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7139 Route 9
C+ Composite 60.39
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

7139 Route 9 · Rhinebeck, NY 12572
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1997 Good condition $520/mo HOA · 15% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move right into this immaculate and meticulously maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home in the desirable Lamplight Court 55+ community. Offering easy, low-maintenance living, this mint-condition home features a spacious floor plan, a private primary suite, and bright, inviting living spaces designed for comfort and convenience. Enjoy your morning coffee or entertain guests on the private deck overlooking the fenced backyard, perfect for gardening, pets, or relaxing outdoors. Nestled in a quiet, neat, and well-kept community in Red Hook, with a Rhinebeck mailing address, this home is ideally located just minutes from Hannaford, shopping, dining, and approximately six minutes from Northern Dutches

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Convenient location
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

PRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEPRIVATE DECKFENCED BACKYARDLOW MAINTENANCE LIVINGQUIET COMMUNITYCONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Has association; Monthly association fee of $520; Association covers sewer, water and snow removal; Association provides grounds maintenance; Located in a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected (Central Hudson); Water connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Mobile home; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Open kitchen with eat-in area
  • Bedrooms: One-level (single story) home
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Open floor plan; Open kitchen; Walk-in closets; Deck
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $412 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.3% in Rhinebeck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#91 in NY, #1,405 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Rhinebeck Central School District (town): math 64% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #221 of 755 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Rhinebeck Senior High School (math 98% / reading 70%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 322 students, 18% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 84% at this address vs 62% district-wide (+22 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Rhinebeck Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 620 units permitted in Dutchess County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dutchess County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $265,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.66%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-16,331
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
3.9%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$21,077
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12572

Home prices YoY
-28.0%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,498 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax est. 1.5%
$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$520
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$412

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,976
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9 Village Grn Rhinebeck, NY 2.0 1.0 1240 $2,488 $2.01 14d 1 0.98mi
257 Mill Rd Rhinebeck, NY 2.0 2.0 1324 $4,000 $3.02 23d 1 1.28mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$520 · $6,240/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $265,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,974
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$3,975
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,358
− Management
−$3,358
− HOA
−$6,240
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable income
$1,165
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$280
After-tax cash flow
$4,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in a desirable community offers a good investment opportunity with minor updates that can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value to the home.
  • Rental Clean and maintain the HVAC system — A clean and well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and reduces maintenance costs for tenants.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint the exterior siding — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile flooring — Hardwood or tile flooring is more durable and adds value to the home.
  • Rental Clean and maintain the HVAC system — A clean and well-maintained HVAC system ensures comfort and reduces maintenance costs for tenants.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rhinebeck Central School District
NCES district ID
3624480
Math proficiency
64% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$71,819
Composite
56.35/100
National rank
#2481
State rank
#221 of 755 in NY

Livability — Rhinebeck

Score
81/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#1405

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Dutchess County · 188,048 people
City population
8,869
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
Population (ZIP)
8,869
Household income
$94,859
Rent vs Own
26.5% rent · 73.5% own
Severe rent burden
172.0

Population outlook (Dutchess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
291,768 people
By 2030
287,131 · -1.6%
By 2040
274,881 · -5.8%
By 2050
259,971 · -10.9%
By 2075
235,366 · -19.3%
By 2100
208,786 · -28.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Iranian 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dutchess

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.4) · D 52.7% · R 47.3%
2008→2024 swing
-3.2pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: 5.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.4 2020: D+9.6 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+6.6 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.91%
Current HPI
321.5995
Rent YoY
Metro
Poughkeepsie-Newburgh-Middletown, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $265,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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