1660 E Main St · Lancaster, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
1993 Redman, 3 br, 2 bth. Mobile home in Lancaster Estates. Newer plywood under layment, carpet and vinyl flooring. Newer entry door , walk in shower and cabinet facings. Range, refrigerator, freezer, washer and dryer included.
Key facts
- 7.63 acre lot
- Built 1993
- Listed 66 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $41 ($487/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $38k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Lancaster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#41 in OH, #423 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D.
- Lancaster City (town): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #504 of 656 in OH (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 204 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 475 units permitted in Fairfield County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairfield County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 15 sale attempts since 30y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $20k; list at $40k implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; HOA is 39% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.35%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,000
- List price
- $40,000
- Delta
- -80.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-1,325
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.17×
- Total profit
- $13,143
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43130
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $993 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$390
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $41
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 637 E Wheeling St Apt A Lancaster, OH | — | 1.0 | 628 | $895 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1250 Sheridan Dr Lancaster, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 959 | $1,000 | $1.04 | 1d | 5 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $390 · $4,680/yr
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $40,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $40,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $40,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $40,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $40,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $40,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $40,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $40,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $40,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $40,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $40,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-04-13$40,000 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
1993 Redman, 3 br, 2 bth. Mobile home in Lancaster Estates. Newer plywood under layment, carpet and vinyl flooring. Newer entry door , walk in shower and cabinet facings. Range, refrigerator, freezer, washer and dryer included.
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2020-11-18historical
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2020-10-28price $12,900
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2020-10-27status Active
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2020-10-15status Pending
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2020-10-07price $14,900
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2020-10-06status Active
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2020-09-22status Pending
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2020-08-30price $15,900
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2020-08-13price $17,900
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2020-07-23$21,900 Active
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2008-10-01historical
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2008-09-23$9,500
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2005-10-01soldstatus $19,500
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2005-09-24historical
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2005-05-01$21,500
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2004-08-09soldstatus $13,000
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2004-07-28historical
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2004-02-16$17,500
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2003-06-24historical
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2003-06-19historical
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2003-06-06historical
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2003-06-03$19,900
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2002-09-23$9,000
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2002-08-13$19,900
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2002-05-31soldstatus $10,000
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2002-05-17historical
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2002-03-04$13,500
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2000-05-23soldstatus $23,000
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2000-02-29historical
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1999-07-08$25,500
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1999-06-18soldstatus $56,000
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1998-04-10soldstatus $40,000
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1997-11-05historical
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1997-09-03historical
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1997-07-07$49,000
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1997-05-05$17,900
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1996-11-06historical
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,530 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$1,530
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$953
- − Management
- −$953
- − HOA
- −$4,680
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $196
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$47
- After-tax cash flow
- $440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lancaster City
- NCES district ID
- 3904420
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,696
- Composite
- 37.39/100
- National rank
- #4427
- State rank
- #504 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lancaster
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lancaster, OH
- County
- Fairfield County · 109,896 people
- City population
- 62,933
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,933
- Household income
- $72,153
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1400.0
Population outlook (Fairfield County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,442 people
- By 2030
- 166,796 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 172,835 · +6.4%
- By 2050
- 174,822 · +7.6%
- By 2075
- 174,938 · +7.7%
- By 2100
- 160,988 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairfield
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 37.5% · R 61.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -17.1pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+27.0 2012: R+16.1 2008: R+17.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -298.81%
- Current HPI
- 239.6352
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed40 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $40,000 CBRMLS
- 2020-11-18 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-28 Price Changed $12,900 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-27 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-15 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2020-10-07 Price Changed $14,900 CBRMLS
- 2020-10-06 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2020-09-22 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2020-08-30 Price Changed $15,900 CBRMLS
- 2020-08-13 Price Changed $17,900 CBRMLS
- 2020-07-23 Listed $21,900 CBRMLS
- 2008-10-01 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2008-09-23 Listed $9,500 CBRMLS
- 2005-10-01 Sold (MLS) $19,500 CBRMLS
- 2005-09-24 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2005-05-01 Listed $21,500 CBRMLS
- 2004-08-09 Sold (MLS) $13,000 CBRMLS
- 2004-07-28 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2004-02-16 Listed $17,500 CBRMLS
- 2003-06-24 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2003-06-19 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2003-06-06 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2003-06-03 Listed $19,900 CBRMLS
- 2002-09-23 Listed $9,000 CBRMLS
- 2002-08-13 Listed $19,900 CBRMLS
- 2002-05-31 Sold (MLS) $10,000 CBRMLS
- 2002-05-17 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2002-03-04 Listed $13,500 CBRMLS
- 2000-05-23 Sold (MLS) $23,000 CBRMLS
- 2000-02-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1999-07-08 Listed $25,500 CBRMLS
- 1999-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-05 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-09-03 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1997-07-07 Listed $49,000 CBRMLS
- 1997-05-05 Listed $17,900 CBRMLS
- 1996-11-06 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 1996-09-18 Listed $16,500 CBRMLS
- 1994-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,530 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…