470 N Civic Dr #105 · Walnut Creek, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Cash flow +5.0/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,899
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover this beautifully updated one bedroom, one bath condo. Offering easy ground floor access with minimal stairs. Inside, find a freshly painted interior with a newer vanity, updated living area and kitchen appliances. Enjoy a private balcony, this unit's right side is un-attached. Offering more tranquility. No maintenance needed, just move in!! "The Keys" provides resort-style living in the heart of Walnut Creek. Enjoy three swimming pools, (main pool is heated all year-round), spas, a two-story clubhouse with a gym, four lightened Tennis Courts, Basketball Putting Green, Racquetball, Sauna, Billiard room and BBQ areas. Directly access the iron horse trail. Walking distance to Bart, downtown Walnut Creek, dining and shops, this complex is unique for its year-round heated outdoor pool, each building has a secured entrance and elevator (except building 480). Blocks from Highway 680, it's perfect for commuters. laundry is on the fifth floor. Don't miss this opportunity for desirable Walnut Creek living!!
Key facts
- Ground floor access
- Private balcony
- Three swimming pools
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-519 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (41.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (41.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 3.5% vs local median 1.1% in Walnut Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#113 in CA, #4,005 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Acalanes Union High (suburban): math 73% / reading 85% proficiency, ranked #21 of 517 in CA (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Tice Creek (424 students, 4% FRL); Walnut Creek Intermediate (985 students, 13% FRL); Las Lomas High (math 66% / reading 83%, grade B+, #78 of 1,170 statewide, top 7%, 1,571 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 111 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,169 units permitted in Contra Costa County in 2024 (896 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Contra Costa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask is 7896% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.12%
- DSCR
- 0.55
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,580
- List price
- $219,899
- Delta
- -26.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -31.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-64,755
- Equity at exit
- $32,788
- IRR
- -24.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.34×
- Total profit
- $-82,376
- Equity at exit
- $19,013
Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94596
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,382 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,153
- Tax from tax record
- −$319 /mo · $3,830/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$837
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$500
- Net cashflow
- $-519
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-395 | -5% $-457 | +0% $-519 | +5% $-582 | +10% $-644 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-707 | -5% $-613 | +0% $-519 | +5% $-425 | +10% $-331 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-409 | -0.5pp $-463 | base $-519 | +0.5pp $-576 | +1.0pp $-634 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $54,975
- Closing costs
- $6,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470 N Civic Dr #204 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $2,295 | $3.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 470 N Civic Dr #204 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $2,295 | $3.37 | 0d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 490 N Civic Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $1,995 | $3.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 530 N Civic Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $2,486 | $3.30 | 0d | 16 | 0.07mi |
| 450 N Civic Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $2,249 | $3.30 | 0d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 55 Drake Ct Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,995 | $5.45 | 0d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 340 N Civic Dr #202 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 746 | $2,150 | $2.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2383 N Main St Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $2,603 | $2.84 | 0d | 4 | 0.42mi |
| 161 N Civic Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $2,857 | $3.39 | 0d | 9 | 0.49mi |
| 1555 Riviera Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $3,000 | $4.88 | 0d | 6 | 0.50mi |
| 2634 Baldwin Ln Unit 1 Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,450 | $3.27 | 26d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1011 Ygnacio Valley Rd Walnut Creek, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 863 | $2,767 | $3.20 | 0d | 3 | 0.56mi |
| 1295 Homestead Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 760 | $2,260 | $2.97 | 0d | 3 | 0.61mi |
| 2562 Walnut Blvd #56 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $2,050 | $3.12 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2591 Walnut Blvd Unit Adu Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $2,750 | $5.73 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1407 Marchbanks Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 665 | $2,150 | $3.23 | 1d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1910 N Main St Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 937 | $2,920 | $3.11 | 0d | 7 | 0.71mi |
| 101 Pringle Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $3,759 | $4.29 | 0d | 31 | 0.72mi |
| 1217 Montego Unit 11 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,100 | $2.90 | 3d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 101 Kinross Dr #4 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,995 | $3.63 | 7d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 101 Kinross Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 773 | $1,975 | $2.55 | 26d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 1770 Carmel Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,095 | $3.99 | 0d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1730 Lacassie Ave Apt 7 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,095 | $3.10 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1743 Carmel Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 795 | $2,572 | $3.24 | 0d | 3 | 0.85mi |
| 1743 Carmel Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 795 | $2,675 | $3.36 | 9d | 2 | 0.85mi |
| 114 Sharene Ln Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 787 | $2,060 | $2.62 | 0d | 11 | 0.87mi |
| 1756 Carmel Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $2,188 | $3.17 | 0d | 8 | 0.87mi |
| 1716 N Main St Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 865 | $4,000 | $4.62 | 0d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1001 Harvey Dr Walnut Creek, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1064 | $2,973 | $2.79 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1445 Treat Blvd Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 871 | $1,930 | $2.22 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1800 Lacassie Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $4,028 | $5.10 | 0d | 10 | 0.89mi |
| 155 Sharene Ln #213 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $2,095 | $3.01 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 155 Sharene Ln #213 Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $2,095 | $3.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1812 Trinity Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,899 | $3.41 | 0d | 5 | 1.00mi |
| 3050 Del Hombre Ln Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 967 | $3,058 | $3.16 | 0d | 18 | 1.02mi |
| 1755 Trinity Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,448 | $3.63 | 0d | 3 | 1.02mi |
| 1851 Trinity Ave Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $2,095 | $3.10 | 19d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1330 Mount Pisgah Rd Unit D Walnut Creek, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,995 | $3.20 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 121 Roble Rd Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 739 | $2,588 | $3.50 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3128 Oak Rd Walnut Creek, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 700 | $2,416 | $3.45 | 0d | 59 | 1.13mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $837 · $10,044/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21status $219,899 Pending 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,899 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,899 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,899 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,899 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,899 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $219,899 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $219,899 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $219,899 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $219,899 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $219,899 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $219,899 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $219,899 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $219,899 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $219,899 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-03-06price $219,900 1031-char remark
Show marketing remark (1031 chars)
Discover this beautifully updated one bedroom, one bath condo. Offering easy ground floor access with minimal stairs. Inside, find a freshly painted interior with a newer vanity, updated living area and kitchen appliances. Enjoy a private balcony, this unit's right side is un-attached. Offering more tranquility. No maintenance needed, just move in!! "The Keys" provides resort-style living in the heart of Walnut Creek. Enjoy three swimming pools, (main pool is heated all year-round), spas, a two-story clubhouse with a gym, four lightened Tennis Courts, Basketball Putting Green, Racquetball, Sauna, Billiard room and BBQ areas. Directly access the iron horse trail. Walking distance to Bart, downtown Walnut Creek, dining and shops, this complex is unique for its year-round heated outdoor pool, each building has a secured entrance and elevator (except building 480). Blocks from Highway 680, it's perfect for commuters. laundry is on the fifth floor. Don't miss this opportunity for desirable Walnut Creek living!!
-
2026-03-03price $239,900 1031-char remark
Show marketing remark (1031 chars)
Discover this beautifully updated one bedroom, one bath condo. Offering easy ground floor access with minimal stairs. Inside, find a freshly painted interior with a newer vanity, updated living area and kitchen appliances. Enjoy a private balcony, this unit's right side is un-attached. Offering more tranquility. No maintenance needed, just move in!! "The Keys" provides resort-style living in the heart of Walnut Creek. Enjoy three swimming pools, (main pool is heated all year-round), spas, a two-story clubhouse with a gym, four lightened Tennis Courts, Basketball Putting Green, Racquetball, Sauna, Billiard room and BBQ areas. Directly access the iron horse trail. Walking distance to Bart, downtown Walnut Creek, dining and shops, this complex is unique for its year-round heated outdoor pool, each building has a secured entrance and elevator (except building 480). Blocks from Highway 680, it's perfect for commuters. laundry is on the fifth floor. Don't miss this opportunity for desirable Walnut Creek living!!
-
2026-02-17$2,750
Show marketing remark (1031 chars)
Discover this beautifully updated one bedroom, one bath condo. Offering easy ground floor access with minimal stairs. Inside, find a freshly painted interior with a newer vanity, updated living area and kitchen appliances. Enjoy a private balcony, this unit's right side is un-attached. Offering more tranquility. No maintenance needed, just move in!! "The Keys" provides resort-style living in the heart of Walnut Creek. Enjoy three swimming pools, (main pool is heated all year-round), spas, a two-story clubhouse with a gym, four lightened Tennis Courts, Basketball Putting Green, Racquetball, Sauna, Billiard room and BBQ areas. Directly access the iron horse trail. Walking distance to Bart, downtown Walnut Creek, dining and shops, this complex is unique for its year-round heated outdoor pool, each building has a secured entrance and elevator (except building 480). Blocks from Highway 680, it's perfect for commuters. laundry is on the fifth floor. Don't miss this opportunity for desirable Walnut Creek living!!
-
2026-02-17$250,000 Active 1031-char remark
Show marketing remark (1031 chars)
Discover this beautifully updated one bedroom, one bath condo. Offering easy ground floor access with minimal stairs. Inside, find a freshly painted interior with a newer vanity, updated living area and kitchen appliances. Enjoy a private balcony, this unit's right side is un-attached. Offering more tranquility. No maintenance needed, just move in!! "The Keys" provides resort-style living in the heart of Walnut Creek. Enjoy three swimming pools, (main pool is heated all year-round), spas, a two-story clubhouse with a gym, four lightened Tennis Courts, Basketball Putting Green, Racquetball, Sauna, Billiard room and BBQ areas. Directly access the iron horse trail. Walking distance to Bart, downtown Walnut Creek, dining and shops, this complex is unique for its year-round heated outdoor pool, each building has a secured entrance and elevator (except building 480). Blocks from Highway 680, it's perfect for commuters. laundry is on the fifth floor. Don't miss this opportunity for desirable Walnut Creek living!!
-
2024-12-16historical
-
2024-11-21status Active
-
2024-11-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-11-11price
-
2024-10-11Active
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $248,000 Closed
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $248,000
-
2024-05-29soldstatus $248,000
-
2024-05-19status Pending
-
2024-04-24price $254,946
-
2024-03-16price $262,496
-
2024-03-06price $269,946
-
2024-03-01price $277,946
-
2024-02-15price $279,946
-
2023-12-10$282,946 Active
-
2023-12-10$254,946
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $265,000 Sold
-
2015-07-31soldstatus $265,000
-
2015-06-24status Pending
-
2015-06-12$265,000 New
-
2015-02-17historical
-
2009-09-09soldstatus $115,000 Sold
-
2009-08-05historical
-
2009-07-15$119,900 New
-
2005-08-10soldstatus $335,000
-
2003-04-17soldstatus $196,000
-
2003-04-17soldstatus $196,000
-
2003-03-19historical
-
2003-03-02$199,850
-
2000-11-21soldstatus $132,000
-
2000-11-21soldstatus $132,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,830 · $319/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 16 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,318
- − Property taxes
- −$3,830
- − Insurance
- −$1,099
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,287
- − Management
- −$2,287
- − HOA
- −$10,044
- − Depreciation
- −$6,397
- Taxable loss
- −$9,680
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,323
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Acalanes Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0601650
- Math proficiency
- 73% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 85% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $120,138
- Composite
- 73.49/100
- National rank
- #179
- State rank
- #21 of 517 in CA
Livability — Walnut Creek
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #4005
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Walnut Creek, CA
- County
- Contra Costa County · 1,059,880 people
- City population
- 90,740
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,417
- Household income
- $135,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1371.0
Population outlook (Contra Costa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,287,720 people
- By 2030
- 1,364,937 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 1,506,209 · +17.0%
- By 2050
- 1,624,373 · +26.1%
- By 2075
- 1,853,193 · +43.9%
- By 2100
- 1,901,231 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Asian 15% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Contra Costa
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 67.3% · R 29.4% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 37.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+43.5 2012: D+33.7 2008: D+37.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1029.10%
- Current HPI
- 351.1193
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.39%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+201.2% since first listed38 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $219,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $239,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2026-02-17 Listed for Rent $2,750 BRIDGEMLS
- 2026-02-17 Listed $250,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-12-16 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-11-21 Relisted — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-11-19 Contingent — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-11-11 Price Changed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-10-11 Listed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-05-29 Sold (Public Records) $248,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $248,000 San Francisco MLS
- 2024-05-29 Sold (MLS) $248,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-05-19 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-04-24 Price Changed $254,946 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-03-16 Price Changed $262,496 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-03-06 Price Changed $269,946 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-03-01 Price Changed $277,946 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2024-02-15 Price Changed $279,946 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2023-12-10 Listed $254,946 San Francisco MLS
- 2023-12-10 Listed $282,946 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-07-31 Sold (Public Records) $265,000 Public Records
- 2015-07-31 Sold (MLS) $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-06-24 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-06-12 Listed $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2015-02-17 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2009-09-09 Sold (MLS) $115,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2009-08-05 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2009-07-15 Listed $119,900 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2005-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $335,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $196,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-17 Sold (MLS) $196,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2003-03-19 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2003-03-02 Listed $199,850 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2000-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-21 Sold (MLS) $132,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2000-10-23 Listing Removed — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2000-10-19 Listed $125,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 1991-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,830 · -14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…