4350 Quail Creek Rd · Martinez, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 4-Bedroom Home on a Corner Lot! This beautiful 4-bedroom, 3-full-bathroom residence offers the perfect blend of space and comfort, located on a desirable corner lot. Key Features: Bedrooms: 4 spacious bedrooms Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms Lot: Generous corner lot with a fully fenced yard, ideal for outdoor activities and privacy Interior: Freshly painted throughout, with new flooring in the upstairs bedrooms and family room, creating a modern and inviting atmosphere Appliances: All appliances included--move in with ease! This home is perfect for families or anyone looking for extra space. Don't miss the opportunity to make it yours today!
Key facts
- 0.38 acre lot
- Built 1979
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R1; Lot dimensions approximately 155 x 123 (0.38 acres); Directions: Off Wheeler Road turn on Kings Bridge Rd, turn onto Ashley Mill Rd and at the stop sign the property is on the right
- HOA & community: Subdivision: Quail Creek
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Three or more levels; Entry level: 1st floor; Brick and vinyl siding with frame construction
- Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick, vinyl siding and frame
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Fenced yard; Has a view; Street lights in the community
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Built-in gas oven; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Natural gas heating; Fireplace(s); Ceiling fans; Multiple cooling units
- Interior features: Pantry; Built-in gas oven; Disposal
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (6.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (23.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $183k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Martinez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in GA, #3,514 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Brookwood Elementary School (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #323 of 1,228 statewide, top 26%, 696 students, 52% FRL); Evans Middle School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade D, #114 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 980 students, 34% FRL); Evans High School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 1,887 students, 30% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $239k implies a 219% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.50%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $258,541
- List price
- $239,000
- Delta
- -7.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-47,489
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-61,827
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30907
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$178 /mo · $2,138/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $-83
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $52 | -5% $-16 | +0% $-83 | +5% $-151 | +10% $-219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-228 | -5% $-156 | +0% $-83 | +5% $-11 | +10% $61 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $37 | -0.5pp $-23 | base $-83 | +0.5pp $-145 | +1.0pp $-208 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4082 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,795 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4081 Melrose Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $1,731 | $1.30 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 636 Bridgton Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $1,950 | $0.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 139 Springlakes Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2094 | $2,195 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4139 Fair Oaks Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1447 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1580 | $1,790 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 913 Cabot Cv Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1677 | $1,895 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1422 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2102 | $1,949 | $0.93 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1426 Collins Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1551 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 231 Knollcrest Rd Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2302 | $2,600 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4537 Shawnee Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1534 | $1,795 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 109 Highview Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,600 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1580 | $1,700 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 327 Oak Lake Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1619 | $1,600 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1886 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1886 | $1,900 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 157 Moss Creek Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $1,775 | $0.98 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 101 Pine Forest Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1003 | $1,960 | $1.95 | 15d | 40 | 1.35mi |
| 517 Scenic Dr Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1746 | $1,795 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 135 Shawns Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1910 | $2,081 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3999 Pleasant Home Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1334 | $1,600 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1478 | $1,770 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 303 Meadowlake Dr Martinez, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1951 | $1,700 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 299 Ashbrook Dr Augusta, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2080 | $2,295 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 134 Holiday Dr Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $1,900 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 148 Shawns Way Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,695 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $239,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 667-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $239,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-05-09historical
-
2026-04-28price $239,000
-
2026-04-24price $239,900
-
2026-04-16$259,000 Active
-
2026-04-16$239,000
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-03price $269,900
-
2026-01-19price $287,900
-
2025-10-07$239,900
-
2025-10-07$299,000 Active
-
1985-08-01soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,138 · $178/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,199 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$61/yr (+$5/mo · 2.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$2,138
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,759
- − Management
- −$1,759
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$5,202
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,248
- After-tax cash flow
- $248/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Martinez
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #23
- US rank
- #3514
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Martinez, GA
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 46,975
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,975
- Household income
- $81,912
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 13% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -174.93%
- Current HPI
- 233.5167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.12%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+218.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-05-09 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $239,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $239,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $259,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $239,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $269,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $287,900 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $299,000 Hive MLS
- 2025-10-07 Listed $239,900 Hive MLS
- 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,138 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…