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4350 Quail Creek Rd
D Composite 41.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

4350 Quail Creek Rd · Martinez, GA 30907
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,983 sqft · Other public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1979 0.38 ac lot $121/sqft · 8% below area Est $259k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming 4-Bedroom Home on a Corner Lot! This beautiful 4-bedroom, 3-full-bathroom residence offers the perfect blend of space and comfort, located on a desirable corner lot. Key Features: Bedrooms: 4 spacious bedrooms Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms Lot: Generous corner lot with a fully fenced yard, ideal for outdoor activities and privacy Interior: Freshly painted throughout, with new flooring in the upstairs bedrooms and family room, creating a modern and inviting atmosphere Appliances: All appliances included--move in with ease! This home is perfect for families or anyone looking for extra space. Don't miss the opportunity to make it yours today!

Key facts

  • 0.38 acre lot
  • Built 1979
  • Listed 30 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R1; Lot dimensions approximately 155 x 123 (0.38 acres); Directions: Off Wheeler Road turn on Kings Bridge Rd, turn onto Ashley Mill Rd and at the stop sign the property is on the right
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Quail Creek

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Three or more levels; Entry level: 1st floor; Brick and vinyl siding with frame construction
  • Construction: Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built with brick, vinyl siding and frame
  • Exterior features: Covered front porch; Fenced yard; Has a view; Street lights in the community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Built-in gas oven; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal
  • Bedrooms: 8 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump; Natural gas heating; Fireplace(s); Ceiling fans; Multiple cooling units
  • Interior features: Pantry; Built-in gas oven; Disposal
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (6.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $183k (23.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (23.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.5% in Martinez — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#23 in GA, #3,514 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Brookwood Elementary School (math 50% / reading 41%, grade D-, #323 of 1,228 statewide, top 26%, 696 students, 52% FRL); Evans Middle School (math 36% / reading 51%, grade D, #114 of 470 statewide, top 24%, 980 students, 34% FRL); Evans High School (math 12% / reading 31%, grade F, #218 of 424 statewide, top 53%, 1,887 students, 30% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($235k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $239k implies a 219% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,247 (23.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.50%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$258,541
List price
$239,000
Delta
-7.56%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-47,489
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
-18.6%
Equity multiple
0.08×
Total profit
$-61,827
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30907

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
10.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,832 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,138/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,938
Max offer price $224,266
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $52 -5% $-16 +0% $-83 +5% $-151 +10% $-219
Rent -10% $-228 -5% $-156 +0% $-83 +5% $-11 +10% $61
Rate -1.0pp $37 -0.5pp $-23 base $-83 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4082 Spencer St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,795 $1.12 45d 1 0.36mi
4081 Melrose Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1331 $1,731 $1.30 25d 1 0.41mi
4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,650 $1.24 45d 1 0.42mi
4104 Spencer St Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,650 $1.24 25d 1 0.42mi
636 Bridgton Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 2000 $1,950 $0.97 25d 1 0.50mi
139 Springlakes Dr Augusta, GA 4.0 2.5 2094 $2,195 $1.05 45d 1 0.88mi
4139 Fair Oaks Rd Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,800 $1.17 25d 1 0.88mi
1447 Collins Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.5 1580 $1,790 $1.13 45d 1 0.90mi
913 Cabot Cv Augusta, GA 3.0 2.5 1677 $1,895 $1.13 45d 1 0.91mi
1422 Collins Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.5 2102 $1,949 $0.93 15d 1 0.93mi
1426 Collins Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.5 1551 $2,000 $1.29 25d 1 0.94mi
231 Knollcrest Rd Augusta, GA 4.0 3.5 2302 $2,600 $1.13 45d 1 1.04mi
4537 Shawnee Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1534 $1,795 $1.17 25d 1 1.04mi
109 Highview Dr Augusta, GA 4.0 2.0 1675 $1,600 $0.96 15d 1 1.19mi
640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1580 $1,700 $1.08 45d 1 1.20mi
640 Vista Dr Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1580 $1,700 $1.08 25d 1 1.20mi
327 Oak Lake Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1619 $1,600 $0.99 25d 1 1.22mi
4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA 4.0 3.0 1886 $1,900 $1.01 25d 1 1.25mi
4565 Rockdale Ct Augusta, GA 4.0 3.0 1886 $1,900 $1.01 45d 1 1.25mi
157 Moss Creek Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.5 1818 $1,775 $0.98 25d 1 1.26mi
101 Pine Forest Rd Augusta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1003 $1,960 $1.95 15d 40 1.35mi
517 Scenic Dr Grovetown, GA 3.0 2.5 1746 $1,795 $1.03 25d 1 1.35mi
135 Shawns Way Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1910 $2,081 $1.09 23d 1 1.39mi
3999 Pleasant Home Rd Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1334 $1,600 $1.20 15d 1 1.40mi
801 Trailside Ct Grovetown, GA 3.0 3.0 1478 $1,770 $1.20 15d 1 1.41mi
303 Meadowlake Dr Martinez, GA 3.0 2.0 1951 $1,700 $0.87 15d 1 1.42mi
299 Ashbrook Dr Augusta, GA 4.0 2.5 2080 $2,295 $1.10 45d 1 1.44mi
134 Holiday Dr Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1755 $1,900 $1.08 45d 1 1.45mi
148 Shawns Way Augusta, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,695 $1.21 15d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $239,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $239,000 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $239,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $239,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    remarks 667-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $239,000 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $239,000 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $239,000 Active 9 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $239,000 Active 8 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    historical
  19. 2026-05-11
    historical
  20. 2026-05-09
    historical
  21. 2026-04-28
    price $239,000
  22. 2026-04-24
    price $239,900
  23. 2026-04-16
    listed $259,000 Active
  24. 2026-04-16
    listed $239,000
  25. 2026-03-31
    historical
  26. 2026-03-03
    price $269,900
  27. 2026-01-19
    price $287,900
  28. 2025-10-07
    listed $239,900
  29. 2025-10-07
    listed $299,000 Active
  30. 1985-08-01
    soldstatus $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,138 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,199 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$61/yr (+$5/mo · 2.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,990
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$2,138
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,759
− Management
−$1,759
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable loss
−$5,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,248
After-tax cash flow
$248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia County
NCES district ID
1301410
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,358
Composite
45.04/100
National rank
#2695
State rank
#13 of 174 in GA

Livability — Martinez

Score
76/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#3514

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Martinez, GA
County
Columbia County · 154,184 people
City population
46,975
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
46,975
Household income
$81,912
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,073 people
By 2030
212,277 · +12.3%
By 2040
259,480 · +37.2%
By 2050
306,991 · +62.4%
By 2075
421,213 · +122.8%
By 2100
496,722 · +162.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 13% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
2008→2024 swing
+17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -174.93%
Current HPI
233.5167
Rent YoY
▲ 1.12%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+218.7% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $239,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $239,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $259,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $239,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $269,900 Hive MLS
  • 2026-01-19 Price Changed $287,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $299,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-07 Listed $239,900 Hive MLS
  • 1985-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,138 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…