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229  235 Henard Rd
D- Composite 39.91
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • Cash flow +6.1/30.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +0.4/10.0

$152,000

229 235 Henard Rd · Rogersville, TN 37857
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 644 sqft · Other public records · 430 Days on market
Built 1950 1.95 ac lot $236/sqft · 49% above area Est $274k · 45% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for investment property. 2 bedroom house and 1 bedroom mobile home that can be converted back into 2 bedroom. Also an empty lott for double wide. Three rental properties on almost 2 acres only 2 minutes from downtown Rogersville. . Let rerntal income pay for the property. The spacious empty lot can be built on or place a double wide to lease or live in and lease other 2 properties.

Key facts

  • Investment property
  • Spacious lot
  • Empty lot

Tags

INVESTMENT PROPERTYEMPTY LOTSPACIOUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $152k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-286 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (27.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (36.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (36.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 2.8% in Rogersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#168 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Hawkins County (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #93 of 139 in TN (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 151 units permitted in Hawkins County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Hawkins County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 430 days — a 12% lower offer ($134k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $96,764 (36.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 430 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.04%
Cash-on-cash
-8.06%
DSCR
0.64
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$274,150
List price
$152,000
Delta
-44.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.1%
Equity multiple
1.12×
Total profit
$5,293
Equity at exit
$73,860
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.90×
Total profit
$38,168
Equity at exit
$118,313

Cash invested: $42,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37857

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
210
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$968 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$797
Tax est. 1.5%
$190 /mo · $2,280/yr
Insurance
$63
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$-286

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,330
Max offer price $110,615
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,000
Closing costs
$4,560
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $152,000 Active 430 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $152,000 Active 429 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $152,000 Active 428 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $152,000 Active 427 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $152,000 Active 426 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $152,000 Active 424 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $152,000 Active 423 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $152,000 Active 421 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $152,000 Active 420 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $152,000 Active 419 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $152,000 Active 418 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $152,000 Active 415 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $152,000 Active 413 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $152,000 Active 412 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $152,000 Active 411 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $152,000 Active 410 DOM
  17. 2026-03-14
    price $154,900 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  18. 2026-03-14
    price $154,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  19. 2026-01-29
    listed $168,500 Active 392-char remark
    Show marketing remark (392 chars)

    Looking for investment property. 2 bedroom house and 1 bedroom mobile home that can be converted back into 2 bedroom. Also an empty lott for double wide. Three rental properties on almost 2 acres only 2 minutes from downtown Rogersville. . Let rerntal income pay for the property. The spacious empty lot can be built on or place a double wide to lease or live in and lease other 2 properties.

  20. 2026-01-16
    status Active 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  21. 2025-10-20
    price $159,500 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  22. 2025-09-25
    price $162,500 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  23. 2025-05-10
    price $168,500 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

  24. 2025-03-26
    listed $175,000 Active 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    LOOKING FOR INVESTMENT PROPERTY 2 Bedroom House, One-bedroom Mobile Home that can easily be converted back to a two-bedroom living. Also included an empty lot that has been leveled for another mobile home all on almost 2 acres. LET RENTAL INCOME PAY FOR YOUR PROPERTY. Both house and mobile home are now vacant and ready to be prepped for your ideals. This property is near city limits, 3 minutes to downtown. The spacious lot can be built on or place a mobile home on to lease, live in or sell. A must to check out INVESTOR. OPTIONS! to consider.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,612
− Mortgage interest
−$8,514
− Property taxes
−$2,280
− Insurance
−$760
− Repairs & maintenance
−$929
− Management
−$929
− Depreciation
−$4,422
Taxable loss
−$6,222
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,493
After-tax cash flow
$-1,939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hawkins County
NCES district ID
4701740
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,555
Composite
20.45/100
National rank
#8581
State rank
#93 of 139 in TN

Livability — Rogersville

Score
64/100
State rank
#168
US rank
#14424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
20,425

Population outlook (Hawkins County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,226 people
By 2030
53,784 · -2.6%
By 2040
50,015 · -9.4%
By 2050
45,682 · -17.3%
By 2075
36,211 · -34.4%
By 2100
26,536 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hawkins

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.8) · D 15.2% · R 84.0%
2008→2024 swing
-26.9pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -68.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.8 2020: R+65.8 2016: R+63.4 2012: R+47.0 2008: R+42.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.64%
Current HPI
331.2027
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $154,900 TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $154,900 TVRMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Listed $168,500 TVRMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Relisted TVRMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $159,500 TVRMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $162,500 TVRMLS
  • 2025-05-10 Price Changed $168,500 TVRMLS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $175,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

+17.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $128 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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