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1201 Phats Way
D- Composite 39.65
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0
  • DSCR +0.5/10.0

$330,900

1201 Phats Way · Hahira, GA 31632
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,259 sqft · SingleFamily · 87 Days on market
Built 2026 0.39 ac lot Est $337k · at est. $47/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to the Belfort plan in Reynolda Place, our new home community in Hahira, GA. This is a 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom two-story home with over 2200 Sq. Ft. and a two-car garage. The Belfort floorplan is perfect for any stage of life featuring a first floor primary bedroom suite and laundry room. As you enter, the open concept kitchen and great room welcome all in. This is the perfect space for entertaining and daily living. The primary suite on the first floor is your private retreat. The primary bathroom features double vanity, private water closet, large shower, and an oversized closet. When you go upstairs, you are greeted by a versatile loft on the second floor which is surrounded by t

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Oversized closet
  • Open concept kitchen

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT KITCHENVERSATILE LOFTSMART HOME TECHNOLOGYDOUBLE VANITYPRIVATE WATER CLOSETOVERSIZED CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $331k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-605 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $243k (26.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (33.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (33.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#161 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, health & safety D.
  • Lowndes County (rural): math 59% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #8 of 174 in GA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 198 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 896 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lowndes County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($311k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $218,844 (33.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
4.10%
Cash-on-cash
-7.83%
DSCR
0.65
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$336,591
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1151 Hannah Dr 0.06mi 4/2.5 2,259 (0%) 2mo $339,000 $150 96
1105 Hannah Dr 0.17mi 4/2.5 2,259 (0%) 3mo $335,900 $149 90
1067 Angie Ln 0.16mi 4/2.5 2,259 (0%) 7mo $339,900 $150 87
1143 Hannah Dr 0.08mi 4/3.0 2,429 (+8%) 1mo $355,000 $146 80
1063 Angie Ln 0.14mi 4/3.0 2,458 (+9%) 3mo $323,400 $132 74
1055 Angie Ln 0.13mi 4/3.0 2,458 (+9%) 3mo $325,000 $132 74
629 Barnside Ln 0.30mi 4/2.0 2,110 (-7%) 1mo $291,900 $138 72
302 E Coleman Dr 0.47mi 4/3.0 2,328 (+3%) 2mo $484,000 $208 69
535 Cottonwood Cv 0.37mi 4/2.5 2,074 (-8%) 0mo $335,000 $162 69
769 Carriage Xing 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,930 (-15%) 1mo $319,900 $166 62
605 S Nelson St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,972 (-13%) 6mo $225,000 $114 43
500 S Nelson St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,970 (-13%) 7mo $277,000 $141 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.53×
Total profit
$141,752
Equity at exit
$298,101
10-year hold
IRR
17.4%
Equity multiple
5.83×
Total profit
$447,857
Equity at exit
$642,866

Cash invested: $92,652 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31632

Home prices YoY
8.1%
Active inventory
198
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,188 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,735
Tax est. 1.5%
$414 /mo · $4,964/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$47
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$-605

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,954
Max offer price $243,370
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-376 -5% $-491 +0% $-605 +5% $-719 +10% $-834
Rent -10% $-778 -5% $-691 +0% $-605 +5% $-518 +10% $-432
Rate -1.0pp $-438 -0.5pp $-521 base $-605 +0.5pp $-691 +1.0pp $-778

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,725
Closing costs
$9,927
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$47 · $564/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-08
    price $330,900
  3. 2026-02-25
    price $335,900
  4. 2026-02-23
    price $338,900
  5. 2026-02-17
    price $335,900
  6. 2026-01-16
    listed $352,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,261
− Mortgage interest
−$18,536
− Property taxes
−$4,964
− Insurance
−$1,654
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,101
− Management
−$2,101
− HOA
−$564
− Depreciation
−$9,626
Taxable loss
−$13,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,188
After-tax cash flow
$-4,071/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lowndes County
NCES district ID
1303390
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,221
Composite
47.21/100
National rank
#2317
State rank
#8 of 174 in GA

Livability — Hahira

Score
67/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#10280

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lowndes County · 107,801 people
Metro
Valdosta, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,942
Household income
$83,946
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
73.0

Population outlook (Lowndes County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,348 people
By 2030
123,469 · +2.6%
By 2040
128,482 · +6.8%
By 2050
131,907 · +9.6%
By 2075
139,080 · +15.6%
By 2100
133,649 · +11.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lowndes

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 40.8% · R 58.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.6pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+18.2 2012: R+10.5 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 19.44%
Current HPI
259.01
Rent YoY
Metro
Valdosta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Pending SGMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $330,900 SGMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $335,900 SGMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $338,900 SGMLS
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $335,900 SGMLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $352,900 SGMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…