215 Dawn Dr · Mountain Home, ID 83647

$79,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 920 sqft · Manufactured · 161 Days on market

Built 2024 Est $61k · 32% over ↓ 22% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

Key facts

• New a/c unit
• Open-concept layout
• Built 2024

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUT
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• OFF-STREET PARKING PAD
• NEW A/C UNIT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $802 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 3.1% in Mountain Home — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#26 in ID, #3,741 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Mountain Home District (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #78 of 92 in ID (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Mountain Home Sr High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #117 of 169 statewide, top 70%, 960 students, 33% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 347 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Elmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Elmore County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Recommended offer $70,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.15% ✓
• Cap rate: 18.33%
• Cash-on-cash: 43.01%
• DSCR: 2.91
• GRM: 3.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $60,720
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
215 Dawn Dr	0.00mi	3/2.0	920 (0%)	1mo	$79,900	$87	99
245 SW Dawn Dr	0.03mi	3/2.0	924 (+0%)	3mo	$69,900	$76	96
235 W 9th	0.08mi	3/2.0	924 (+0%)	1mo	$55,000	$60	95
290 Colleen Dr	0.06mi	3/2.0	910 (-1%)	9mo	$60,000	$66	88
235 Colleen Dr	0.05mi	2/2.0 (-1)	924 (+0%)	6mo	$50,000	$54	87
240 Colleen Dr	0.06mi	2/2.0 (-1)	938 (+2%)	6mo	$54,900	$59	84
265 Dawn Dr	0.02mi	3/2.0	960 (+4%)	10mo	$45,000	$47	83
370 W 12th S #28	0.24mi	3/2.0	880 (-4%)	16mo	$90,000	$102	68

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.23% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 43.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $43,895
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 50.9%
• Equity multiple: 6.78×
• Total profit: $129,300
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Idaho: 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 83647

• Home prices YoY: -31.4%
• Rents YoY: 6.2%
• Active inventory: 347
• Price-to-rent: 3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,714 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$100 /mo · $1,198/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$360
• Net cashflow: $802

Break-even live

Break-even rent $699

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-05-15
   price $79,900
2. 2026-04-18
   status Pending
3. 2026-03-17
   price $69,900
4. 2026-01-01
   price $73,000
5. 2025-12-18
   price $76,000
6. 2025-12-08
   price $79,999
7. 2025-11-22
   price $84,000
8. 2025-11-07
   listed $87,000 Active
9. 2025-06-30
   soldstatus Sold 434-char remark

   Show marketing remark (434 chars)

   Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

10. 2025-05-29
    status Pending 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

11. 2025-05-02
    price $75,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

12. 2025-04-15
    price $79,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

13. 2025-02-18
    price $84,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

14. 2025-01-15
    price $89,000 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

15. 2024-12-18
    price $94,900 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

16. 2024-12-02
    listed $103,000 Active 434-char remark

    Show marketing remark (434 chars)

    Experience modern comfort in this brand-new 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home, perfectly situated in the inviting Eagle Wing Mobile Home Park in Mountain Home, Idaho! This thoughtfully designed home features a spacious, open-concept layout with a sleek kitchen equipped with stainless steel appliances, including a fridge, stove, dishwasher, and microwave. Enjoy the added convenience of an off-street parking pad for your vehicles.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,566
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,198
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,645
• − Management: −$1,645
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $8,878
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,131
• After-tax cash flow: $7,491/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mountain Home District
• NCES district ID: 1602250
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $44,262
• Composite: 30.57/100
• National rank: #6203
• State rank: #78 of 92 in ID

Livability — Mountain Home

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #26
• US rank: #3741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mountain Home, ID
• County: Elmore County · 22,952 people
• City population: 22,952
• Metro: Mountain Home, ID
• Population (ZIP): 22,952
• Household income: $63,760
• Rent vs Own: 28.5% rent · 71.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 317.0

Population outlook (Elmore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 22,644 people
• By 2030: 21,112 · -6.8%
• By 2040: 17,768 · -21.5%
• By 2050: 14,629 · -35.4%
• By 2075: 9,144 · -59.6%
• By 2100: 6,006 · -73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 15%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 10% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Elmore

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.5) · D 24.5% · R 73.0% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -12.1pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -48.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.5 2020: R+45.5 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+33.9 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -108.42%
• Current HPI: 236.3087
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.23%
• Metro: Mountain Home, ID
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$79B
▸Technology	1	$25B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$6B

Price history

-22.4% since first listed

16 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Price Changed $79,900 IMLS
• 2026-04-18 Pending — IMLS
• 2026-03-17 Price Changed $69,900 IMLS
• 2026-01-01 Price Changed $73,000 IMLS
• 2025-12-18 Price Changed $76,000 IMLS
• 2025-12-08 Price Changed $79,999 IMLS
• 2025-11-22 Price Changed $84,000 IMLS
• 2025-11-07 Listed $87,000 IMLS
• 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) — IMLS
• 2025-05-29 Pending — IMLS
• 2025-05-02 Price Changed $75,000 IMLS
• 2025-04-15 Price Changed $79,000 IMLS
• 2025-02-18 Price Changed $84,000 IMLS
• 2025-01-15 Price Changed $89,000 IMLS
• 2024-12-18 Price Changed $94,900 IMLS
• 2024-12-02 Listed $103,000 IMLS