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7934 Ashland Springs Ln
D Composite 41.47
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$269,000

7934 Ashland Springs Ln · Houston, TX 77433
5 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 358 Days on market
Built 2006 5,749 sqft lot $82/sqft · 13% below area Est $309k · 13% under $35/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Laundry room
  • Wood fence

Tags

2 STORY HOMELAUNDRY ROOMWOOD FENCESPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $269k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-236 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (15.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $256k (4.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $227k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Cypress-Fairbanks ISD (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #161 of 826 in TX (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Andre El (math 31% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,769 of 4,322 statewide, top 44%, 988 students, 59% FRL); Hopper Middle (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,103 of 1,662 statewide, top 67%, 930 students, 80% FRL); Cypress-Fairbanks J J A E P (12 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 46% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 33% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cypress-Fairbanks ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.3%/yr); 2065 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 358 days — a 12% lower offer ($237k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,325 (15.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 358 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.76%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$309,267
List price
$269,000
Delta
-13.02%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7934 Chatham Springs Ln 0.06mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,206 (-2%) 3mo $350,000 $109 85
7903 Raven Creek Ln 0.27mi 6/3.0 (+1) 3,204 (-2%) 2mo $300,000 $94 76
19815 Stanton Lake Dr 0.27mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,556 (+9%) 6mo $465,000 $131 62
19130 Yaupon Ranch Dr 0.64mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,340 (+2%) 2mo $324,000 $97 59
8106 Yarrow Dr 0.40mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,493 (+7%) 10mo $460,000 $132 55
20111 Redondo Valley Dr 0.57mi 4/3.0 (-1) 3,104 (-5%) 7mo $479,900 $155 52
19423 Stanton Lake Dr 0.45mi 4/3.5 (-1) 3,734 (+14%) 1mo $539,900 $145 50
19102 Desert Moon Dr 0.60mi 5/3.0 3,672 (+12%) 0mo $355,000 $97 49
20102 Breezy Oak Ct 0.40mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,800 (-14%) 2mo $334,000 $119 47
8531 Parsons Knoll Dr 0.56mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,856 (-13%) 2mo $375,000 $131 42
19222 Yaupon Ranch Dr 0.59mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,899 (-11%) 7mo $289,900 $100 41
19603 Yaupon Mist Dr 0.61mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,789 (-15%) 7mo $285,000 $102 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-26.7%
Equity multiple
0.13×
Total profit
$-65,842
Equity at exit
$40,109
10-year hold
IRR
-44.7%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-104,556
Equity at exit
$23,258

Cash invested: $75,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77433

Home prices YoY
-28.5%
Rents YoY
-1.3%
Active inventory
2065
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,564 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,411
Tax from tax record
$703 /mo · $8,442/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$35
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$538
Net cashflow
$-236

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,862
Max offer price $227,325
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-84 -5% $-160 +0% $-236 +5% $-312 +10% $-388
Rent -10% $-438 -5% $-337 +0% $-236 +5% $-135 +10% $-33
Rate -1.0pp $-100 -0.5pp $-167 base $-236 +0.5pp $-306 +1.0pp $-377

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,250
Closing costs
$8,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7830 Ashland Springs Ln Cypress, TX 4.0 2.5 2352 $1,974 $0.84 22d 1 0.22mi
7876 Galleon Field Ln Cypress, TX 5.0 3.5 3059 $2,366 $0.77 1d 1 0.26mi
7818 Yaupon Ranch Ct Cypress, TX 5.0 2.5 2774 $2,215 $0.80 46d 1 0.46mi
7636 Cocobola Ln Cypress, TX 5.0 2.5 2775 $3,000 $1.08 45d 1 0.94mi
20730 Dickinson Manor Ln Cypress, TX 5.0 2.5 2710 $2,350 $0.87 3d 1 1.12mi
21014 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX 4.0 2.5 2489 $2,953 $1.19 45d 1 1.22mi
21034 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX 5.0 3.0 2461 $2,861 $1.16 45d 1 1.26mi
21054 Montego Breeze Ln Cypress, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 1935 $3,045 $1.57 14d 21 1.31mi
21046 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX 4.0 2.5 2489 $3,045 $1.22 45d 1 1.32mi
21047 Treasure Gate Ln Cypress, TX 5.0 3.0 2461 $2,953 $1.20 45d 1 1.32mi
17903 Timber Crossing Ln Cypress, TX 4.0 2.5 2532 $2,500 $0.99 9d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$35 · $420/yr

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,000 Pending 358 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,000 Pending 357 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,000 Pending 355 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,000 Pending 354 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    status $269,000 Pending 351 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $269,000 Active 351 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,000 Active 350 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,000 Active 349 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,000 Active 346 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,000 Active 345 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 344 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,000 Active 343 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,000 Active 342 DOM
  14. 2026-04-25
    price $269,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  15. 2026-03-20
    price $274,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  16. 2026-02-20
    price $277,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  17. 2026-02-02
    status Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  18. 2026-01-29
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  19. 2026-01-14
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  20. 2025-12-12
    price $280,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  21. 2025-12-02
    status Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  22. 2025-11-21
    status Pending 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  23. 2025-11-14
    price $286,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  24. 2025-10-03
    price $289,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  25. 2025-09-19
    price $292,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  26. 2025-09-04
    price $301,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  27. 2025-08-21
    price $310,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  28. 2025-08-08
    price $320,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  29. 2025-07-25
    price $330,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  30. 2025-07-11
    price $340,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  31. 2025-07-02
    price $351,000 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  32. 2025-06-18
    listed $369,000 Active 418-char remark
    Show marketing remark (418 chars)

    This spacious 2-story home offers 5 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, with all bedrooms thoughtfully located upstairs for added privacy. The layout includes a 2-car garage and a generous laundry room featuring built-in shelves for extra storage. The primary suite boasts a large closet, while the secondary bedrooms also offer plenty of space. Enjoy a spacious backyard with a wood fence. Property needs work, selling as is.

  33. 2017-02-24
    soldstatus
  34. 2014-06-12
    soldstatus
  35. 2014-06-09
    soldstatus Sold 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    FOR INVESTOR ONLY. TENANTS WILL MOVE OUT END OF JUNE 2014. 4 SIDE BRICKS FROM TOP TO TOE. GOOD SIZE HOUSE WITH 5 BEDROOMS & 3 FULL BATHROOMS. GOOD SIZE BACKYARD. MINUTES TO 290 & GRAND PARKWAY 99, MARKET, BANKS, LIBRARY. .. ..

  36. 2014-05-06
    status Option Pending 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    FOR INVESTOR ONLY. TENANTS WILL MOVE OUT END OF JUNE 2014. 4 SIDE BRICKS FROM TOP TO TOE. GOOD SIZE HOUSE WITH 5 BEDROOMS & 3 FULL BATHROOMS. GOOD SIZE BACKYARD. MINUTES TO 290 & GRAND PARKWAY 99, MARKET, BANKS, LIBRARY. .. ..

  37. 2014-05-06
    status Pending, Continue to Show 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    FOR INVESTOR ONLY. TENANTS WILL MOVE OUT END OF JUNE 2014. 4 SIDE BRICKS FROM TOP TO TOE. GOOD SIZE HOUSE WITH 5 BEDROOMS & 3 FULL BATHROOMS. GOOD SIZE BACKYARD. MINUTES TO 290 & GRAND PARKWAY 99, MARKET, BANKS, LIBRARY. .. ..

  38. 2014-05-06
    price $149,900 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    FOR INVESTOR ONLY. TENANTS WILL MOVE OUT END OF JUNE 2014. 4 SIDE BRICKS FROM TOP TO TOE. GOOD SIZE HOUSE WITH 5 BEDROOMS & 3 FULL BATHROOMS. GOOD SIZE BACKYARD. MINUTES TO 290 & GRAND PARKWAY 99, MARKET, BANKS, LIBRARY. .. ..

  39. 2014-04-17
    listed $159,900 Active 238-char remark
    Show marketing remark (238 chars)

    FOR INVESTOR ONLY. TENANTS WILL MOVE OUT END OF JUNE 2014. 4 SIDE BRICKS FROM TOP TO TOE. GOOD SIZE HOUSE WITH 5 BEDROOMS & 3 FULL BATHROOMS. GOOD SIZE BACKYARD. MINUTES TO 290 & GRAND PARKWAY 99, MARKET, BANKS, LIBRARY. .. ..

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$8,442 · $703/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,442 · $703/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,764
− Mortgage interest
−$15,068
− Property taxes
−$8,442
− Insurance
−$1,345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,461
− Management
−$2,461
− HOA
−$420
− Depreciation
−$7,825
Taxable loss
−$7,258
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,742
After-tax cash flow
$-1,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cypress-Fairbanks ISD
NCES district ID
4816110
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$72,025
Composite
43.63/100
National rank
#2968
State rank
#161 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
116,550
Household income
$143,934
Rent vs Own
18.5% rent · 81.5% own
Severe rent burden
1700.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Hispanic / Latino 27% Black 17% Two or more races 14% Asian 13%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 4% Vietnamese 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -87.83%
Current HPI
220.2136
Rent YoY
▼ -1.27%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+68.2% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $269,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $274,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $277,000 HARMLS
  • 2026-02-02 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-01-29 Pending HARMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Price Changed $280,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2025-11-21 Pending HARMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $286,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-10-03 Price Changed $289,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $292,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $301,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Price Changed $310,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $320,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $330,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-11 Price Changed $340,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-02 Price Changed $351,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $369,000 HARMLS
  • 2017-02-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-06-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-06-09 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2014-05-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2014-05-06 Pending HARMLS
  • 2014-05-06 Price Changed $149,900 HARMLS
  • 2014-04-17 Listed $159,900 HARMLS

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,442 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…