115 NE Eighth St · Oakland, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$214,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Completely remodeled 3 Bd 2 Ba home on quiet city lot. Nice vinyl windows,new roof, new carpet & tile, new tape & texture, new heat pump, new everything! Den/office could be a 4th bedroom. This is a must see.
Key facts
- Small deck
- Level lot
- Mature landscaping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: No land lease
- HOA & community: Not a senior community; Zoned Low Density
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached 1-car garage; Total parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home on real property; Residential property; Single-story (main level living); Built in 1989; No significant view
- Construction: Composition roof; T-111 siding; Crawl space foundation; Built in 1989
- Exterior features: Deck; Yard; T-111 siding; Level lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom (Main level); Third bedroom (Main level)
- Flooring: Wall-to-wall carpet
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Wall-to-wall carpet; Double-pane windows with vinyl frames; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Electric hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $214k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $190k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#93 in OR, #4,626 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Oakland SD 1 (rural): math 44% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #21 of 183 in OR (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Oakland Elementary School (math 34% / reading 54%, grade F, #143 of 412 statewide, top 38%, 222 students, 65% FRL); Lincoln Middle School (math 32% / reading 57%, grade D, #33 of 128 statewide, top 27%, 185 students, 49% FRL); Oakland High School (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #50 of 143 statewide, top 37%, 221 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 40 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 190 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Douglas County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $60k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $54k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $164k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.26%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $366,912
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 777 Oak St | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-3%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $230 | 91 |
| 613 SE 5th St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (-2%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $240 | 81 |
| 931 Locust St | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,677 (+7%) | 13mo | $395,000 | $236 | 70 |
| 215 NE 9th St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,386 (-12%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $234 | 67 |
| 1172 Old Town Loop Rd | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (0%) | 12mo | $470,000 | $300 | 58 |
| 106 SE Walnut St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+6%) | 17mo | $310,000 | $186 | 57 |
| 144 Clear Lake St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,726 (+10%) | 13mo | $400,000 | $232 | 48 |
| 531 NE 5th St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (-14%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $210 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.06×
- Total profit
- $123,949
- Equity at exit
- $193,149
- IRR
- 22.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.98×
- Total profit
- $359,274
- Equity at exit
- $416,532
Cash invested: $60,032 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97462
- Home prices YoY
- 14.4%
- Active inventory
- 40
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,124
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$89
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$398
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $174 | +0% $113 | +5% $53 | +10% $-8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-36 | -5% $38 | +0% $113 | +5% $188 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $221 | -0.5pp $168 | base $113 | +0.5pp $58 | +1.0pp $1 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,600
- Closing costs
- $6,432
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 414 SE 1st St Oakland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1267 | $1,895 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 420 SE 1st St Oakland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-03price $214,400
-
2026-02-26price $241,200
-
2026-01-10$268,000 Active
-
2006-06-13soldstatus $164,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 Bd 2 Ba home on quiet city lot. Nice vinyl windows,new roof, new carpet & tile, new tape & texture, new heat pump, new everything! Den/office could be a 4th bedroom. This is a must see.
-
2006-06-12soldstatus $164,000
-
2006-06-09historical 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 Bd 2 Ba home on quiet city lot. Nice vinyl windows,new roof, new carpet & tile, new tape & texture, new heat pump, new everything! Den/office could be a 4th bedroom. This is a must see.
-
2006-04-20$169,000 216-char remark
Show marketing remark (216 chars)
Completely remodeled 3 Bd 2 Ba home on quiet city lot. Nice vinyl windows,new roof, new carpet & tile, new tape & texture, new heat pump, new everything! Den/office could be a 4th bedroom. This is a must see.
-
2000-12-20soldstatus $67,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,080 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- +$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 12 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,740
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,010
- − Property taxes
- −$2,042
- − Insurance
- −$1,072
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,819
- − Management
- −$1,819
- − Depreciation
- −$6,237
- Taxable loss
- −$2,259
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$542
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,901/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oakland SD 1
- NCES district ID
- 4109120
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,653
- Composite
- 47.51/100
- National rank
- #4983
- State rank
- #21 of 183 in OR
Livability — Oakland
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #93
- US rank
- #4626
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oakland, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,027
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,191 people
- By 2030
- 102,664 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 96,668 · -8.1%
- By 2050
- 91,279 · -13.2%
- By 2075
- 79,395 · -24.5%
- By 2100
- 66,107 · -37.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Slovak 4% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.7) · D 29.9% · R 67.6% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -20.1pp · 2024: -37.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.7 2020: R+37.5 2016: R+39.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.86%
- Current HPI
- 418.8492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+220.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $214,400 RMLS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $241,200 RMLS
- 2026-01-10 Listed $268,000 RMLS
- 2006-06-13 Sold (MLS) $164,000 RMLS
- 2006-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
- 2006-06-09 Delisted — RMLS
- 2006-04-20 Listed $169,000 RMLS
- 2000-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,042 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…