 people
Metro
Waco, TX
Population (ZIP)
9,676
Household income
$53,185
Rent vs Own
48.1% rent · 51.9% own
Severe rent burden
424.0

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 61% Two or more races 43% White 23% Black 12% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 56%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, China
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 45% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.57%
Current HPI
261.7166
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
Waco, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $169,000 NTREIS
  • 2017-11-27 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2009-06-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,081 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…